Limp-Larch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,230

lifetime

Volume

$145.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 05-22 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-6,191

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 497 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772003100	145	$3.2K	6,400	0	+6,400	open	—	02-25 07:05
btc updown 5m 1772616600	248	$3.2K	6,400	0	+6,400	open	—	03-04 09:30
btc updown 5m 1771993800	138	$3.2K	6,400	0	+6,400	open	—	02-25 04:30
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 5am et	23	$2.2K	3,660	1,630	+2,030	open	—	04-15 09:04
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 4pm et	16	$2.0K	2,000	999	+1,001	open	—	04-16 20:47
btc updown 5m 1776875400	79	$1.9K	3,200	1,000	+2,200	open	—	04-22 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	17	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-14 20:59
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	8	$1.6K	1,600	1,200	+400	open	—	05-01 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5PM ET	3	$1.6K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	04-30 23:30
btc updown 5m 1771993500	68	$1.6K	3,200	0	+3,200	open	—	02-25 04:29
btc updown 5m 1772002800	83	$1.6K	3,200	0	+3,200	open	—	02-25 07:02
btc updown 5m 1772616300	90	$1.6K	3,200	0	+3,200	open	—	03-04 09:25
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5pm et	6	$1.5K	2,080	575	+1,505	open	—	04-20 21:26
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 5pm et	28	$1.5K	2,040	539	+1,501	open	—	04-16 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	9	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$549	05-11 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	10	$1.4K	1,014	954	+60	Down	+$502	05-12 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	29	$1.4K	2,120	520	+1,600	Down	$-655	05-10 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	46	$1.0K	2,140	0	+2,140	open	—	05-04 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	19	$1.0K	2,138	0	+2,138	Up	$-1,003	05-05 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8PM ET	31	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-02 00:00
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4pm et	26	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-20 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	4	$1000	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	$-1,000	05-06 09:32
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 11am et	17	$1000	2,222	0	+2,222	open	—	04-07 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3AM ET	7	$999	2,040	0	+2,040	open	—	05-01 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8PM ET	26	$998	2,080	0	+2,080	open	—	05-01 00:00
btc updown 5m 1776960900	40	$998	1,400	400	+1,000	open	—	04-23 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	19	$992	2,003	0	+2,003	open	—	05-02 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	6	$987	2,100	0	+2,100	Up	$-987	05-04 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	6	$987	2,100	0	+2,100	Down	+$1,113	05-04 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	26	$987	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	05-03 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x86cf3e…
05-22 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x3a2b6f…
05-22 07:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xc979da…
05-22 07:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x934dd1…
05-22 07:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x3eda08…
05-20 03:12:51	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb98e09…
05-20 03:03:38	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	307	5¢	$15	0x18422f…
05-20 03:03:07	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	74	5¢	$4	0xee0d90…
05-20 03:01:43	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xa5d531…
05-20 02:56:05	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xd592d1…
05-20 02:56:05	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xa7a754…
05-20 02:52:10	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x7a6871…
05-20 02:43:04	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	128	7¢	$9	0x2aab0b…
05-20 01:17:37	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	172	7¢	$12	0x85ecd5…
05-20 00:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfc1ff6…
05-20 00:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	823	45¢	$370	0x94fd0b…
05-20 00:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xf44b87…
05-20 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x7fb864…
05-20 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdacc03…
05-20 00:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x168724…
05-20 00:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	240	45¢	$107	0x5549fa…
05-19 23:28:02	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xba3073…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf27729…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xd135bd…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xd12728…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbe12dd…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xae2475…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0xabd095…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x80a217…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x6d0106…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	207	45¢	$93	0x4c6525…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x4bc4db…
05-17 21:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	534	45¢	$240	0x12ada9…
05-17 21:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xfc4126…
05-17 21:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8bd96b…
05-17 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xae9f1a…
05-16 22:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	179	32¢	$57	0x8f4782…
05-16 22:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xc3e32f…
05-16 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xd6c2db…
05-16 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x028f35…
05-16 22:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x61554a…
05-16 22:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x64e82a…
05-16 22:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x36495b…
05-16 22:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x2cc3c0…
05-16 22:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x019907…
05-16 22:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd09b78…
05-16 22:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x7ec55e…
05-16 22:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xae495a…
05-16 22:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd1d7cf…
05-16 22:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x469eea…
05-16 22:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x494439…
05-16 22:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xad96a6…
05-16 22:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xce17b2…
05-16 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8e1868…
05-16 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x56ea43…
05-16 22:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf00f93…
05-16 22:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x91252c…
05-16 22:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x4b1919…
05-16 22:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x53b338…
05-16 22:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd819b2…
05-16 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xbb840f…
05-16 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb9e425…
05-16 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xad55d3…
05-16 22:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x7a1f68…
05-16 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xff8750…
05-16 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x50c26a…
05-16 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x2b3553…
05-16 22:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xd76716…
05-16 22:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x47f879…
05-16 22:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	73	35¢	$26	0x2d5550…
05-16 22:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xf7c394…
05-16 22:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xb9fd12…
05-16 22:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9e8cc1…
05-16 22:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa060a3…
05-16 22:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x77b534…
05-16 22:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x0867b9…
05-16 22:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xdd374a…
05-16 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9679df…
05-16 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x11e7c4…
05-16 22:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xb62385…
05-16 22:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc8f49c…
05-16 22:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xf0d087…
05-16 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x920ed8…
05-16 22:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x3ea00c…
05-16 00:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	660	23¢	$151	0x768fd7…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xf66965…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0xf55ce0…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xf3747c…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xec5a83…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0xe24637…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xd87040…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xd37a20…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xcb57f9…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xaeb4a4…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa62392…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x969277…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x9598ed…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8cd5b5…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x868d5c…
05-16 00:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8455c2…