Submissive-Diesel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

384

Trades

740

lifetime

Volume

$8.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-26 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

77% 86% -$5

Crypto

14% 92% +$0

Politics

5% 68% +$0

Sports

2% 36% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 60% $0

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	10-26 21:59
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+3	$3	100¢	$3	$0	09-16 14:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 6?	6	$106	53	53	+0	No	$0	05-05 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 19°C or below on May 5?	3	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	05-04 13:03
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	2	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or below on May 6?	5	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-06 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 6?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-05 20:36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-17 15:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on May 8?	7	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-08 06:04
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-07 21:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-17 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 17?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-17 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 17?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-16 18:02
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-18 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 07:31
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-10 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on May 16?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-16 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on May 16?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-16 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 13?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-13 11:58
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 6?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 21:28
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 90forhigher	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-02 03:47
highest temperature in atlanta on april 20 2026 86 87f	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-20 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 4?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-04 02:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	05-14 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C or below on May 4?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-03 21:51
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-19 03:50
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on May 9?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-08 14:37
Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-18 16:29
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?	3	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-06 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on May 2?	4	$49	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-01 17:36
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-30 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:59:50	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfa898b…
10-16 16:43:27	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x75581a…
10-10 21:58:16	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f2659…
10-04 18:57:43	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x38e37d…
10-04 18:56:47	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x11f387…
10-04 18:55:49	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x972719…
09-26 12:19:23	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xba56b5…
09-16 14:22:49	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6710bb…
09-05 21:14:16	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07389d…
08-30 07:16:24	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7974e0…
08-25 11:51:22	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x144ad5…
08-13 03:29:15	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x36f79d…
08-13 03:28:09	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x165222…
08-13 03:27:00	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x258457…
07-26 23:37:04	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa22658…
07-23 12:01:54	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x291514…
07-23 07:17:19	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd50541…
07-23 07:16:24	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x30579d…
07-15 05:52:07	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3de960…
07-14 09:54:50	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5c19e8…
07-10 18:20:44	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3306f7…
07-05 21:14:38	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x4838fb…
06-28 23:14:01	Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3b8883…
06-28 23:13:08	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6b20c2…
06-28 23:12:14	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x4345e0…
06-28 23:11:22	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x875269…
06-28 07:46:14	Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x795a2f…
06-25 22:42:14	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc39869…
06-21 05:12:59	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x7ae12b…
06-06 22:01:13	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33fbb1…
05-20 21:35:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5c9c61…
05-20 15:26:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb3c3af…
05-20 15:17:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d1d25…
05-20 15:11:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x972e4b…
05-20 14:40:34	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa9156…
05-20 12:43:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8137e9…
05-20 12:40:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3adf74…
05-20 10:12:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69c016…
05-20 05:45:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3e2344…
05-19 20:44:49	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x121e7e…
05-19 19:36:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xaee301…
05-19 19:36:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdd9ce9…
05-19 19:00:17	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3b238b…
05-19 18:57:27	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x01e590…
05-19 18:51:44	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xac2eeb…
05-19 16:45:39	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4ca4c4…
05-19 15:56:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xaa9089…
05-19 14:56:46	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x10931e…
05-19 14:22:04	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa10c75…
05-19 13:02:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa11970…
05-19 10:47:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcf68c0…
05-19 08:02:00	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x176ab8…
05-19 07:43:09	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xee31e0…
05-19 07:39:09	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb860b1…
05-19 06:44:37	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfdca02…
05-19 05:49:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x428d27…
05-19 04:16:20	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x87dea6…
05-19 03:52:11	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4fbcf6…
05-19 03:50:54	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x50f5df…
05-18 22:11:31	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa4f3ce…
05-18 21:36:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xde7c74…
05-18 19:53:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1defb9…
05-18 18:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x67982f…
05-18 16:29:30	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6ae060…
05-18 16:04:01	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5b9ff7…
05-18 14:58:43	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x97950b…
05-18 13:32:58	Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xabd49d…
05-18 12:27:24	Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa82621…
05-18 11:36:00	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb08588…
05-18 10:30:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x22d5d4…
05-18 08:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5df0ca…
05-18 08:15:27	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0a76c3…
05-18 06:36:47	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6eae27…
05-18 05:58:26	Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x4f9cfe…
05-18 05:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x31775a…
05-18 05:03:04	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe37bd6…
05-18 03:40:05	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x793320…
05-18 01:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0c393a…
05-18 01:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8c13f4…
05-17 23:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x04899e…
05-17 23:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or below on May 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x49ef33…
05-17 22:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86a65b…
05-17 20:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8c9bb3…
05-17 20:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 18?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf71431…
05-17 20:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x263176…
05-17 17:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc8aa3…
05-17 17:00:09	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4e0ebd…
05-17 16:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x766ca3…
05-17 16:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd07b66…
05-17 16:01:57	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb849e1…
05-17 16:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe3add9…
05-17 15:58:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb322a1…
05-17 15:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x763a07…
05-17 11:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or below on May 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2eb6dd…
05-17 10:40:48	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xba095e…
05-17 08:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0b607a…
05-17 07:25:44	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bd41b…
05-17 05:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa83f57…
05-17 04:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70273e…
05-17 02:39:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x65c49f…