Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c8f…2f9e5d
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$670
Hit rate
40.4%
Resolved
464
Trades
9,005
lifetime
Volume
$144.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$353
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 10-27 07:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
63% 36% -$6,885
Other
27% 31% -$1,022
Crypto
7% 11% -$2,572
Sports
2% 0% -$1,022
Tech
0% 100% +$44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +18,897 $445 1¢ $132 -$313 10-26 14:26
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -799 -$50 6¢ $-44 +$6 06-13 11:34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +1,462 $83 3¢ $42 -$40 10-22 22:22
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +2,995 $42 1¢ $37 -$5 10-27 02:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? Yes +125 $28 18¢ $23 -$5 10-27 07:01
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,900 $30 1¢ $14 -$16 10-26 22:48
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -288 $149 4¢ $-13 -$162 06-03 23:08
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,168 $18 1¢ $12 -$6 10-27 02:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? Yes +210 $18 6¢ $12 -$6 10-26 22:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? Yes +1,000 $11 1¢ $12 +$0 10-26 20:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +100 $7 6¢ $6 -$2 10-27 00:25
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2,529 $17 0¢ $3 -$14 09-11 02:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +13 $28 8¢ $1 -$27 10-20 10:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-26 11:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? Yes +100 $13 1¢ $1 -$12 10-16 01:32
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +4 $14 8¢ $0 -$14 10-23 00:26
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +1 $36 16¢ $0 -$36 10-21 18:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? Yes +20 $37 0¢ $0 -$37 10-27 03:11
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +4 -$8 0¢ $0 +$8 10-03 13:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$11 44¢ $0 +$11 07-16 11:16
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 $0 10-01 11:39
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-29 10:58