Infantile-Patch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

11,273

lifetime

Volume

$36.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-10 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

56% 57% $-29

Crypto

40% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$7

Politics

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 596 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No		+22	$18	100¢	$22	+$3	05-31 20:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+22	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	05-31 22:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	44	$2.9K	1,495	1,495	+0	open	—	05-14 17:48
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	29	$1.8K	1,032	1,032	+0	open	—	05-15 19:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	41	$1.8K	1,035	1,028	+6	open	—	05-14 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	32	$935	546	446	+100	open	—	05-25 14:25
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$790	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-12 07:34
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	25	$692	589	648	-59	open	—	05-15 20:11
bitcoin above 90k on january 24	247	$601	1,187	4	+1,183	open	—	01-23 22:20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	15	$567	600	602	-2	open	—	05-29 16:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	20	$457	346	346	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 15:29
bitcoin above 88k on january 23	192	$446	898	8	+891	open	—	01-23 12:19
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	33	$442	573	573	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 15:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	14	$430	310	310	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 18:29
cs2 3dmax ice 2026 01 15	179	$424	434	378	+56	open	—	01-15 15:45
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	22	$375	583	223	+360	Up	+$3	05-05 17:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	11	$367	1,122	1,078	+44	open	—	05-31 22:36
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	7	$366	365	305	+60	Up	+$6	05-08 15:47
bitcoin up or down january 18 11am et	160	$353	696	3	+693	open	—	01-18 16:39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	10	$348	428	115	+314	open	—	05-15 19:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	4	$318	340	340	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 16:43
spx up or down on january 9 2026	80	$297	185	185	+0	open	—	01-09 17:42
lol ig1 al 2026 01 15	74	$253	180	172	+8	open	—	01-15 10:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	7	$245	181	181	+0	open	—	05-22 09:36
spx up or down on june 10 2026	2	$241	127	127	+0	open	—	06-10 17:48
lol dk ns 2026 01 21	100	$230	446	8	+438	open	—	01-21 10:24
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	66	$230	305	322	-17	open	—	04-22 09:18
bitcoin up or down january 14 2pm et	98	$217	234	201	+32	open	—	01-14 19:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	22	$216	357	257	+100	open	—	05-20 15:54
lol blg al 2026 01 17	76	$216	174	160	+15	open	—	01-17 11:43
bitcoin up or down on january 21	92	$216	420	7	+413	open	—	01-21 14:41
spx up or down on january 15 2026	32	$214	111	111	+0	open	—	01-15 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 17:48:54	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	127	96¢	$121	0x38fe32…
06-10 17:48:46	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	127	95¢	$120	0x5402c6…
06-10 15:48:03	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0xd793e6…
06-10 15:48:00	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	450	5¢	$22	0x96e3c7…
06-10 15:47:49	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	700	10¢	$70	0x73e167…
06-10 12:30:22	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	225	2¢	$5	0x232e07…
06-10 12:26:06	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	240	1¢	$3	0x7f21a1…
06-10 12:25:46	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	230	1¢	$3	0x7243d4…
06-10 12:25:36	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x52ddd1…
06-10 12:24:07	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	700	1¢	$8	0x562194…
06-04 16:46:01	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	232	0¢	$0	0xe31254…
06-04 16:27:42	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0x9889de…
06-04 16:02:39	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd17cef…
06-04 16:02:27	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	542	1¢	$5	0x469247…
05-31 22:36:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	768	16¢	$123	0xc9c21d…
05-31 22:34:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xc9f05d…
05-31 22:17:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x8978bc…
05-31 22:10:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x7facbb…
05-31 21:54:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xa9642f…
05-31 20:52:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	16¢	$26	0xba3a49…
05-31 20:50:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x48a2c9…
05-31 20:49:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x50d921…
05-31 20:36:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x112ff3…
05-31 20:34:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x52e9a9…
05-31 20:06:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	16¢	$176	0x5ffd5b…
05-29 16:22:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x2d540c…
05-29 16:22:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	51	75¢	$38	0x690f7b…
05-29 16:21:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x42750d…
05-29 16:10:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xdcb7d4…
05-29 15:42:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xbf690b…
05-29 09:07:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x03c963…
05-29 09:07:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x6d6ea8…
05-29 09:06:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x42d282…
05-29 09:06:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x84277e…
05-29 09:06:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x00f5af…
05-29 09:06:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x48f4e0…
05-29 09:06:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x9ae5f6…
05-29 09:06:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x170e4e…
05-29 09:06:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xaa0257…
05-29 09:05:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x0b499f…
05-28 20:57:37	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1a113b…
05-26 16:23:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x00bba5…
05-26 16:22:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	110	7¢	$7	0x9c554d…
05-26 16:22:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	155	6¢	$10	0x5d6a17…
05-25 14:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xea35ce…
05-25 14:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa2f78b…
05-25 14:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xef3a14…
05-25 14:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe00744…
05-25 14:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x88f013…
05-25 14:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x65b5b7…
05-25 14:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeea261…
05-25 13:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x675fd3…
05-25 13:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x5668d9…
05-25 13:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x304a35…
05-25 13:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xc9e7e3…
05-25 13:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x352134…
05-25 13:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x50bb03…
05-25 13:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x333891…
05-25 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x2463e9…
05-25 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd1ed78…
05-25 13:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe7d84c…
05-25 13:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xcbceb6…
05-25 13:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x7194c0…
05-25 13:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0xba729d…
05-25 13:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x5c1b70…
05-25 13:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xf739de…
05-25 13:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x111c89…
05-25 13:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcc7c4d…
05-25 13:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1965d5…
05-25 13:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xfe4d1c…
05-25 13:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x310cde…
05-25 13:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x03626f…
05-25 13:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3d9fc4…
05-25 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xa567a9…
05-25 12:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5a7c09…
05-25 12:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe43e8a…
05-22 09:38:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	80	65¢	$52	0xd08943…
05-22 09:36:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xc2201f…
05-22 09:27:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x225aa5…
05-22 09:03:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xf246f2…
05-22 09:01:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0xb32ffe…
05-22 09:01:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	28	69¢	$20	0x6da3a1…
05-22 08:32:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xaaed63…
05-22 08:31:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x182122…
05-22 08:21:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x406607…
05-22 08:16:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x96a6ca…
05-22 08:06:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	50	71¢	$35	0x017e01…
05-22 07:56:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x485d6f…
05-20 20:54:01	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xdd760b…
05-20 19:20:22	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x5f9e35…
05-20 19:17:13	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfcc404…
05-20 18:56:17	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x065f70…
05-20 18:37:56	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa4278a…
05-20 17:00:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x0c68ab…
05-20 16:53:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8488c7…
05-20 15:54:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xab1155…
05-20 15:53:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x7bc799…
05-20 14:14:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x0b9952…
05-20 14:14:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x11d778…
05-20 14:14:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	35	44¢	$16	0x1a2850…