Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c8f…2f9e5d
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$656
Hit rate
40.1%
Resolved
476
Trades
9,174
lifetime
Volume
$145.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$272
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 10-30 08:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Politics
63% 36% -$6,885
Other
27% 31% -$1,140
Crypto
8% 11% -$2,645
Sports
2% 0% -$1,022
Tech
0% 100% +$44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,724 $127 6¢ $112 -$15 10-30 06:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +23,416 $431 0¢ $59 -$372 10-30 08:50
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +4,130 $60 1¢ $47 -$13 10-30 10:54
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -799 -$50 4¢ $-28 +$22 06-13 11:34
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -288 $149 4¢ $-13 -$162 06-03 23:08
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,168 $18 0¢ $10 -$8 10-27 02:25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +376 $2 0¢ $1 $0 10-27 22:57
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +13 $28 7¢ $1 -$27 10-20 10:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? Yes +100 $13 0¢ $0 -$13 10-16 01:32
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +4 $14 6¢ $0 -$14 10-23 00:26
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +1 $36 12¢ $0 -$36 10-21 18:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? Yes +20 $37 0¢ $0 -$37 10-27 03:11
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +4 -$8 0¢ $0 +$8 10-03 13:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$11 42¢ $0 +$11 07-16 11:16
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-01 11:39
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 09-29 10:58