Vigorous-Cargo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

28,319

Trades

1,553,889

lifetime

Volume

$5.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-28 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$26,523

Other

0% 100% +$66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 3660 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	—	+13	$6	98¢	$13	+$7	10-28 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	—	+10	$6	2¢	$0	-$6	10-28 12:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 9am et	748	$5.9K	11,884	+11,884	Down	+$4	03-25 13:59
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3am et	790	$5.7K	11,448	+11,448	Down	-$133	03-27 07:56
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10am et	638	$5.5K	11,049	+11,049	Up	-$177	03-29 14:59
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 9am et	649	$5.4K	11,012	+11,012	Up	+$51	03-26 13:59
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 12pm et	600	$5.1K	10,135	+10,135	Down	-$231	03-29 16:59
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 12am et	676	$4.9K	9,952	+9,952	Up	+$124	03-28 04:59
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 1pm et	710	$4.9K	10,469	+10,469	Down	+$353	03-31 17:58
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 11pm et	602	$4.9K	9,876	+9,876	Up	+$209	03-26 03:59
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 10am et	630	$4.8K	9,952	+9,952	Down	+$44	03-24 14:58
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 1am et	611	$4.8K	9,836	+9,836	Up	+$531	03-29 05:58
bitcoin up or down september 18 2026 1am et	570	$4.8K	9,240	+9,240	Down	-$146	09-18 05:59
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 8am et	617	$4.6K	9,680	+9,680	Up	+$9	03-29 12:58
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 8pm et	594	$4.6K	8,860	+8,860	Up	-$95	03-28 00:59
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	547	$4.6K	9,246	+9,246	Down	-$59	03-27 13:54
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 2am et	534	$4.5K	9,377	+9,377	Down	+$437	03-25 06:58
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 8pm et	572	$4.5K	8,916	+8,916	Down	-$51	03-26 00:58
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 3pm et	639	$4.4K	9,327	+9,327	Down	+$231	03-31 20:00
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 9pm et	591	$4.4K	9,231	+9,231	Up	+$380	03-29 01:58
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 1am et	627	$4.4K	9,158	+9,158	Down	+$312	03-30 05:58
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 5am et	578	$4.4K	8,895	+8,895	Up	+$31	03-25 09:58
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 10am et	628	$4.4K	9,045	+9,045	Down	+$28	03-28 14:58
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 10am et	643	$4.3K	9,206	+9,206	Up	+$540	03-27 14:59
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8pm et	539	$4.3K	8,644	+8,644	Up	+$49	03-29 00:58
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 4pm et	527	$4.3K	8,689	+8,689	Down	+$129	03-28 20:59
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4pm et	709	$4.3K	8,697	+8,697	Down	+$113	03-27 20:59
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 1am et	508	$4.3K	8,583	+8,583	Up	+$57	03-27 05:58
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	849	$4.2K	9,059	+9,059	Down	+$974	04-09 22:57
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 8am et	535	$4.2K	8,598	+8,598	Down	+$153	03-31 17:48
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 7pm et	594	$4.2K	8,730	+8,730	Up	-$35	03-29 23:57
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	533	$4.1K	8,374	+8,374	Up	+$126	03-24 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x033a0e…
10-28 12:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd0090b…
10-28 12:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0600b7…
10-28 12:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd685c1…
10-28 12:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa71adb…
10-28 12:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2c9d13…
10-28 12:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4a63a5…
10-28 12:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x754436…
10-28 12:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x31da2f…
10-28 12:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x94fed7…
10-28 12:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3cd5b3…
10-28 12:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcfb031…
10-28 12:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x013871…
10-28 12:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe21678…
10-28 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x70d3aa…
10-28 10:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb28320…
10-28 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcab6cc…
10-28 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3decb0…
10-28 10:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb492f8…
10-28 10:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6248da…
10-28 10:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa20c8a…
10-28 10:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9c39c0…
10-28 10:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9572f2…
10-28 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3da73b…
10-28 10:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xfc1e6e…
10-28 10:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8a3508…
10-28 10:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x8ce227…
10-28 10:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x5e98f5…
10-28 10:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc06ef1…
10-28 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1e33c5…
10-28 09:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xda944c…
10-28 09:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x985025…
10-28 09:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc43f3c…
10-28 09:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8eab1c…
10-28 09:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa6a3ae…
10-28 09:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5c549e…
10-28 09:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x583529…
10-28 09:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbfc071…
10-28 09:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x6796b6…
10-28 09:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa8c8fd…
10-28 09:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd6f692…
10-28 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb9e60c…
10-28 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x4753cf…
10-28 09:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc6dd29…
10-28 09:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7bbac8…
10-28 09:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x95543e…
10-28 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2fc136…
10-28 09:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6f3c54…
10-28 09:20:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x94c5db…
10-28 09:17:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x14a5cc…
10-28 09:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8d80bb…
10-28 09:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf3f001…
10-28 09:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbab481…
10-28 09:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x64f2ff…
10-28 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcfb5af…
10-28 08:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdd16c3…
10-28 08:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdd35ef…
10-28 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x83e3a1…
10-28 08:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x044b03…
10-28 08:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f5528…
10-28 08:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2dad77…
10-28 08:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe10e7a…
10-28 08:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb3ea57…
10-28 08:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa6b2d7…
10-28 08:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5fb78c…
10-28 08:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9b4c50…
10-28 08:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x431e02…
10-28 08:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfaaa7e…
10-28 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf4e6b4…
10-28 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe1386f…
10-28 02:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2bafba…
10-28 02:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbe8b23…
10-28 02:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb4c5cd…
10-28 02:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbf5ee1…
10-28 02:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x473664…
10-28 02:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xa54442…
10-28 02:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x6f2ff4…
10-28 02:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1f9300…
10-28 02:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcb3e1c…
10-28 02:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc48084…
10-28 02:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0183c6…
10-28 02:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x88568d…
10-28 02:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x31c5c6…
10-28 02:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xffdb80…
10-28 02:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1b4bf0…
10-28 02:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x602442…
10-28 02:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xec903f…
10-28 02:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4739b3…
10-28 02:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc4a21b…
10-28 02:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfe7ff8…
10-28 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x88e5c7…
10-28 02:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x4f979b…
10-28 02:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x366547…
10-28 02:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x05a9b1…
10-28 02:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0dc088…
10-28 02:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfd03e9…
10-28 02:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa8748c…
10-28 02:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x88d54e…
10-28 01:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf79ea4…
10-28 01:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2ab2f5…