Decisive-Vane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-30 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 86% +$2

Other

22% 75% +$3

Sports

12% 0% $-9

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$572	287	287	+0	open	—	03-17 06:54
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	4	$466	234	234	+0	open	—	04-25 10:11
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$297	149	149	+0	open	—	03-04 05:45
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$295	148	148	+0	open	—	03-17 06:37
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$295	148	148	+0	open	—	03-06 11:41
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$277	139	139	+0	open	—	02-13 09:12
will phil mickelson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$271	136	136	+0	open	—	03-27 03:54
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$270	136	136	+0	open	—	03-27 04:41
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	2	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	03-28 08:34
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	04-21 10:08
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	04-21 10:25
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$242	122	122	+0	open	—	04-11 08:01
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?	2	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	04-12 11:05
will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	04-05 11:34
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	04-05 11:56
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	2	$237	118	118	+0	open	—	04-23 08:43
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	04-24 11:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	2	$230	115	115	+0	open	—	04-25 10:57
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$223	112	112	+0	open	—	04-26 04:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	1	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	02-27 12:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 9	1	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	02-09 12:07
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	1	$151	152	0	+152	open	—	02-10 09:54
will ethereum reach 2600 february 2 8	1	$151	152	0	+152	open	—	02-08 11:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	03-01 12:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	03-02 09:33
bitcoin above 60k on march 4	1	$149	149	0	+149	open	—	03-04 05:57
ethereum above 2500 on march 16	1	$147	148	0	+148	open	—	03-16 11:02
will chlo zhao win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	03-14 10:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 13	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	03-13 09:21
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	03-10 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 09:21:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x8ebc53…
05-30 09:18:07	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Switzerland	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x7f1e5b…
05-29 09:32:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x96dd59…
05-28 08:53:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xc091a8…
05-28 08:25:12	Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys	Madison Keys	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0xf2733c…
05-25 06:56:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x65191f…
05-25 06:47:55	Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc6a45f…
05-24 09:52:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x46964b…
05-24 09:22:29	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x85d583…
05-23 05:28:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x637e23…
05-23 05:24:42	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x2703b9…
05-21 09:25:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x4eb719…
05-21 09:20:29	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mary Stoiana	Mary Stoiana	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xfa1c6d…
05-20 09:10:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$96	0x54411b…
05-20 09:07:26	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x31dbc9…
05-19 06:45:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xe12552…
05-19 06:16:21	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xeff011…
05-18 06:46:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xce2fbe…
05-18 06:05:15	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Polona Hercog vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x8ed789…
05-17 11:22:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xacc8d8…
05-16 09:07:27	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x5a68e0…
05-15 07:03:58	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xeaedc8…
05-14 07:09:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x03f707…
05-14 03:51:40	Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x02c878…
05-13 09:50:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x609326…
05-12 12:42:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	No	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xcd4d7a…
05-11 04:42:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x46cf34…
05-10 05:59:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x73a2c3…
05-09 07:40:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x423907…
05-09 07:09:55	LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	Ground Zero Gaming	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb2de07…
05-08 06:38:42	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $292 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0xb5d725…
05-08 06:32:26	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0x9d32eb…
05-07 10:39:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x622bd7…
05-07 10:12:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi	Andrea Pellegrino	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x303907…
05-06 11:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x5bc036…
05-05 04:04:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x3b0c04…
05-04 12:20:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xa0f6b0…
05-03 04:31:04	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x233274…
05-02 12:18:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xc87172…
04-30 08:05:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5166a8…
04-28 10:13:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x697af7…
04-26 06:02:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x683e59…
04-26 04:42:44	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x6d4795…
04-26 04:35:52	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x62f75e…
04-25 11:02:44	Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xe981cd…
04-25 11:01:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	818	0¢	$3	0x688327…
04-25 10:57:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xd006ba…
04-25 10:13:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd22b3e…
04-25 10:11:38	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x10d6b5…
04-25 09:55:12	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xbac2c4…
04-25 09:50:06	Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x977916…
04-24 11:31:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x30516b…
04-24 11:28:16	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x8b0c30…
04-24 10:35:02	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x44e37c…
04-23 09:24:06	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 30c	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x02d1bc…
04-23 09:15:00	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x273e68…
04-23 08:45:06	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x402786…
04-23 08:43:56	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x963941…
04-23 08:04:16	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb5aee9…
04-23 07:59:44	Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Niels Visker	Niels Visker	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0x629a19…
04-22 09:47:56	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 22	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x2c97fd…
04-21 10:29:54	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xc94238…
04-21 10:25:00	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x028812…
04-21 10:09:36	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xbfcbd1…
04-21 10:08:32	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x18ecb4…
04-21 09:50:14	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xad3c5d…
04-21 09:46:20	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x8beb71…
04-20 12:43:16	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xf37a69…
04-20 11:43:48	dota2 ty navi 2026 04 20	Natus Vincere	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x1bb2c0…
04-19 11:39:32	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x3eb071…
04-17 06:35:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xf64748…
04-15 07:12:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xeab920…
04-13 07:34:23	ethereum above 1900 on april 13	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xb030e3…
04-12 11:11:09	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xb8b839…
04-12 11:05:13	Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x23e431…
04-12 10:38:53	Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xec8ce1…
04-11 08:05:05	ethereum above 2100 on april 11	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xe50b47…
04-11 08:01:15	Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0xda8bcc…
04-11 07:41:01	Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0x1f3824…
04-10 11:37:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 10	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x1651b7…
04-09 11:09:41	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xf1ac7a…
04-08 08:50:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x516f00…
04-07 10:58:55	ethereum above 1900 on april 7	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf6bf75…
04-05 11:59:25	ethereum above 1900 on april 5	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x3fef77…
04-05 11:56:07	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x35e0fd…
04-05 11:36:57	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4ecaac…
04-05 11:34:05	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0xf9db04…
04-05 11:18:55	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x6e4731…
04-04 07:14:09	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x52ec47…
04-04 06:30:07	lol g2 th 2026 04 04	Team Heretics	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xdd264a…
04-03 06:11:13	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xdbfda0…
04-02 10:42:11	ethereum above 2200 on april 2	Yes	BUY	805	0¢	$2	0x6db01f…
04-02 10:40:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 2	Yes	BUY	725	0¢	$1	0x188642…
04-01 12:06:07	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	No	BUY	630	0¢	$1	0x00a2bf…
04-01 12:01:25	ethereum above 2000 on april 1	No	BUY	572	0¢	$3	0x89a916…
04-01 11:58:57	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	Yes	BUY	644	1¢	$3	0x43f8d0…
03-31 12:10:23	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x944f16…
03-31 12:06:05	atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x947468…
03-29 12:29:26	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0x0eb6f3…
03-29 12:27:16	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	Yes	BUY	659	0¢	$2	0xe25133…