Mushy-Sidecar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

792

Trades

12,366

lifetime

Volume

$27.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-06 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 62% $-207

Politics

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 2819 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+31	$10	20¢	$6	$-4	07-02 23:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	+36	$9	16¢	$6	$-3	07-04 11:51
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	+20	$4	11¢	$2	$-2	06-24 10:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	55	$236	248	235	+14	open	—	05-29 14:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	35	$186	266	168	+98	open	—	06-15 08:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	43	$173	267	172	+94	open	—	05-31 13:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	51	$151	201	140	+60	open	—	05-23 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	18	$129	77	89	-12	open	—	05-04 17:24
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	12	$106	89	89	+0	open	—	07-01 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	24	$105	87	75	+11	open	—	05-04 18:14
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	26	$100	135	93	+43	open	—	05-15 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	22	$100	58	58	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	24	$100	85	85	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	17	$98	62	62	+0	open	—	05-04 10:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	48	$96	96	84	+12	open	—	05-15 07:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	16	$84	58	58	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 16:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	21	$83	61	61	+0	open	—	05-27 15:29
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	23	$83	112	136	-25	open	—	05-23 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	13	$83	45	61	-16	open	—	05-04 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	18	$82	78	72	+6	open	—	05-04 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	17	$82	68	53	+15	open	—	05-26 15:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	21	$82	97	97	+0	open	—	05-18 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	14	$79	49	44	+4	Down	+$13	05-05 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	15	$79	59	47	+12	open	—	05-18 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	17	$79	44	44	+0	open	—	05-04 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	16	$78	48	48	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	20	$77	115	130	-15	Up	$-33	05-05 14:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	16	$76	41	41	+0	open	—	04-25 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	17	$74	48	48	+0	open	—	05-04 13:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	19	$74	83	72	+11	open	—	05-29 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	23	$73	61	58	+3	open	—	05-29 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	15	$73	50	50	+0	open	—	05-03 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	23	$72	97	97	+0	Down	$-30	05-05 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 10:28:08	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xea4ac4…
07-06 10:27:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0xcb5ba1…
07-04 11:51:25	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x531550…
07-03 11:31:11	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcc2dd2…
07-03 09:35:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3dfac9…
07-03 09:03:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa003f7…
07-02 23:18:32	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa5a7dc…
07-02 20:52:04	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 2	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0fbbe4…
07-01 20:47:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x546cab…
07-01 20:46:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0xf34d96…
07-01 20:34:10	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8fd1a4…
07-01 06:17:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x6d5e31…
06-30 23:15:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9b77ac…
06-30 21:32:01	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xec69c8…
06-30 20:00:52	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x51ff64…
06-30 14:24:34	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x0e3a71…
06-30 04:20:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x5e77e2…
06-30 04:12:14	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x6583cc…
06-30 03:58:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x141270…
06-29 23:48:52	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	BUY	5,260	0¢	$5	0xe9662e…
06-29 11:31:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x186bb4…
06-29 11:27:25	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x0fa158…
06-29 02:22:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x636caf…
06-28 23:30:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x1620be…
06-28 20:37:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xb2271e…
06-28 20:36:58	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x064e75…
06-28 20:36:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xd11584…
06-28 12:48:49	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xc6b3d1…
06-28 06:45:44	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfa1170…
06-28 06:31:19	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x7f5553…
06-28 06:24:05	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xa35342…
06-28 06:20:59	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x57a53e…
06-28 06:20:58	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xe2ab1b…
06-28 04:08:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0756f8…
06-28 04:06:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x7572d9…
06-28 03:42:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe4d7cd…
06-27 22:46:17	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd59848…
06-27 07:34:34	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x7bfccd…
06-27 00:22:47	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb67384…
06-26 23:28:47	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa36141…
06-26 22:46:46	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcf60d5…
06-26 21:39:05	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee7bfc…
06-26 21:32:52	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x115372…
06-26 21:32:50	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa25ee9…
06-26 06:42:34	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x451739…
06-26 06:40:47	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb33f57…
06-26 03:11:08	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x8c56c8…
06-25 08:39:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x229ccc…
06-25 08:39:20	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x3f84e9…
06-24 16:57:34	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2f82e9…
06-24 16:57:32	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7250b8…
06-24 16:57:29	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x097d9a…
06-24 10:47:53	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0509bb…
06-24 09:05:56	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x93c09f…
06-24 09:03:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1008a9…
06-24 08:22:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xca1a81…
06-24 08:18:47	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7d3361…
06-24 06:53:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7c3475…
06-24 06:24:46	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xefdb31…
06-24 06:18:50	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xda2495…
06-24 06:18:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc44a0b…
06-23 10:44:47	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe323df…
06-23 10:02:52	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x9dc787…
06-23 10:01:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x9c4987…
06-23 08:05:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe1d9b9…
06-23 02:36:22	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8fa32c…
06-22 12:51:37	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x469c08…
06-22 11:05:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xcaf5ff…
06-22 08:37:29	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9991e0…
06-21 10:23:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x9233c4…
06-21 09:53:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x39b5f4…
06-21 07:03:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xe6f085…
06-21 03:43:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	57	6¢	$3	0x4c2154…
06-20 19:24:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x12c470…
06-20 06:52:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	111	5¢	$6	0x3f967a…
06-20 00:16:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0xbfd9e5…
06-20 00:05:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xfa97e2…
06-19 23:26:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb86f80…
06-19 23:00:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x733dec…
06-19 22:59:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0dc999…
06-19 21:49:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x2a9aca…
06-18 01:00:08	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x733b06…
06-18 00:58:44	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xe6be71…
06-18 00:58:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x10c706…
06-17 22:18:04	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x56c502…
06-17 22:16:01	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xafc6d1…
06-17 22:13:08	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xd21b60…
06-17 21:48:53	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x181134…
06-17 21:48:52	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0a1178…
06-17 21:48:05	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8b7dde…
06-17 21:48:05	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x067924…
06-17 21:25:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd2a0fd…
06-17 21:22:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x2ece0c…
06-17 20:38:58	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x45b517…
06-17 20:33:20	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf0af45…
06-17 20:30:22	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xce5702…
06-17 20:29:43	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x534019…
06-17 20:26:08	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xde685a…
06-17 20:25:44	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xff6062…
06-17 20:12:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xfc5d76…