Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c8f…2f9e5d
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$829
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
13
Trades
5,475
lifetime
Volume
$111.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$199
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-30 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
73% 67% +$728
Other
21% 100% +$149
Crypto
5% 38% $-48
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 472 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -799 $-50 15¢ $-120 $-70 06-13 11:34
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -811 $-90 4¢ $-36 +$54 05-30 14:02
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -379 $102 6¢ $-25 $-127 06-03 23:08
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -134 $8 7¢ $-9 $-17 06-03 23:05
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -118 $10 5¢ $-6 $-16 06-21 12:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,000 $-96 0¢ $-1 +$95 06-21 12:23
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -2 $18 18¢ $-0 $-18 06-14 17:34
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-18 13:46