Impassioned-Controversy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-24 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 91% -$2

Other

29% 100% +$1

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 96k on january 4	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-04 08:33
bitcoin above 78k on march 9	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	03-08 07:01
bitcoin above 100k on january 9	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	01-08 12:27
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-13 13:57
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-26 10:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-17 11:15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-07 11:59
bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	06-08 11:27
will israel strike lebanon on february 9 2026	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	02-09 07:00
bitcoin above 90k on january 18	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	01-18 12:03
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-26 06:33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	06-01 10:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	05-23 06:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	05-04 11:09
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-13 09:02
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on march 4	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-04 08:28
bitcoin above 92k on february 2	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	02-01 11:36
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	01-30 11:26
ethereum above 2300 on march 1	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	03-01 08:55
ethereum above 2600 on april 11	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-10 11:59
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-23 06:24
ethereum above 2100 on april 23	1	$84	84	+84	Yes	+$0	04-23 12:44
ethereum above 2100 on april 15	1	$84	84	+84	Yes	+$0	04-15 08:49
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-30 13:00
bitcoin above 60k on april 4	1	$84	84	+84	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:34
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-20 06:58
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 20	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-18 08:31
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$84	84	+84	Yes	+$0	03-26 12:04
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 16	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	03-14 09:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	03-11 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 14:41:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe79a4e…
09-24 14:39:09	UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Rinya Nakamura	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xdb804f…
08-01 10:45:29	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x63c75c…
06-08 11:27:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x057c83…
06-01 10:33:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf89597…
05-23 06:59:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x2ec418…
05-17 11:15:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x37cd93…
05-13 09:02:04	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x8e1483…
05-07 11:59:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x1ed496…
05-04 11:09:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x930406…
04-26 10:55:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xee1116…
04-23 12:44:38	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xefaf38…
04-18 08:31:08	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 20	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x82ded6…
04-15 08:49:22	ethereum above 2100 on april 15	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xb2d6ee…
04-10 11:59:55	ethereum above 2600 on april 11	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x6cbe07…
04-03 12:34:07	bitcoin above 60k on april 4	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x1efed6…
03-30 13:00:38	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x7c7ddd…
03-26 12:04:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xf3071d…
03-23 06:24:51	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xe01f45…
03-20 06:58:23	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x09cffc…
03-17 08:14:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xa01457…
03-14 09:00:23	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 16	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xc331c2…
03-11 07:03:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x4f7737…
03-11 07:03:15	ethereum above 1700 on march 11	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$3	0x599a08…
03-08 07:01:17	bitcoin above 78k on march 9	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x223a92…
03-04 08:28:21	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on march 4	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x4f2736…
03-01 08:55:03	ethereum above 2300 on march 1	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb263db…
02-09 07:00:57	will israel strike lebanon on february 9 2026	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xe336ac…
02-01 11:36:46	bitcoin above 92k on february 2	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xfc32c4…
01-30 11:26:28	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf1c34d…
01-26 06:33:22	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 540 559	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x3b9f5e…
01-18 12:03:16	bitcoin above 90k on january 18	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa6a265…
01-13 13:57:15	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x1f6453…
01-13 13:56:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	580	0¢	$1	0x4876de…
01-08 12:27:21	bitcoin above 100k on january 9	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xeef126…
01-04 08:33:27	bitcoin above 96k on january 4	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xc4d09f…