Granular-Dial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

64,111

Trades

397,660

lifetime

Volume

$2.64M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-31 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$35,823

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1735 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	—	+21	$15	96¢	$20	+$5	10-31 23:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	23	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	+$18	05-13 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 02:15 UTC	10	$1.7K	1,681	1,272	+409	Up	-$294	06-26 02:27
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 11am et	530	$1.5K	2,473	1,617	+856	Up	-$89	04-21 15:58
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2pm et	372	$1.4K	1,872	916	+956	Up	-$66	04-21 18:57
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 9am et	433	$1.3K	1,556	914	+643	Down	+$97	03-25 14:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	384	$1.2K	1,486	1,070	+416	Down	-$62	04-22 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 15:15 UTC	375	$1.2K	1,489	1,089	+400	Up	+$65	04-22 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 17:45 UTC	239	$1.1K	1,541	767	+775	Up	-$23	04-17 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 22:00 UTC	255	$1.1K	1,315	787	+528	Up	-$28	04-21 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 21:45 UTC	35	$1.0K	765	835	-70	Up	+$266	07-02 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 01:30 UTC	16	$1.0K	1,115	889	+226	Up	-$236	06-26 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 07:00 UTC	289	$1.0K	1,303	814	+489	Up	+$44	04-22 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 11:15 UTC	13	$1.0K	696	846	-150	Up	+$474	06-22 11:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 01:00 UTC	9	$1.0K	558	758	-200	Up	+$25	06-23 01:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 07:15 UTC	31	$998	521	821	-300	Down	+$242	07-04 07:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 22:30 UTC	163	$971	1,009	637	+372	Up	-$114	04-17 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:30 UTC	147	$960	1,016	712	+304	Up	-$161	04-17 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	11	$956	519	544	-25	Up	+$61	05-30 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 17:00 UTC	9	$951	558	1,200	-642	Down	+$795	06-24 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:30 UTC	371	$933	1,801	1,221	+580	Down	-$4	04-21 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:30 UTC	41	$929	1,866	519	+1,347	Up	+$1,190	06-09 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 20:45 UTC	62	$918	896	726	+170	Down	-$145	07-05 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 05:15 UTC	16	$899	1,001	900	+101	Down	+$436	06-25 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:00 UTC	148	$894	977	633	+344	Down	-$67	04-18 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 16:30 UTC	257	$887	1,117	774	+342	Down	-$33	04-22 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:15 UTC	315	$879	1,316	958	+357	Down	+$7	04-21 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC	136	$871	1,054	761	+293	Up	-$69	04-18 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 20:00 UTC	121	$849	1,075	382	+694	Up	+$20	04-17 20:12
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	307	$810	1,911	1,540	+371	Down	-$193	04-21 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:45 UTC	11	$806	804	753	+51	Up	-$154	06-26 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0xf7881d…
10-31 23:16:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x9413e2…
10-31 23:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x8c52d5…
10-31 23:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xb63a34…
10-31 23:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x477002…
10-31 22:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x179ef8…
10-31 22:52:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xf57ad9…
10-31 22:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x7db4a7…
10-31 22:46:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xf3482b…
10-31 22:41:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xc6a293…
10-31 22:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0f80b6…
10-31 22:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x24148e…
10-31 22:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x15f457…
10-31 22:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x5fccac…
10-31 22:21:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x8f3944…
10-31 22:20:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x3b6724…
10-31 22:19:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x768b4e…
10-31 22:17:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x1ec8ba…
10-31 22:16:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa47b0d…
10-31 22:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x09382d…
10-31 22:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x2c690f…
10-31 22:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xba0a38…
10-31 22:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x0e22dc…
10-31 22:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7b9074…
10-31 21:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x0baf57…
10-31 21:51:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7b2951…
10-31 21:43:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x77f94f…
10-31 21:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x1f03d6…
10-31 21:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x6d871d…
10-31 21:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xe56bca…
10-31 21:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xdf835a…
10-31 21:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xd16832…
10-31 21:11:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x7e4639…
10-31 21:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x0589ba…
10-31 21:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0x806101…
10-31 21:03:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x37282e…
10-31 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xda3366…
10-31 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	45	41¢	$18	0xd054bd…
10-31 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x4771e2…
10-31 20:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x6f95e9…
10-31 20:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xd1bc4e…
10-31 20:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x0c5442…
10-31 20:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x4f7ae0…
10-31 20:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xd9086d…
10-31 20:42:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb26c4f…
10-31 20:41:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0x235b8d…
10-31 20:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xc74173…
10-31 20:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xe8a0ce…
10-31 20:32:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x05b1fa…
10-31 20:32:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x28721f…
10-31 20:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x82152c…
10-31 20:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x751366…
10-31 20:16:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x80e0cd…
10-31 20:16:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xe05866…
10-31 20:12:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xe62077…
10-31 19:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xdec610…
10-31 19:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x6b0d58…
10-31 19:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa7a1b5…
10-31 19:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0x847562…
10-31 18:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x17c0d5…
10-31 18:22:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x6124be…
10-31 18:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xff593a…
10-31 18:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf502eb…
10-31 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	16	41¢	$6	0x524eee…
10-31 17:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x591176…
10-31 17:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x6ebb5f…
10-31 17:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xaf7f32…
10-31 17:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x6d0c5f…
10-31 17:21:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x198bd7…
10-31 17:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xceb7a3…
10-31 17:17:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x717a65…
10-31 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x3c4c85…
10-31 17:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x7935db…
10-31 17:13:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x70d33f…
10-31 17:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5a7b01…
10-31 17:06:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xdfad12…
10-31 17:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xa514f1…
10-31 17:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x6821fd…
10-31 17:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5305c8…
10-31 16:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x407260…
10-31 16:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x260682…
10-31 16:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x1dea43…
10-31 16:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x699aca…
10-31 16:47:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x8bc379…
10-31 16:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x78447e…
10-31 16:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x0e020d…
10-31 16:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x65c901…
10-31 16:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	134	28¢	$37	0xf5d4b1…
10-31 16:36:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xb95b33…
10-31 16:36:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x025e56…
10-31 16:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xa33f97…
10-31 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	44	34¢	$15	0x2936c3…
10-31 16:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	82	84¢	$69	0xefff5a…
10-31 16:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	79	84¢	$66	0xb2f23d…
10-31 16:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x2aa70e…
10-31 16:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x186f07…
10-31 16:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	83¢	$10	0xce28ba…
10-31 16:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	63¢	$17	0x72ca03…
10-31 16:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xd50c53…
10-31 16:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xba1cc7…