Granular-Dial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

63,859

Trades

397,178

lifetime

Volume

$2.63M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$60

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-31 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$35,750

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1735 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up		+46	$34	99¢	$45	+$12	10-31 04:04
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	—	+10	$9	100¢	$10	+$1	10-31 04:07
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up		-20	-$11	23¢	$-5	+$7	10-31 04:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	23	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	Down	+$18	05-13 10:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 02:15 UTC	10	$1.7K	1,681	1,272	+409	Up	-$294	06-26 02:27
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 11am et	530	$1.5K	2,473	1,617	+856	Up	-$89	04-21 15:58
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2pm et	372	$1.4K	1,872	916	+956	Up	-$66	04-21 18:57
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 9am et	433	$1.3K	1,556	914	+643	Down	+$97	03-25 14:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 15:00 UTC	384	$1.2K	1,486	1,070	+416	Down	-$62	04-22 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 15:15 UTC	375	$1.2K	1,489	1,089	+400	Up	+$65	04-22 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 17:45 UTC	239	$1.1K	1,541	767	+775	Up	-$23	04-17 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 22:00 UTC	255	$1.1K	1,315	787	+528	Up	-$28	04-21 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 21:45 UTC	35	$1.0K	765	835	-70	Up	+$266	07-02 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 01:30 UTC	16	$1.0K	1,115	889	+226	Up	-$236	06-26 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 07:00 UTC	289	$1.0K	1,303	814	+489	Up	+$44	04-22 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 11:15 UTC	13	$1.0K	696	846	-150	Up	+$474	06-22 11:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 01:00 UTC	9	$1.0K	558	758	-200	Up	+$25	06-23 01:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 07:15 UTC	31	$998	521	821	-300	Down	+$242	07-04 07:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 22:30 UTC	163	$971	1,009	637	+372	Up	-$114	04-17 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:30 UTC	147	$960	1,016	712	+304	Up	-$161	04-17 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	11	$956	519	544	-25	Up	+$61	05-30 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 17:00 UTC	9	$951	558	1,200	-642	Down	+$795	06-24 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:30 UTC	371	$933	1,801	1,221	+580	Down	-$4	04-21 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 16:30 UTC	41	$929	1,866	519	+1,347	Up	+$1,190	06-09 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 20:45 UTC	62	$918	896	726	+170	Down	-$145	07-05 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 05:15 UTC	16	$899	1,001	900	+101	Down	+$436	06-25 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:00 UTC	148	$894	977	633	+344	Down	-$67	04-18 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 16:30 UTC	257	$887	1,117	774	+342	Down	-$33	04-22 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:15 UTC	315	$879	1,316	958	+357	Down	+$7	04-21 15:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC	136	$871	1,054	761	+293	Up	-$69	04-18 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 20:00 UTC	121	$849	1,075	382	+694	Up	+$20	04-17 20:12
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	307	$810	1,911	1,540	+371	Down	-$193	04-21 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:45 UTC	11	$806	804	753	+51	Up	-$154	06-26 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:07:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc43752…
10-31 04:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$4	0xa14f58…
10-31 04:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x9e5bd1…
10-31 04:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xf68bf9…
10-31 04:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xa5a483…
10-31 04:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x9e497e…
10-31 03:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc0b78c…
10-31 03:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x777d7f…
10-31 03:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xc998a2…
10-31 03:53:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xc4449e…
10-31 03:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	138	14¢	$19	0xae69f3…
10-31 03:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x52e374…
10-31 03:50:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xcaedaf…
10-31 03:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x42938e…
10-31 03:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0x50a8a3…
10-31 03:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x9ac779…
10-31 03:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xeeb09b…
10-31 03:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xdff221…
10-31 03:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x77c79e…
10-31 03:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xed070d…
10-31 03:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x9fdfbb…
10-31 03:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xad22a9…
10-31 03:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe78795…
10-31 03:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xdcb3c3…
10-31 03:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	92	86¢	$79	0xc69439…
10-31 03:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x359827…
10-31 03:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xace8f8…
10-31 03:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x725c75…
10-31 03:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45	34¢	$15	0x76e0d5…
10-31 03:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x0087b4…
10-31 02:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x5c346d…
10-31 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x556ece…
10-31 02:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xd71c2f…
10-31 02:55:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	54¢	$14	0x47240c…
10-31 02:51:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb0a97e…
10-31 02:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x5483df…
10-31 02:48:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x74ad83…
10-31 02:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	90	50¢	$45	0xa7056d…
10-31 02:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3af70b…
10-31 02:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	47	89¢	$41	0x67bab7…
10-31 02:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8b899b…
10-31 02:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	47	67¢	$31	0xdf8c47…
10-31 02:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x8cddca…
10-31 02:36:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0f6851…
10-31 02:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	47	29¢	$13	0xa6ac23…
10-31 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x79459c…
10-31 02:32:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x9d15d0…
10-31 02:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0xcc4657…
10-31 02:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x5ea53d…
10-31 02:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0x4901b4…
10-31 02:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xa7ad69…
10-31 02:22:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x38ff06…
10-31 02:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x3aa09c…
10-31 02:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	67¢	$24	0x60fa43…
10-31 02:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x1abb0f…
10-31 02:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x49ddde…
10-31 02:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0xc17c52…
10-31 02:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xadba26…
10-31 02:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	48	53¢	$25	0x3c310f…
10-31 02:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xb8428b…
10-31 01:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0x417db7…
10-31 01:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x8e8384…
10-31 01:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x46852c…
10-31 01:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2ad611…
10-31 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xca48cd…
10-31 01:52:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x5ab835…
10-31 01:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	61¢	$28	0x367cc8…
10-31 01:46:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x5bc8b4…
10-31 01:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x39326a…
10-31 01:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	68¢	$30	0x2bf1e3…
10-31 01:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xc2f7a9…
10-31 01:33:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xda3d7e…
10-31 01:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x5786a7…
10-31 01:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x5d49cd…
10-31 01:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	96	7¢	$6	0x651842…
10-31 01:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xa86ff3…
10-31 01:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xaa8bd7…
10-31 01:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x3cb1bd…
10-31 01:21:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xd1523d…
10-31 01:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	60¢	$22	0x2040b6…
10-31 01:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x3eae28…
10-31 01:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	18¢	$8	0x6acd32…
10-31 01:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x56696c…
10-31 01:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	31¢	$22	0x165b44…
10-31 01:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x718e15…
10-31 01:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7649b0…
10-31 01:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xf0ce75…
10-31 01:11:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x5a1f35…
10-31 01:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	181	25¢	$44	0x3e92b7…
10-31 01:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0x297718…
10-31 01:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x5e83a6…
10-31 01:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x8cf73d…
10-31 01:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x8006e6…
10-31 01:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0x2897d6…
10-31 01:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xfbb6be…
10-31 01:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xeb24dc…
10-31 01:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xde51f8…
10-31 01:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45	77¢	$35	0xc07b15…
10-31 01:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xdb193d…
10-31 01:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x5c931f…