Breakable-Dynamics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.94K

Unrealized P&L

-$113

Hit rate

26.9%

Resolved

170

Trades

1,218

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$298

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-28 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Politics

43% 4% -$2,518

Crypto

39% 29% +$51

Other

17% 7% -$426

Sports

1% 0% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	+2,080	$177	11¢	$232	+$54	10-24 07:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+585	$22	4¢	$23	+$1	10-08 11:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	+14,890	$96	0¢	$22	-$73	10-24 07:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	+8,300	$48	0¢	$12	-$35	10-28 16:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	+2,139	$32	0¢	$4	-$28	10-24 07:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	+870	$29	0¢	$2	-$27	10-23 06:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Yes	+824	$6	0¢	$2	-$4	10-24 08:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-11	$0	3¢	$-0	$0	10-02 17:25
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	+143	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-27 15:37
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	-2	$0	3¢	$-0	+$0	06-10 15:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	37	$1.2K	24,834	21,581	+3,253	No	-$163	03-20 05:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	54	$1.1K	127,531	23,758	+103,773	No	-$993	02-27 13:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?	50	$838	3,494	3,495	-1	No	+$745	06-02 20:33
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	176	$763	100,087	0	+100,087	No	-$763	06-27 22:06
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	62	$671	9,691	10,486	-796	No	-$262	03-29 15:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	17	$540	6,377	6,377	+0	No	-$35	04-13 08:13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	7	$348	880	880	+0	open	—	10-21 18:48
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	25	$314	2,794	714	+2,080	open	—	10-24 07:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	17	$286	9,303	2,446	+6,857	No	-$167	05-22 11:20
bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	13	$266	1,636	730	+906	Yes	+$165	06-26 13:35
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	16	$195	7,067	0	+7,067	Yes	-$195	03-17 22:14
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	12	$184	1,444	1,444	+0	No	+$12	06-20 07:55
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	47	$179	27,802	16,152	+11,650	No	-$136	02-18 12:19
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	35	$178	15,515	15,515	+0	No	+$92	07-17 16:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	21	$165	2,792	1,792	+1,000	No	-$31	10-02 07:07
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	8	$165	2,564	2,564	+0	No	+$123	03-24 08:14
bitcoin above 68k on february 25	3	$163	288	288	+0	Yes	+$145	02-25 17:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$160	611	611	+0	No	-$11	04-13 14:52
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	14	$154	2,330	2,435	-105	No	-$54	03-29 15:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	7	$138	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$42	10-24 23:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	39	$134	2,724	2,764	-40	No	+$20	06-02 11:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	6	$126	500	500	+0	Yes	+$66	10-22 10:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$123	500	500	+0	No	-$12	06-17 22:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	3	$109	103	103	+0	Yes	-$31	05-12 01:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	4	$107	299	298	+0	No	+$67	03-02 15:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	12	$102	5,787	5,787	+0	No	-$56	06-17 14:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	5	$98	1,480	1,480	+0	open	—	10-02 07:02
bitcoin above 66k on february 27	2	$97	121	121	+0	No	+$17	02-27 13:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	6	$96	14,895	5	+14,890	open	—	10-24 07:31
will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	13	$91	8,731	0	+8,731	No	-$91	08-19 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:53:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,200	0¢	$2	0x96ed64…
10-25 17:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	300	15¢	$44	0x09aaca…
10-24 23:40:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	1,100	1¢	$12	0xf3b939…
10-24 23:39:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	1,000	4¢	$40	0x2acc6d…
10-24 08:53:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x7f49a0…
10-24 08:52:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0x3a4b7e…
10-24 08:36:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xe1e5c6…
10-24 07:31:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	8,300	1¢	$45	0x921a48…
10-24 07:29:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,139	1¢	$17	0x93bec8…
10-24 07:28:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	693	10¢	$66	0x441607…
10-24 07:01:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x97e917…
10-24 07:01:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,700	1¢	$15	0x2263f7…
10-24 07:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$4	0x13147c…
10-23 07:10:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	317	1¢	$3	0x520aaa…
10-23 07:10:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,336	1¢	$10	0x166c35…
10-23 07:09:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xb8cbc5…
10-23 07:09:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe59e1f…
10-23 07:07:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xca651d…
10-23 07:05:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	147	2¢	$3	0xb0e9ff…
10-23 07:05:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	153	2¢	$4	0x4e6d4e…
10-23 07:03:20	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	230	10¢	$22	0xccc7a4…
10-23 07:02:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xb984b2…
10-23 07:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	217	1¢	$3	0x028c30…
10-23 07:00:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	1,100	2¢	$25	0x1f9bb6…
