Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?
open
Total volume
$343
$1,604 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,508
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $4 | $335 | $331 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 16 | $2 | $281 | $280 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-04 23:44 |
| Arctic-Grammar 0x2b8c…4406 | No | +65 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 05-05 12:16 |
| Pink-Survivor 0x2f46…76f5 | Yes | +52 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 02:20 |
| Negligible-Sense 0x30fe…ad9d | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 01:40 |
| Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | +39 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-05 05:00 |
| Courteous-Curl 0xbe4f…b7b7 | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-05 17:19 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 13:01 |
| Rich-Pup 0xea6b…5ac2 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 20:03 |
| Grotesque-Jaguar 0xef3f…b576 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 12:41 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 02:10 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 20:24 |
| Cheap-Cockroach 0xef85…51ed | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-04 21:29 |
| Reasonable-Spaghetti 0x9ca7…c5b6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 19:31 |
| Spanish-Offramp 0xe115…ace9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 22:20 |
| Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 00:44 |
| Respectful-Altitude 0xb4a0…9d29 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 17:42 |
| Bewitched-Cleat 0x1207…5560 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 15:07 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 00:09 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 12:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 22:20:10 | Spanish-Offramp 0xe115…ace9 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9cfe53… |
| 05-05 20:24:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xafc488… |
| 05-05 20:03:34 | Rich-Pup 0xea6b…5ac2 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x1f98a9… |
| 05-05 19:31:20 | Reasonable-Spaghetti 0x9ca7…c5b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5d17bb… |
| 05-05 18:16:56 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x40a694… |
| 05-05 17:42:32 | Respectful-Altitude 0xb4a0…9d29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe64012… |
| 05-05 17:19:52 | Courteous-Curl 0xbe4f…b7b7 | No | BUY | 36 | 95¢ | $35 | 0xe6c008… |
| 05-05 15:54:54 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | Yes | SELL | 125 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x13caf4… |
| 05-05 15:07:28 | Bewitched-Cleat 0x1207…5560 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb92413… |
| 05-05 13:01:58 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x43c97b… |
| 05-05 12:41:40 | Grotesque-Jaguar 0xef3f…b576 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x5949e8… |
| 05-05 12:16:44 | Arctic-Grammar 0x2b8c…4406 | No | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x16d3cb… |
| 05-05 12:05:32 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb19920… |
| 05-05 12:05:18 | Arctic-Grammar 0x2b8c…4406 | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xeb8529… |
| 05-05 08:56:04 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x90eb74… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd489af… |
| 05-05 05:00:52 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x04b1a4… |
| 05-05 02:25:30 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5cfb66… |
| 05-05 02:25:30 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbdeaa1… |
| 05-05 02:20:02 | Pink-Survivor 0x2f46…76f5 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x34b6d9… |
| 05-05 02:10:22 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xa4251d… |
| 05-05 01:40:06 | Negligible-Sense 0x30fe…ad9d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x61005f… |
| 05-05 00:44:42 | Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1534e8… |
| 05-05 00:09:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5e7be5… |
| 05-05 00:09:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9b0698… |
| 05-05 00:09:44 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x248d40… |
| 05-04 23:44:34 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 107 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x4f4e13… |
| 05-04 21:29:32 | Cheap-Cockroach 0xef85…51ed | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xfebec6… |