Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$1,243
$54,096 in 24h
Trades
104
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 01:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-17.2¢
(top1%: 61% YES on $204
vs crowd: 78% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $583 | $57 | +$526 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 45 | $303 | $190 | +$113 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $124 | $80 | +$45 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $152 | $31 | +$121 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 11 | $20 | $6 | +$13 |
| Below median | 10 | $55 | $47 | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $534 | $76 | +$457 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xef44…5483 | Up | +853 | $497 | $497 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Frozen-Most 0x9607…e159 | Up | +243 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-09 22:10 |
| Rubbery-Deviance 0xf620…90e5 | Up | +200 | $39 | $39 | 5 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Jumpy-Yarmulke 0x80a2…838b | Up | +180 | $34 | $34 | 6 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Grand-Corps 0xf439…9830 | Down | +148 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-09 22:46 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | +120 | $85 | $85 | 7 | 05-09 22:46 |
| Rubbery-Proprietor 0x9121…bd6c | Up | +112 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-09 22:05 |
| Magnificent-Independent 0xd3b1…c4d3 | Down | +50 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | +45 | $31 | $41 | 13 | 05-09 22:51 |
| Composed-Province 0xfacc…4d07 | Down | +45 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 22:40 |
| Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Down | +44 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-09 22:20 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | +44 | $35 | $35 | 5 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Appropriate-Roster 0xbaa8…645b | Up | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +35 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Up | +31 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Sick-Disposition 0xc047…cce5 | Down | +26 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-09 22:20 |
| Wrathful-Minion 0x21e6…2bd9 | Down | +26 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-09 22:20 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | +25 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-09 22:15 |
| Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | +16 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 22:40 |
| Hearty-Steak 0xa71a…4cc7 | Down | +15 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Acceptable-Parrot 0x172c…2ef3 | Up | +14 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-09 22:30 |
| Acceptable-Parrot 0x172c…2ef3 | Down | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 22:10 |
| Costly-Palace 0x8859…a417 | Down | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ee5…be70 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 21:44 |
| Slight-Cruelty 0x8318…fabe | Up | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Remarkable-Latte 0x9fd9…83b4 | Up | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Unlucky-Reaction 0xf5df…2a9c | Up | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 22:20 |
| Crooked-Termite 0x3464…2b00 | Down | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Sturdy-Mink 0xd4a7…3518 | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Dutiful-Alley 0x89fb…66ee | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Flamboyant-Harm 0xd9db…48a1 | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 01:46 |
| Playful-Survivor 0x805b…ee0c | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Sentimental-Sidewalk 0x243f…3176 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 22:20 |
| Feisty-Sender 0x7821…a8de | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e09…b5f1 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x55f4…4021 | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Old-Fashioned-Support 0x8b96…0a5f | Up | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb998…6132 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa117…7411 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Rude-Wash 0x96c3…94d4 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:00 |
| Limp-Fulfillment 0x42ae…e8ed | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:15 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 01:46:35 | Flamboyant-Harm 0xd9db…48a1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x914238… |
| 05-10 01:23:22 | United-Shallows-Glimpse 0xeb5b…7401 | Up | SELL | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0xf0f9ce… |
| 05-10 01:20:41 | Warm-Mosquito 0x52b6…6fba | Up | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x78a6f1… |
| 05-10 01:16:06 | (anonymous) 0x5259…e41e | Up | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x15ba97… |
| 05-10 00:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x392e…1fbd | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x10d28f… |
