Complete-Slide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

354

Trades

802

lifetime

Volume

$9.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-29 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

75% 75% +$0

Crypto

18% 78% +$0

Politics

5% 50% $0

Sports

1% 67% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+10	$9	100¢	$9	$0	10-29 07:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	4	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	05-20 11:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	8	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	08-14 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-03 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on July 23?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 2?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-02 20:34
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 24?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 23?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 12:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-09 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 22?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-02 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 3?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-03 15:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-01 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 13?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-13 10:22
Will Kyle Ursey advance to the general election for WA-05?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-14 13:20
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 8?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-08 19:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 19?	5	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-19 19:37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 29?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-29 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on August 10?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-10 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 19?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-19 08:25
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-31 05:09
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-28 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-14 15:21
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-16 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on July 2?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-01 23:25
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	06-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on August 8?	4	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-07 09:17
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-01 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-13 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or below on July 27?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-26 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:01:40	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x3bdb5a…
10-23 22:05:18	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6eb65e…
10-15 19:44:25	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf89368…
09-01 04:05:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5d0ee2…
09-01 01:42:24	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6d08eb…
08-31 21:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5c8c2e…
08-31 21:30:18	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd55727…
08-31 19:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa48aec…
08-31 16:00:25	Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe97a03…
08-31 16:00:25	Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe2e988…
08-31 13:24:15	Will Chainlink reach $16 in August?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x632c08…
08-31 05:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7be1c6…
08-31 05:09:49	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x7c229d…
08-31 04:19:16	Will Chainlink reach $16 in August?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf3878f…
08-31 01:55:52	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb75df7…
08-30 21:26:42	Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x59f2ad…
08-30 19:09:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2a6cd3…
08-30 17:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb400bf…
08-30 12:37:37	bitcoin above 76k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x76a39d…
08-29 19:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x38f6cc…
08-29 17:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x798e1e…
08-29 12:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 29?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xd7c08b…
08-29 07:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6fa19d…
08-28 15:12:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc33e84…
08-28 13:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2e1171…
08-28 13:17:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8ed3a5…
08-28 09:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1afc30…
08-28 09:20:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x603900…
08-28 09:15:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xedd32f…
08-28 05:53:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9bd3e4…
08-28 02:34:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe91206…
08-27 22:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0e10a2…
08-27 16:46:55	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe12507…
08-27 11:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa83fff…
08-27 11:38:51	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x0a23d9…
08-27 11:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5dcb6b…
08-27 05:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7f6f32…
08-27 00:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe72285…
08-26 23:40:48	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 26 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3cef82…
08-26 23:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 27?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb36999…
08-26 22:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0c5a9f…
08-26 21:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6a43ed…
08-26 19:31:40	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5cdaa6…
08-26 16:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb8b88d…
08-26 11:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb41c7f…
08-25 20:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x891084…
08-25 12:03:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0f183…
08-25 08:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 25?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x9bea30…
08-25 07:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2f4c8e…
08-25 07:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x413872…
08-25 07:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc9494c…
08-25 06:42:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3b86cd…
08-25 01:46:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x342d61…
08-24 22:48:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x232911…
08-24 22:46:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x03c0b0…
08-24 22:35:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf9c451…
08-24 18:51:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcd61a1…
08-24 18:31:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x82e157…
08-24 15:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2d7dfa…
08-24 12:22:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xea37cc…
08-24 12:12:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x73a2a3…
08-24 12:10:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x042db8…
08-24 11:34:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x862700…
08-24 11:13:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x781e61…
08-24 08:51:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9a012c…
08-23 23:00:22	Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe598d1…
08-23 21:21:57	Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x272c22…
08-23 20:00:28	Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x817e00…
08-15 04:27:10	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x600887…
08-14 20:58:48	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 14	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd4ca7c…
08-14 20:52:13	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 14	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8aa20e…
08-14 17:47:55	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfbc069…
08-14 16:15:45	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x83f897…
08-14 16:13:39	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbf5d98…
08-14 16:01:01	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf74ec6…
08-14 14:31:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x63247f…
08-14 13:20:37	will kyle ursey advance to the general election for wa 05 20260708200738458	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0c9326…
08-14 11:21:03	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa7dc7d…
08-14 05:51:16	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe5d18b…
08-14 04:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2936b1…
08-14 04:50:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x8e80ff…
08-14 00:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb37bc4…
08-13 23:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe6f833…
08-13 23:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x412815…
08-13 23:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x523300…
08-13 23:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfdf21b…
08-13 23:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x58a219…
08-13 22:25:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x53d254…
08-13 21:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1edebf…
08-13 20:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1e78e4…
08-13 17:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x711ba7…
08-13 14:12:31	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x334435…
08-13 14:05:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3c29b1…
08-13 13:53:57	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5182d8…
08-13 10:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 13?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0xea3f06…
08-13 09:32:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0bdd13…
08-13 06:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x898d80…
08-13 02:09:09	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 12	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x043f49…
08-13 01:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xabe191…
08-13 00:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe31a68…