Quarterly-Ignorance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

197

Trades

29,869

lifetime

Volume

$713.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-26 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$5,358

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 626 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	42	$15.9K	9,890	9,890	+0	open	—	05-16 09:04
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 6pm et	100	$11.1K	6,107	6,030	+77	open	—	04-12 23:00
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	94	$7.4K	3,950	3,920	+30	open	—	04-20 19:00
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 6am et	42	$5.9K	3,583	3,500	+83	open	—	04-18 11:00
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 7pm et	92	$5.9K	3,568	3,486	+82	open	—	04-13 00:00
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6am et	59	$5.4K	2,937	2,908	+29	open	—	04-22 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	91	$5.4K	6,687	0	+6,687	open	—	05-03 17:43
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 5pm et	113	$5.4K	3,102	3,046	+56	open	—	04-10 22:00
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 3am et	61	$5.2K	3,097	3,029	+68	open	—	04-19 08:00
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 6pm et	87	$4.8K	2,928	2,856	+72	open	—	04-10 23:00
ethereum up or down on march 24 2026	24	$4.5K	2,768	2,730	+38	open	—	03-24 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1AM ET	45	$4.3K	5,332	0	+5,332	open	—	04-26 05:27
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 4am et	65	$4.3K	2,634	2,569	+65	open	—	04-13 09:00
btc updown 5m 1773844800	66	$4.0K	6,679	11	+6,668	open	—	03-18 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	80	$4.0K	5,697	0	+5,697	open	—	05-03 22:27
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 6pm et	25	$4.0K	2,575	2,498	+77	open	—	04-19 23:16
btc updown 5m 1773897900	41	$3.9K	4,921	0	+4,921	open	—	03-19 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	87	$3.9K	5,137	0	+5,137	open	—	04-25 10:34
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6pm et	28	$3.8K	4,064	0	+4,064	open	—	04-23 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12PM ET	50	$3.7K	5,322	0	+5,322	open	—	04-25 16:56
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	30	$3.6K	2,063	2,029	+34	open	—	04-10 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	109	$3.5K	6,301	0	+6,301	open	—	05-01 16:55
btc updown 5m 1773812400	91	$3.5K	4,856	0	+4,856	open	—	03-18 05:44
btc updown 5m 1774032000	53	$3.4K	3,947	0	+3,947	open	—	03-20 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	90	$3.4K	5,420	248	+5,172	open	—	05-04 02:44
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7am et	22	$3.3K	2,182	2,114	+68	open	—	04-22 12:14
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3am et	63	$3.3K	1,850	1,825	+25	open	—	04-13 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	80	$3.2K	3,981	0	+3,981	open	—	04-25 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	56	$3.2K	1,715	1,727	-12	open	—	05-16 08:00
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 8am et	21	$3.2K	2,723	2,591	+132	open	—	04-07 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 11:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0x1a5656…
05-26 11:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xefab27…
05-26 11:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xf2f7fa…
05-26 11:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xbd45e8…
05-26 11:19:22	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8c044d…
05-26 11:19:20	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1afd82…
05-26 10:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x02173e…
05-26 10:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x75a8b0…
05-26 10:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x49deee…
05-26 10:49:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x93a7ef…
05-26 10:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5fdcad…
05-26 10:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x740083…
05-26 10:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe24188…
05-26 10:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf76156…
05-26 10:48:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x13243d…
05-26 10:48:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x3969ee…
05-26 06:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xbbfc85…
05-26 01:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3224cb…
05-26 01:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xd19135…
05-26 00:52:06	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5fd34a…
05-26 00:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0xc6e66d…
05-26 00:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x07cf76…
05-26 00:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xe983ca…
05-25 23:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x643539…
05-25 23:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xaaea33…
05-25 23:08:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x9554ec…
05-25 22:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x40a312…
05-25 22:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x6c92c6…
05-25 22:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x3097c1…
05-25 22:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xfcee4f…
05-25 22:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x8d2035…
05-25 22:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xbc2939…
05-25 22:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x92a804…
05-25 22:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x89001f…
05-25 22:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x5a3405…
05-25 22:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	287	11¢	$31	0xd93a82…
05-25 22:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x917089…
05-25 17:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0xfa78ae…
05-25 17:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	76	9¢	$7	0x24e174…
05-25 17:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0xeb76cf…
05-25 17:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	126	9¢	$11	0x924e51…
05-25 17:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	104	9¢	$9	0x1188ae…
05-25 17:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	175	9¢	$16	0xd4df20…
05-25 17:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	128	9¢	$12	0xd356bf…
05-25 17:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0xb77c83…
05-25 17:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0x6ecbf6…
05-25 17:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x152eba…
05-25 17:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	72	9¢	$6	0x3165d4…
05-25 17:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xd68753…
05-25 17:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x656376…
05-25 17:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	79	9¢	$7	0x58ef5b…
05-25 17:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0xdcd846…
05-25 17:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xfc07c5…
05-25 17:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd81550…
05-25 17:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xe721c5…
05-25 17:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x89acd6…
05-25 17:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x2b3fae…
05-25 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xb053ef…
05-25 17:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	132	8¢	$11	0xfa35bc…
05-25 15:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xe92518…
05-25 15:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x560274…
05-25 15:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x0e2038…
05-25 15:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x9aa5d8…
05-25 15:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xd71509…
05-25 12:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x92641f…
05-25 12:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	81	21¢	$17	0xaeb626…
05-25 12:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x3fe19a…
05-25 12:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3c4a31…
05-25 07:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd99164…
05-25 07:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x39a7a8…
05-25 07:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa6fa17…
05-25 07:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x33ba9a…
05-25 06:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xdf290e…
05-25 06:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcd2fc6…
05-25 06:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc920a0…
05-25 06:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xe9d94b…
05-25 06:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xa68639…
05-25 06:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa07c22…
05-25 06:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x230ec9…
05-25 06:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8c0922…
05-25 06:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe93ee2…
05-25 06:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xe76261…
05-25 06:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x583382…
05-25 06:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x694732…
05-25 06:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x55a647…
05-25 06:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x1a5074…
05-25 06:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	40	16¢	$7	0x0127ab…
05-25 06:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	97	16¢	$16	0x6e252b…
05-25 06:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	95	17¢	$16	0x1c2ed0…
05-25 06:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	48	16¢	$8	0xb51c03…
05-25 03:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb508e3…
05-25 03:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0x0b6cdd…
05-25 03:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xf4cb62…
05-25 03:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x87b7c2…
05-25 03:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0b469b…
05-25 03:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xf62cd8…
05-25 03:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x89e3a9…
05-25 03:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xf1b2d5…
05-25 03:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xd697f4…
05-25 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xa3b346…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	718	$396.6K	30,618	05-25 17:35
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	710	$355.4K	13,924	05-25 17:32
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	588	$19.5K	2,477	04-30 09:45
Sweet-Convection 0xc0ff…136b	576	$15.9K	2,469	05-24 22:00
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	555	$168.6K	9,902	05-25 03:56
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	520	$1.16K	1,595	05-25 17:46
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	500	$99.7K	23,101	05-25 17:42
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	483	$457.9K	25,215	03-31 13:45