| 05-09 22:56:27 | Sturdy-Mink 0xd4a7…3518 | Down | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x6d7425… |
| 05-09 22:56:20 | Appropriate-Roster 0xbaa8…645b | Up | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x0ec0ce… |
| 05-09 22:56:19 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x645814… |
| 05-09 22:56:19 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x15f39b… |
| 05-09 22:56:19 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x79a587… |
| 05-09 22:56:17 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Up | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x21ac74… |
| 05-09 22:56:17 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xc787f9… |
| 05-09 22:56:15 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x26724e… |
| 05-09 22:56:12 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x623398… |
| 05-09 22:56:12 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x3c7a03… |
| 05-09 22:56:12 | Jumpy-Yarmulke 0x80a2…838b | Up | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x0f8e07… |
| 05-09 22:56:12 | Playful-Survivor 0x805b…ee0c | Up | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7dc5fc… |
| 05-09 22:56:12 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0x63d2f2… |
| 05-09 22:56:12 | Rubbery-Deviance 0xf620…90e5 | Up | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xfafc50… |
| 05-09 22:56:12 | Jumpy-Yarmulke 0x80a2…838b | Up | BUY | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x01273b… |
| 05-09 22:56:12 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Up | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa1ccba… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Remarkable-Latte 0x9fd9…83b4 | Up | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x2267ef… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Jumpy-Yarmulke 0x80a2…838b | Up | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x9a6c5f… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Jumpy-Yarmulke 0x80a2…838b | Up | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x935688… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Legitimate-Sack 0x413d…8064 | Down | SELL | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0xd9d5d0… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Up | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbf33ef… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Rubbery-Deviance 0xf620…90e5 | Up | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x2ca2c2… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Rubbery-Deviance 0xf620…90e5 | Up | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0xe6febc… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Jumpy-Yarmulke 0x80a2…838b | Up | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xd73000… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Rubbery-Deviance 0xf620…90e5 | Up | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x15993f… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Rubbery-Deviance 0xf620…90e5 | Up | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x8941a7… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Jumpy-Yarmulke 0x80a2…838b | Up | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x5def90… |
| 05-09 22:56:10 | Flawed-Forecast 0x66cf…2343 | Up | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x8253fa… |
| 05-09 22:56:08 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Down | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x5ca57e… |
| 05-09 22:56:08 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x27df06… |
| 05-09 22:51:25 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xe8af3e… |
| 05-09 22:51:16 | (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x309de7… |
| 05-09 22:51:14 | Rubbery-Proprietor 0x9121…bd6c | Down | SELL | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x724f19… |
| 05-09 22:50:57 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x00c0cf… |
| 05-09 22:46:27 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xdbce83… |
| 05-09 22:46:25 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xde0418… |
| 05-09 22:46:18 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x41b6ca… |
| 05-09 22:46:17 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 74¢ | $16 | 0x904515… |
| 05-09 22:46:17 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 74¢ | $16 | 0x59c3f7… |
| 05-09 22:46:17 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x2f76ad… |
| 05-09 22:46:15 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 74¢ | $16 | 0xdc8585… |
| 05-09 22:46:15 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 74¢ | $16 | 0x41fcd5… |
| 05-09 22:46:15 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 74¢ | $16 | 0x4d9131… |
| 05-09 22:46:15 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xdde66a… |
| 05-09 22:46:15 | Rubbery-Proprietor 0x9121…bd6c | Down | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x54cea6… |
| 05-09 22:46:13 | Grand-Corps 0xf439…9830 | Down | BUY | 148 | 27¢ | $40 | 0x4259a6… |
