Incompatible-Coincidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$103

Unrealized P&L

+$35

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$958

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$110

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$103

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	+70	$43	99¢	$69	+$26	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	+30	$20	99¢	$30	+$10	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	+10	$9	99¢	$10	+$1	05-05 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	+4	$3	32¢	$1	$-2	05-05 15:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$77	113	+113	Up	+$11	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$45	53	+53	Down	+$8	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$44	73	+73	Up	+$8	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$43	70	+70	open	—	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$39	73	+73	open	—	05-05 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$37	72	+72	open	—	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$30	50	+50	open	—	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$29	31	+31	Down	+$2	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$28	50	+50	open	—	05-05 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$28	36	+36	open	—	05-05 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$27	71	+71	Down	+$44	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$27	50	+50	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$27	60	+60	open	—	05-05 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$25	38	+38	Down	+$13	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$25	36	+36	open	—	05-05 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$25	39	+39	Down	+$14	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$24	43	+43	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	4	$23	52	+52	open	—	05-05 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$20	30	+30	open	—	05-05 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$20	30	+30	open	—	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$19	32	+32	Down	$-19	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$19	31	+31	open	—	05-05 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$18	25	+25	open	—	05-05 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$18	30	+30	open	—	05-05 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	5	$18	74	+74	open	—	05-05 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$15	27	+27	open	—	05-05 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$14	14	+14	open	—	05-05 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$14	25	+25	open	—	05-05 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$12	30	+30	open	—	05-05 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$12	19	+19	Up	+$7	05-05 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 15:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xda39ab…
05-05 15:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbbd058…
05-05 15:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x769251…
05-05 15:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xda9aae…
05-05 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x271a66…
05-05 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	73	54¢	$39	0xe99dc9…
05-05 14:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xdaedb5…
05-05 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xb81121…
05-05 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xee0abd…
05-05 14:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x10e36c…
05-05 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0x54159b…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0x86dbe3…
05-05 13:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x546da5…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	44¢	$27	0xd04f6c…
05-05 13:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x0f8505…
05-05 13:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xaab09e…
05-05 12:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x589784…
05-05 12:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x6d1ad8…
05-05 12:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x93c083…
05-05 12:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0x1cc6aa…
05-05 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xfa7798…
05-05 11:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x1193bb…
05-05 11:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xccca92…
05-05 11:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef02cb…
05-05 11:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa3ad7f…
05-05 11:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xdc61d1…
05-05 10:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a5126…
05-05 10:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xf5f897…
05-05 10:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18a9ed…
05-05 10:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x539b06…
05-05 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xb537c1…
05-05 10:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xcf29f1…
05-05 10:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x885fec…
05-05 09:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x43207d…
05-05 09:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x5efb5d…
05-05 09:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1acc9c…
05-05 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0xe6693f…
05-05 09:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x708a7b…
05-05 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x750a2b…
05-05 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x716961…
05-05 07:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xc2d6b6…
05-05 07:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xbe0be9…
05-05 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xf2a0ef…
05-05 06:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb06316…
05-05 06:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f108d…
05-05 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x31b684…
05-05 06:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35ba7a…
05-05 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x25cc61…
05-05 06:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb79be4…
05-05 06:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf96a1…
05-05 06:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc3820…
05-05 06:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0xa5c7c9…
05-05 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xcb9a89…
05-05 06:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdb07f0…
05-05 05:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x92a969…
05-05 04:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	38¢	$27	0x574e5f…
05-05 04:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0xfadd16…
05-05 03:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xcd9831…
05-05 03:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xbffcc1…
05-05 03:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x6f66ea…
05-05 03:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x516fc3…
05-05 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xfd753b…
05-05 03:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0xf5ace6…
05-05 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xff33f4…
05-05 03:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xbb07a5…
05-05 02:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xf5a6fc…
05-05 02:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0xdd7873…
05-05 00:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x214922…
05-05 00:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa28114…
05-04 23:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xc7eb2b…
05-04 22:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$19	0x2b1ffb…
05-04 22:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x2eb6f3…
05-04 22:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x57799d…
05-04 21:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa8474c…
05-04 20:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xefe4d3…
05-04 20:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc327a3…
05-04 20:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x870674…
05-04 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f28c0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	53	$16.6K	272	05-05 15:59
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	49	$832	182	05-05 15:59
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	44	$5.45K	233	05-05 15:59
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	41	$1.64K	98	05-05 15:59
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	38	$1.41K	100	05-05 15:57
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	37	$625	94	05-05 15:52
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	33	$1.71K	163	05-05 15:59
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	32	$2.58K	145	05-05 15:57