10-23 06:58:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x974605…
10-23 06:58:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	182	4¢	$7	0x28ff52…
10-23 06:58:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$10	0xa2c07d…
10-22 14:54:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x5da8de…
10-22 14:53:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0xc5d1c2…
10-22 14:53:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	242	5¢	$13	0x51ba80…
10-22 13:55:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x5853af…
10-22 10:14:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	188	17¢	$32	0x32f7fd…
10-22 09:58:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0xc237ce…
10-22 09:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	188	20¢	$38	0x5e0d71…
10-22 08:26:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7fbf4d…
10-22 08:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x52d6bb…
10-22 08:24:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$13	0x03a182…
10-22 08:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xcd3725…
10-22 08:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	124	21¢	$26	0x2c0800…
10-21 18:50:09	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0xddc2d4…
10-21 18:49:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xc24a40…
10-21 18:48:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	41	27¢	$11	0xc87e68…
10-21 16:59:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0xc1d99c…
10-21 16:58:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	124	27¢	$33	0x83e819…
10-21 16:58:11	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x564fc5…
10-21 16:57:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x73dc66…
10-21 16:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$28	0x71679d…
10-21 16:55:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	165	27¢	$45	0xd0df59…
10-21 16:48:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x604622…
10-21 10:23:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xd1aa94…
10-21 08:59:21	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$5	0xc2a2e9…
10-21 07:29:57	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$5	0x6057c5…
10-20 20:07:57	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$17	0x4de383…
10-20 19:22:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0xa247fd…
10-20 18:32:18	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$5	0xc85fba…
10-20 14:19:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	330	19¢	$63	0x37dda1…
10-19 13:13:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	136	8¢	$11	0xa65ae4…
10-19 13:13:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0x8034eb…
10-19 13:10:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	220	20¢	$44	0x3fe156…
10-16 17:03:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Yes	BUY	224	2¢	$3	0xf121a9…
10-16 17:02:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,700	1¢	$20	0x2c8c15…
10-16 16:58:48	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x117492…
10-16 16:51:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	54	10¢	$5	0xef060d…
10-15 14:32:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	196	10¢	$19	0x9a2adf…
10-15 14:31:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	280	18¢	$50	0xee1b8d…
10-15 06:44:47	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0xa49392…
10-15 06:44:16	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	600	17¢	$102	0xa21d25…
10-15 06:39:25	bitcoin above 78k on october 15 2026	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x45ee6f…
10-15 05:15:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	298	8¢	$24	0xd9f1d0…
10-15 05:13:19	bitcoin above 78k on october 16 2026	No	SELL	378	8¢	$31	0x10d191…
10-13 06:03:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe7f12a…
10-12 19:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	378	6¢	$24	0x85b33f…
10-12 19:31:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x80869d…
10-12 12:50:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	411	1¢	$3	0x3d37e9…
10-12 12:49:32	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	162	2¢	$3	0x63f739…
10-11 08:13:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,784	1¢	$14	0x40c3e4…
10-11 06:28:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$16	0xa8c0be…
10-11 06:28:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0xc1c12a…
10-11 06:27:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,400	1¢	$17	0xa505b0…
10-10 03:54:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x142392…
10-09 05:22:02	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x0267a7…
10-08 19:50:30	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfc3e31…
10-08 19:50:30	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd92281…
10-08 13:38:15	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0ec30c…
10-08 13:36:20	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x885763…
10-08 13:36:18	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6d0050…
10-08 13:36:18	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x546d84…
10-08 11:56:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x94cd61…
10-08 11:56:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xcff97d…
10-08 11:55:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x7891c1…
10-08 11:54:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x801fd9…
10-03 07:12:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	119	7¢	$9	0xab73fa…
10-02 17:25:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x2185dc…
10-02 17:25:02	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x56cd58…
10-02 17:24:20	Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xaf6c3c…
10-02 16:26:27	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	304	7¢	$21	0x176f88…
10-02 09:51:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x91c106…
10-02 09:50:44	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	557	2¢	$10	0x3fd660…
10-02 07:28:54	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xdaf6e2…
10-02 07:11:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5c5871…