| 05-09 22:46:11 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x628a77… |
| 05-09 22:46:08 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xfb3e3d… |
| 05-09 22:46:06 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xb87348… |
| 05-09 22:46:06 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x747ac1… |
| 05-09 22:46:04 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x0b7909… |
| 05-09 22:40:28 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 63¢ | $7 | 0xedda56… |
| 05-09 22:40:27 | Composed-Province 0xfacc…4d07 | Down | BUY | 45 | 63¢ | $28 | 0xf49afe… |
| 05-09 22:40:27 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0x9c48ed… |
| 05-09 22:40:21 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | SELL | 1 | 60¢ | $0 | 0xe9d66d… |
| 05-09 22:30:23 | Uniform-Marionberry 0x7c80…d4c6 | Up | SELL | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x5de91d… |
| 05-09 22:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x0e09…b5f1 | Down | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x72968b… |
| 05-09 22:30:21 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xa5d36f… |
| 05-09 22:30:19 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x7d937e… |
| 05-09 22:30:19 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x180dac… |
| 05-09 22:30:19 | Acceptable-Parrot 0x172c…2ef3 | Up | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x622dd2… |
| 05-09 22:20:33 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x3bbae7… |
| 05-09 22:20:33 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x0195fa… |
| 05-09 22:20:30 | Unlucky-Reaction 0xf5df…2a9c | Up | BUY | 7 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x5f60cd… |
| 05-09 22:20:28 | Sick-Disposition 0xc047…cce5 | Down | BUY | 16 | 51¢ | $8 | 0x55dc56… |
| 05-09 22:20:24 | Wrathful-Minion 0x21e6…2bd9 | Down | BUY | 19 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xe87f10… |
| 05-09 22:20:24 | Sick-Disposition 0xc047…cce5 | Down | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x88f64e… |
| 05-09 22:20:23 | Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Down | BUY | 38 | 51¢ | $19 | 0xac92da… |
| 05-09 22:20:05 | (anonymous) 0xb998…6132 | Down | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x52846a… |
| 05-09 22:20:03 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0xd6cadd… |
| 05-09 22:20:03 | Sentimental-Sidewalk 0x243f…3176 | Down | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5658d1… |
| 05-09 22:15:29 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xfc0e02… |
| 05-09 22:15:25 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x363b95… |
| 05-09 22:15:23 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xee6726… |
| 05-09 22:15:23 | Limp-Fulfillment 0x42ae…e8ed | Down | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x7ae5ec… |
| 05-09 22:10:24 | (anonymous) 0x0e09…b5f1 | Down | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x291bf4… |
| 05-09 22:10:22 | Frozen-Most 0x9607…e159 | Up | BUY | 243 | 37¢ | $91 | 0x6bc932… |
| 05-09 22:10:22 | Acceptable-Parrot 0x172c…2ef3 | Down | BUY | 11 | 64¢ | $7 | 0x2d9169… |
| 05-09 22:10:21 | Acceptable-Parrot 0x172c…2ef3 | Up | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x97b3c6… |
| 05-09 22:10:07 | Feisty-Sender 0x7821…a8de | Up | BUY | 4 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x4de6f1… |
| 05-09 22:05:32 | Rubbery-Proprietor 0x9121…bd6c | Up | BUY | 112 | 45¢ | $50 | 0xbd9a2b… |
| 05-09 22:00:24 | (anonymous) 0xef44…5483 | Up | BUY | 853 | 58¢ | $497 | 0x289264… |
| 05-09 22:00:24 | (anonymous) 0x55f4…4021 | Down | BUY | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xc577ec… |
| 05-09 22:00:24 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x6a5264… |
| 05-09 22:00:22 | Costly-Palace 0x8859…a417 | Down | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x462839… |
| 05-09 22:00:20 | Crooked-Termite 0x3464…2b00 | Down | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xbdaab7… |
| 05-09 22:00:20 | Rude-Wash 0x96c3…94d4 | Up | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xd0c71d… |
| 05-09 22:00:15 | Old-Fashioned-Support 0x8b96…0a5f | Up | BUY | 3 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xdd08c6… |
| 05-09 22:00:13 | Awesome-Licence 0x46af…16f5 | Down | SELL | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x1e9fae… |
| 05-09 22:00:12 | Slight-Cruelty 0x8318…fabe | Up | BUY | 8 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x8d7860… |
| 05-09 22:00:12 | Hearty-Steak 0xa71a…4cc7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xf317dd… |
| 05-09 22:00:10 | Dutiful-Alley 0x89fb…66ee | Down | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xb73243… |
| 05-09 22:00:08 | Fumbling-Stag 0x2e4e…9635 | Down | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x99841d… |
| 05-09 22:00:08 | Magnificent-Independent 0xd3b1…c4d3 | Down | BUY | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0xaba8d1… |
| 05-09 22:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xa117…7411 | Up | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xbdfc7a… |