Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c8f…2f9e5d
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$829
Unrealized P&L
-$625
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
13
Trades
5,106
lifetime
Volume
$104.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$715
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-15 11:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
76% 67% +$728
Other
18% 100% +$149
Crypto
5% 38% $-48
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 472 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -999 $-96 26¢ $-265 $-169 06-12 10:00
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -799 $-50 15¢ $-116 $-66 06-13 11:34
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +2,573 $213 3¢ $75 $-139 06-11 20:51
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -811 $-90 8¢ $-69 +$22 05-30 14:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -498 $-52 8¢ $-37 +$15 06-13 11:34
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -379 $102 9¢ $-34 $-136 06-03 23:08
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes -309 $16 7¢ $-22 $-38 06-04 00:54
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -134 $8 16¢ $-21 $-29 06-03 23:05
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +292 $22 7¢ $20 $-2 05-29 11:12
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes -112 $-14 14¢ $-16 $-2 06-02 19:28
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +2,215 $189 1¢ $12 $-177 06-03 23:03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -37 $-142 18¢ $-6 +$135 06-13 11:33
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -289 $-3 2¢ $-6 $-3 06-03 23:33
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes -375 $-4 1¢ $-5 $-0 06-03 23:36
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -877 $-7 0¢ $-4 +$3 06-03 23:09
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -234 $10 1¢ $-3 $-13 06-03 23:08
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes -230 $-5 1¢ $-2 +$2 06-03 23:20
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -110 $9 1¢ $-1 $-9 06-03 23:11
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -2 $18 19¢ $-0 $-18 06-14 17:34