Detailed-Outrigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

7 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$74

$74 lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on May 10?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	$-0	05-10 03:08
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	No		+7	$7	100¢	$7	$-0	05-09 00:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 9?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-08 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on May 10?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-10 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 63°F or below on May 7?	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-06 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 8?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-08 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 9?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-09 05:49
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-09 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-09 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 03:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x150bfd…
05-09 14:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on May 9?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x500050…
05-09 05:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46fdb2…
05-09 00:26:08	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3e49f1…
05-08 16:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa4fd16…
05-08 00:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42a032…
05-06 15:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 63°F or below on May 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xb383b9…