Arctic-Grammar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.1%

Resolved

2,307

Trades

9,780

lifetime

Volume

$357.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-21 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Other

100% 96% -$1,646

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chengdu on april 15 2026 26c	49	$3.4K	3,487	0	+3,487	No	+$89	04-15 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 29?	24	$2.4K	1,728	825	+902	No	+$15	06-29 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	28	$1.9K	2,067	0	+2,067	Yes	-$845	08-12 04:53
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	34	$1.8K	2,221	0	+2,221	Yes	-$1,825	04-16 03:25
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	3	$1.8K	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	+$319	06-12 03:20
highest temperature in san francisco on april 14 2026 64forhigher	47	$1.5K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$61	04-14 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 3?	19	$1.4K	757	727	+29	No	+$25	07-03 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on July 27?	20	$1.4K	858	650	+207	No	+$40	07-27 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?	19	$1.4K	878	878	+0	No	-$218	07-09 12:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	19	$1.3K	773	773	+0	Yes	-$176	06-23 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?	16	$1.2K	951	365	+586	No	-$30	06-19 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?	19	$1.1K	927	248	+679	No	+$3	08-02 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 12?	23	$1.1K	880	318	+562	No	+$45	07-12 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	16	$1.0K	735	364	+370	No	+$7	08-13 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 10?	20	$1000	1,043	0	+1,043	No	+$43	08-09 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 3?	22	$1000	1,035	0	+1,035	No	+$35	08-02 13:06
highest temperature in chongqing on april 13 2026 23c	8	$1000	1,044	0	+1,044	No	+$44	04-12 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 27?	21	$1000	1,052	0	+1,052	No	+$52	07-26 12:49
highest temperature in singapore on april 17 2026 34c	24	$980	611	610	+1	No	-$200	04-17 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 2?	17	$850	919	0	+919	No	+$69	08-01 21:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?	11	$817	433	433	+0	No	+$17	07-03 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 30?	9	$806	420	420	+0	No	+$6	06-30 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 9?	15	$805	450	450	+0	No	-$44	07-09 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 21?	16	$800	924	0	+924	No	+$124	06-20 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 23?	16	$800	850	0	+850	No	+$50	07-22 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?	16	$800	841	0	+841	No	+$41	06-20 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 21?	16	$800	882	0	+882	No	+$82	07-20 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	16	$800	874	0	+874	No	+$74	06-22 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 3?	18	$800	863	0	+863	No	+$63	07-02 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 12?	16	$800	834	0	+834	No	+$34	07-11 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 13:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 21?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x14c1ac…
08-20 06:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 21?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xaa26af…
08-19 17:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xc6a343…
08-19 17:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x90b708…
08-19 17:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xb1967f…
08-19 17:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 20?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2935c7…
08-19 16:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3f87cc…
08-19 16:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x4adfec…
08-19 16:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xa5c878…
08-19 16:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3b542c…
08-19 16:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x3f704d…
08-19 16:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x48a5b8…
08-19 16:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xdcd732…
08-19 16:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x534d6a…
08-19 16:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xa5255f…
08-19 16:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x271d94…
08-19 16:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x4617d6…
08-19 16:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x70c4f9…
08-19 05:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xc26d86…
08-19 05:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xcb8d0c…
08-19 05:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x12194a…
08-19 05:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xfb7ff6…
08-18 16:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf48949…
08-18 16:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x22ed0e…
08-18 16:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x109004…
08-18 16:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x6b5e6d…
08-17 13:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x4b47dd…
08-17 13:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x997168…
08-17 00:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xec231a…
08-16 14:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x8dcf5b…
08-15 20:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x6d7a84…
08-15 20:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa38eef…
08-15 20:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x7e6752…
08-15 20:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe042a3…
08-15 19:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8fc5b9…
08-15 12:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xb28bda…
08-15 12:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x762c7c…
08-15 12:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x9f8267…
08-15 12:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0ac977…
08-15 11:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xb362ba…
08-15 11:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x344a24…
08-15 11:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x910441…
08-15 11:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xa2d194…
08-15 01:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xd47f88…
08-15 01:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x7ae481…
08-15 01:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa0ab98…
08-15 01:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xb52ec1…
08-14 21:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xad221a…
08-14 21:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x9e228c…
08-14 21:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xfc553a…
08-14 21:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x7d9a1c…
08-14 21:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xd71b91…
08-14 20:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x4c0975…
08-13 18:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	SELL	346	92¢	$319	0xb8075c…
08-13 13:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xdcdf4f…
08-13 12:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x47bf0e…
08-13 12:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xd122a3…
08-13 12:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xb80f4c…
08-13 12:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xb85e50…
08-13 12:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x4a8399…
08-13 09:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x7f7c05…
08-13 09:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1833d7…
08-13 09:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0ae4de…
08-13 09:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1ccf6b…
08-13 09:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0817d6…
08-13 08:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x12d214…
08-13 08:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x6d23f9…
08-13 08:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x55b936…
08-13 07:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x8a2f6f…
08-12 12:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x2ac384…
08-12 11:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x45c8a8…
08-12 11:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2ba54b…
08-12 11:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x28df3a…
08-12 11:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb061e0…
08-12 09:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x4f0c19…
08-12 08:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x6d526c…
08-12 05:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x4bea0d…
08-12 04:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x983e48…
08-12 04:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6e55e8…
08-12 04:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x3f9f31…
08-12 04:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x9fb7e0…
08-12 04:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	187	92¢	$171	0x084705…
08-12 04:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x474413…
08-12 04:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x41475c…
08-12 04:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	734	82¢	$602	0x28733f…
08-12 04:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x372cf9…
08-12 04:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x90ee2e…
08-12 04:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x31703b…
08-12 04:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5b3c8e…
08-12 04:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x767c0e…
08-12 04:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x964d95…
08-12 04:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x67b01d…
08-12 04:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1c29c3…
08-12 04:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x58cae6…
08-11 12:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xfe7479…
08-11 12:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc67fdb…
08-11 12:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5013b0…
08-11 12:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6abe0f…
08-11 12:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xff2d26…
08-11 12:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x0a4c56…