SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?
open
Total volume
$3,145
$32,690 in 24h
Trades
67
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$29,739
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
18¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 10:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+51.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $778
vs crowd: 48% YES on $2.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $778 | — | +$778 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $305 | $1.2K | $858 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $778 | — | +$778 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $346 | $346 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $75 | $724 | $649 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $223 | $41 | +$182 |
| unranked | 6 | $5 | $51 | $46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danico 0xaee1…77fc | Down | +1,915 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 05-08 09:34 |
| Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | +1,031 | $778 | $778 | 7 | 05-08 10:39 |
| Live-Ambition 0xb41c…5bd3 | Down | +934 | $346 | $346 | 1 | 05-08 01:02 |
| Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Up | +250 | $178 | $178 | 1 | 05-08 05:32 |
| Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | +190 | $75 | $75 | 5 | 05-07 23:11 |
| Personal-Plight 0xad87…dd81 | Down | +156 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-08 06:40 |
| Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | +117 | $45 | $45 | 11 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Eager-Cook 0x8487…592f | Down | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 04:46 |
| Only-Deck 0x9df1…7776 | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 00:37 |
| Minty-Teenager 0xd5b5…eb38 | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 09:35 |
| Focused-Metaphor-Skyscraper 0x1092…90f0 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 04:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9dff…4ed5 | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 10:29 |
| Gracious-Hydrolyze 0x4421…01a5 | Down | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xed89…a505 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 05:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 10:59:27 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x4c1da7… |
| 05-08 10:39:11 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 133 | 79¢ | $105 | 0x85d49d… |
| 05-08 10:29:26 | (anonymous) 0x9dff…4ed5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb99a96… |
| 05-08 09:55:15 | Gracious-Hydrolyze 0x4421…01a5 | Down | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x66566f… |
| 05-08 09:49:57 | (anonymous) 0x94d2…5b79 | Up | SELL | 100 | 77¢ | $77 | 0xc7c460… |
| 05-08 09:49:55 | Earnest-Bust 0x19b1…45d6 | Up | SELL | 193 | 77¢ | $149 | 0xce299f… |
| 05-08 09:35:37 | Minty-Teenager 0xd5b5…eb38 | Up | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x7e6e2c… |
| 05-08 09:34:33 | Danico 0xaee1…77fc | Down | BUY | 1,915 | 21¢ | $400 | 0x97a5af… |
| 05-08 08:10:47 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0x4c9379… |
| 05-08 08:10:47 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 93 | 75¢ | $70 | 0xd958ee… |
| 05-08 08:10:45 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0x89da41… |
| 05-08 08:10:38 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0x9cec1a… |
| 05-08 08:10:24 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x412133… |
| 05-08 08:10:13 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0xce71a3… |
| 05-08 08:05:14 | Speedy-Truth 0x41f3…844e | Up | SELL | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x3abb94… |
| 05-08 06:40:16 | Personal-Plight 0xad87…dd81 | Down | BUY | 156 | 25¢ | $39 | 0xb80c12… |
| 05-08 05:44:43 | (anonymous) 0xed89…a505 | Up | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x272224… |
| 05-08 05:33:39 | Sizzling-Safari 0xf40f…c3bc | Down | SELL | 455 | 28¢ | $127 | 0x94cfb9… |
| 05-08 05:32:40 | Quarrelsome-Cake 0xa61b…9d74 | Up | BUY | 250 | 71¢ | $178 | 0x2e647b… |
| 05-08 05:30:16 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xfb0b9e… |
| 05-08 05:30:16 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x837148… |
| 05-08 05:30:16 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x2bf745… |
| 05-08 05:30:16 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x828db8… |
| 05-08 05:30:15 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x8332ce… |
| 05-08 05:30:15 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x015463… |
| 05-08 05:30:11 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x090ee4… |
| 05-08 05:20:00 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7f1cd4… |
| 05-08 05:19:43 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x25b119… |
| 05-08 05:19:34 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x45df72… |
| 05-08 05:18:42 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x9420e0… |
| 05-08 04:54:48 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x0e20e2… |
| 05-08 04:54:47 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf65000… |
| 05-08 04:54:47 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x497757… |
| 05-08 04:54:31 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xaaebc4… |
| 05-08 04:54:26 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xa45acd… |
| 05-08 04:53:59 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x9da713… |
| 05-08 04:53:59 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xe3959f… |
| 05-08 04:53:54 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 13 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xdaa563… |
| 05-08 04:53:52 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 18 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xfedfea… |
| 05-08 04:53:33 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 12 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xf9d3df… |
| 05-08 04:53:33 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xdc434e… |
| 05-08 04:46:54 | Eager-Cook 0x8487…592f | Down | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0xbcb711… |
| 05-08 04:42:04 | Focused-Metaphor-Skyscraper 0x1092…90f0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x6bb5d6… |
| 05-08 03:46:12 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Down | BUY | 133 | 31¢ | $41 | 0xb4d1e2… |
| 05-08 01:02:09 | Live-Ambition 0xb41c…5bd3 | Down | BUY | 934 | 37¢ | $346 | 0x067b99… |
| 05-08 00:42:27 | Shocked-Cirrus 0xb0d9…a88d | Up | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xa219a2… |
| 05-08 00:37:14 | Only-Deck 0x9df1…7776 | Down | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xc42e2c… |
| 05-07 23:11:34 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x3924fc… |
| 05-07 23:11:29 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | BUY | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x8fcc01… |
| 05-07 23:11:22 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x593552… |
| 05-07 23:01:24 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 28 | 39¢ | $11 | 0x9d4842… |
| 05-07 23:01:18 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x9837e4… |
| 05-07 23:01:18 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x970f12… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xc32154… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xb7467d… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x615b1c… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xafae6c… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x58ae8f… |
| 05-07 23:01:15 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x1031d2… |
| 05-07 23:01:13 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xefac22… |
| 05-07 23:01:13 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x069e24… |
| 05-07 23:01:11 | Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458 | Up | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x0659b6… |
| 05-07 23:01:11 | Self-Assured-Sidecar 0xa308…4501 | Up | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0xfc1c20… |
| 05-07 22:31:25 | Vast-Improvement 0xfac2…f35f | Down | SELL | 304 | 53¢ | $160 | 0x93e7b9… |
| 05-07 21:41:13 | Insubstantial-Nightlight 0xad31…5217 | Down | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $6 | 0xfa26c1… |
| 05-07 21:41:09 | Disguised-Commotion 0x2e44…79c9 | Down | SELL | 500 | 61¢ | $305 | 0x9e2498… |
| 05-07 21:07:23 | Disguised-Commotion 0x2e44…79c9 | Down | BUY | 500 | 64¢ | $320 | 0x4ade62… |