Outlandish-Valentine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$61.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$644

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-04 23:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$26

Politics

20% — —

Other

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	3	$2.6K	2,620	+2,620	open	—	06-03 16:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,575	+2,575	open	—	05-28 00:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,247	+2,247	open	—	05-26 23:21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$2.1K	2,214	+2,214	open	—	05-25 20:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$2.1K	2,150	+2,150	open	—	05-24 17:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$2.0K	2,030	+2,030	open	—	05-22 00:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	6	$2.0K	2,044	+2,044	open	—	05-23 13:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$2.0K	2,002	+2,002	open	—	05-21 13:33
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	3	$2.0K	1,975	+1,975	No	+$4	05-10 23:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?	1	$2.0K	1,972	+1,972	Yes	+$2	05-06 01:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	1	$2.0K	1,970	+1,970	Yes	+$2	05-09 14:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$2.0K	1,975	+1,975	Yes	+$10	05-12 19:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	1	$2.0K	1,970	+1,970	Yes	+$8	05-04 20:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	1	$2.0K	1,960	+1,960	open	—	05-03 22:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$2.0K	1,957	+1,957	open	—	05-02 00:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	1	$1.9K	1,885	+1,885	open	—	04-28 23:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	1	$1.9K	1,885	+1,885	open	—	04-27 19:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	1	$1.9K	1,882	+1,882	open	—	04-27 14:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	2	$1.9K	1,885	+1,885	open	—	04-30 17:21
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$1.9K	1,871	+1,871	open	—	04-23 18:13
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	1	$1.9K	1,862	+1,862	open	—	04-21 22:25
bitcoin above 80k on april 21	3	$1.8K	1,856	+1,856	open	—	04-21 00:34
bitcoin above 78k on april 20	1	$1.8K	1,840	+1,840	open	—	04-20 01:32
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$1.8K	1,785	+1,785	open	—	04-16 19:43
bitcoin above 74k on april 18	7	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	04-18 10:12
bitcoin above 78k on april 16	2	$1.7K	1,750	+1,750	open	—	04-15 20:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	3	$1.5K	1,522	+1,522	open	—	05-19 13:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	1	$1.5K	1,523	+1,523	open	—	05-18 11:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	open	—	05-17 02:18
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	4	$1.3K	1,259	+1,259	open	—	04-26 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 23:11:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09f406…
06-03 16:09:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	490	98¢	$483	0x0400e7…
06-03 16:05:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	1,757	98¢	$1,730	0x1483ee…
06-03 16:01:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	373	98¢	$367	0xd23046…
05-28 00:32:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,575	87¢	$2,240	0x237a18…
05-26 23:21:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,247	99¢	$2,226	0x32e19b…
05-25 20:05:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	2,214	97¢	$2,150	0x58cc63…
05-24 17:26:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	2,150	96¢	$2,066	0x39175c…
05-23 13:49:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,845	98¢	$1,812	0x34562e…
05-23 13:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xdf7a8b…
05-23 13:48:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60b320…
05-23 13:48:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xe36791…
05-23 13:46:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x568d59…
05-23 13:44:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xab1bb1…
05-22 00:43:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2,030	100¢	$2,023	0x4e9def…
05-21 13:33:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0xacf3bb…
05-19 19:39:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	528	100¢	$527	0x8ee53c…
05-19 13:32:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	838	100¢	$835	0xd74c63…
05-19 13:28:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe82add…
05-19 13:27:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	678	100¢	$675	0xf6c4c0…
05-18 11:51:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,523	99¢	$1,509	0xbddc6b…
05-17 02:18:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x26cfc2…
05-14 16:09:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa1b19a…
05-14 16:09:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	357	99¢	$355	0x3cdfc4…
05-14 16:09:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x070ac5…
05-14 16:08:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0xe9a31b…
05-13 22:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	539	100¢	$537	0x2a21bb…
05-12 19:23:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,975	100¢	$1,965	0x0dc841…
05-10 23:15:35	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1,958	100¢	$1,954	0x4d3644…
05-10 22:37:05	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7cf51…
05-10 21:00:51	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe2c51e…
05-09 14:21:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,970	100¢	$1,968	0x325d7b…
05-06 01:32:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,972	100¢	$1,970	0xde2458…
05-04 20:39:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,970	100¢	$1,962	0x438c19…
05-03 22:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,960	100¢	$1,958	0xcd4a18…
05-03 08:24:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	578	100¢	$576	0x69b839…
05-02 23:51:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x239442…
05-02 23:51:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0xe84540…
05-02 23:47:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x792927…
05-02 00:04:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,957	100¢	$1,955	0x22651e…
04-30 17:21:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	685	99¢	$678	0xe75994…
04-30 17:04:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x150568…
04-30 17:03:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,188	0xee2fe4…
04-28 23:07:20	James Comey arrested by April 28?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4904b4…
04-28 23:05:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	1,885	100¢	$1,883	0xee2aa3…
04-27 19:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,885	100¢	$1,882	0xd1cf07…
04-27 14:40:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,882	100¢	$1,876	0x4b3990…
04-26 13:59:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$224	0x579840…
04-26 02:13:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xf6e96a…
04-25 22:28:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x84a9b0…
04-25 22:19:30	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xfe7485…
04-25 22:19:16	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d7cc1…
04-25 22:18:44	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dc283…
04-25 22:18:14	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x469345…
04-25 22:17:44	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x261c82…
04-25 22:17:14	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbccee0…
04-25 22:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b3c23…
04-25 22:16:14	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d6b58…
04-25 22:15:44	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ff4b4…
04-25 22:15:12	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x696830…
04-25 22:14:42	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0b72c…
04-25 22:14:12	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93a7e6…
04-25 22:13:42	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07a30e…
04-25 22:13:12	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01da46…
04-25 22:12:42	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35e5c9…
04-25 22:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1b1ba…
04-25 22:11:40	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11aba9…
04-25 22:11:10	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79f3c2…
04-25 22:10:40	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7783ec…
04-25 22:10:10	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe12aaa…
04-25 22:09:40	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8ac9e…
04-25 22:09:08	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48441f…
04-25 22:07:58	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	418	100¢	$417	0x100e99…
04-25 22:05:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	534	100¢	$532	0xbb18af…
04-23 18:13:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1,871	100¢	$1,861	0x53d74e…
04-21 22:25:08	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	No	BUY	1,862	100¢	$1,856	0x375a15…
04-21 00:34:40	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	276	99¢	$274	0xdc24b7…
04-20 23:14:52	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	1,325	99¢	$1,313	0x30076f…
04-20 23:14:50	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	255	99¢	$253	0xd75801…
04-20 01:32:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	BUY	1,840	99¢	$1,814	0x5b9f5d…
04-18 10:12:06	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xcc15f1…
04-18 10:11:22	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x77e544…
04-18 10:10:26	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	783	98¢	$770	0x43603e…
04-17 23:41:30	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	588	98¢	$578	0x565132…
04-17 23:36:48	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	265	98¢	$260	0x2d73e2…
04-17 22:41:10	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xd80b1c…
04-17 22:39:40	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x4d65e6…
04-16 19:43:32	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	1,785	100¢	$1,776	0x0f64f0…
04-15 20:27:34	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x251b94…
04-15 20:27:00	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84aee6…
04-15 20:26:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x69df4c…
04-15 20:26:20	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	1,590	98¢	$1,557	0x34f5a7…
04-15 20:25:52	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b62a7…
04-15 20:24:04	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0xc52d71…
04-14 19:42:14	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1aafca…