Mushy-Sidecar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$355

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

3,391

Trades

12,728

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-06 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 66% -$263

Politics

3% 55% -$9

Sports

3% 27% -$51

Other

1% 43% -$33

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+31	$10	11¢	$3	-$7	07-02 23:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	+36	$9	8¢	$3	-$6	07-04 11:51
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	+20	$4	6¢	$1	-$3	06-24 10:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	43	$279	308	295	+13	Yes	+$27	06-15 08:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	56	$237	256	235	+22	No	+$9	05-29 14:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	47	$187	285	172	+113	No	-$11	05-31 13:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	54	$159	212	140	+72	Yes	-$19	05-23 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	18	$129	77	89	-12	Up	+$33	05-04 17:24
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	12	$106	89	89	+0	No	+$7	07-01 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	24	$105	87	75	+11	Up	+$30	05-04 18:14
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	26	$100	135	93	+43	No	$0	05-15 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	22	$100	58	58	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	24	$100	85	85	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	17	$98	62	62	+0	Down	+$25	05-04 10:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	48	$96	96	84	+12	No	+$0	05-15 07:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	24	$85	136	136	+0	No	-$8	05-23 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	16	$84	58	58	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 16:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	21	$83	61	61	+0	No	+$10	05-27 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	13	$83	45	61	-16	Up	+$6	05-04 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	18	$82	78	72	+6	Up	-$5	05-04 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	17	$82	68	53	+15	Down	+$1	05-26 15:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	22	$82	93	72	+22	No	-$21	05-29 16:34
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	21	$82	97	97	+0	No	-$4	05-18 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	14	$79	49	44	+4	Down	+$13	05-05 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	15	$79	59	47	+12	Down	+$14	05-18 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	17	$79	44	44	+0	Down	+$7	05-04 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	16	$78	48	48	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	20	$77	115	130	-15	Up	-$33	05-05 14:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	16	$76	41	41	+0	No	+$2	04-25 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	24	$75	64	58	+7	Up	-$10	05-29 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	17	$74	48	48	+0	Down	+$10	05-04 13:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	26	$73	88	73	+15	No	-$15	05-30 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	15	$73	50	50	+0	Down	+$16	05-03 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 10:28:08	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xea4ac4…
07-06 10:27:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0xcb5ba1…
07-04 11:51:25	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x531550…
07-03 14:12:47	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8c4207…
07-03 14:12:44	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x18490f…
07-03 11:31:11	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcc2dd2…
07-03 09:35:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3dfac9…
07-03 09:03:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa003f7…
07-02 23:18:32	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa5a7dc…
07-02 20:52:04	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 2	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0fbbe4…
07-02 13:47:08	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x088e85…
07-02 09:17:17	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbec7cd…
07-02 05:38:37	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	Yes	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x66d9fe…
07-02 02:38:19	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x93697f…
07-01 20:47:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x546cab…
07-01 20:46:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0xf34d96…
07-01 20:34:10	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8fd1a4…
07-01 06:17:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x6d5e31…
07-01 01:05:08	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x31da04…
07-01 00:56:53	Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x5981d8…
06-30 23:57:46	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9bdc15…
06-30 23:57:14	Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xe1909a…
06-30 23:56:44	Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcd2270…
06-30 23:15:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9b77ac…
06-30 21:32:01	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xec69c8…
06-30 20:00:52	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x51ff64…
06-30 14:24:34	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x0e3a71…
06-30 04:20:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x5e77e2…
06-30 04:12:14	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x6583cc…
06-30 03:58:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x141270…
06-29 23:48:52	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	BUY	5,260	0¢	$5	0xe9662e…
06-29 11:31:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x186bb4…
06-29 11:27:25	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x0fa158…
06-29 02:22:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x636caf…
06-28 23:30:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x1620be…
06-28 20:37:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xb2271e…
06-28 20:36:58	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x064e75…
06-28 20:36:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xd11584…
06-28 12:48:49	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xc6b3d1…
06-28 06:45:44	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfa1170…
06-28 06:31:19	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x7f5553…
06-28 06:24:05	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xa35342…
06-28 06:20:59	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x57a53e…
06-28 06:20:58	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xe2ab1b…
06-28 04:08:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0756f8…
06-28 04:06:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x7572d9…
06-28 03:42:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe4d7cd…
06-28 03:20:28	Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe5fdcf…
06-27 22:46:17	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd59848…
06-27 07:34:34	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x7bfccd…
06-27 00:22:47	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb67384…
06-26 23:28:47	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa36141…
06-26 22:46:46	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcf60d5…
06-26 21:39:05	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee7bfc…
06-26 21:32:52	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x115372…
06-26 21:32:50	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa25ee9…
06-26 06:42:34	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x451739…
06-26 06:40:47	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb33f57…
06-26 03:11:08	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x8c56c8…
06-25 08:39:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x229ccc…
06-25 08:39:20	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x3f84e9…
06-24 16:57:34	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2f82e9…
06-24 16:57:32	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7250b8…
06-24 16:57:29	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x097d9a…
06-24 10:47:53	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0509bb…
06-24 09:05:56	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x93c09f…
06-24 09:03:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1008a9…
06-24 08:22:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xca1a81…
06-24 08:18:47	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7d3361…
06-24 06:53:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7c3475…
06-24 06:24:46	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xefdb31…
06-24 06:18:50	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xda2495…
06-24 06:18:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc44a0b…
06-24 01:57:07	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf5ae06…
06-23 11:29:02	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xdc1b57…
06-23 11:28:31	Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x033ab2…
06-23 10:44:47	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe323df…
06-23 10:04:05	Will Robert Smullen be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x2a1373…
06-23 10:02:52	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x9dc787…
06-23 10:01:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x9c4987…
06-23 08:05:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe1d9b9…
06-23 02:36:22	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8fa32c…
06-22 19:36:41	Will Robert Smullen be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc4d898…
06-22 19:36:40	Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c0c5c…
06-22 12:51:37	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x469c08…
06-22 11:35:02	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x09ebf0…
06-22 11:05:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xcaf5ff…
06-22 11:03:19	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x6bf8db…
06-22 08:37:29	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9991e0…
06-21 20:09:13	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xc3b2bf…
06-21 15:33:46	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x63b051…
06-21 10:54:10	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1e8b78…
06-21 10:23:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x9233c4…
06-21 09:53:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x39b5f4…
06-21 07:03:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xe6f085…
06-21 07:01:20	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8bf293…
06-21 07:01:19	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf69ad0…
06-21 03:43:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	57	6¢	$3	0x4c2154…
06-20 19:24:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x12c470…
06-20 06:52:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	111	5¢	$6	0x3f967a…