Sturdy-Accessory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$630

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

22,876

Trades

61,029

lifetime

Volume

$455.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-01 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 288 days

Categories

Other

58% 97% -$880

Crypto

29% 99% -$96

Sports

10% 89% +$309

Politics

3% 97% +$20

Tech

0% 99% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 292 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 6?	14	$6.1K	3,068	3,068	+0	No	+$53	06-06 11:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	1	$4.0K	4,045	0	+4,045	Yes	+$45	06-04 15:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?	9	$3.1K	3,221	21	+3,200	Yes	+$150	06-02 15:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on June 3?	1	$3.0K	3,046	0	+3,046	No	+$46	06-03 15:45
nhl van utah 2026 02 02	185	$1.3K	885	885	+0	Utah	+$7	02-03 02:43
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	130	$822	625	630	-5	O'Malley	+$5	01-24 21:00
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?	32	$693	382	381	+1	No	-$26	04-23 15:43
nba atl por 2026 01 15	76	$433	360	360	+0	Trail Blazers	-$4	01-16 03:01
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	66	$432	310	320	-10	Gaethje	+$8	01-24 21:04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 9?	9	$360	361	0	+361	No	+$1	06-09 13:21
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 15?	9	$315	315	0	+315	No	+$0	06-15 12:33
nba lal lac 2026 01 22	65	$289	279	279	+0	Clippers	+$3	01-23 03:01
nba min dal 2026 01 28	33	$285	208	208	+0	Timberwolves	+$3	01-29 01:45
nba den mil 2026 01 23	51	$285	200	205	-5	Nuggets	+$7	01-24 01:36
atp tabilo carabel 2026 01 11	61	$281	160	160	+0	Tabilo	+$4	01-12 23:42
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 14?	8	$280	280	0	+280	No	+$0	06-14 12:03
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11?	8	$280	281	0	+281	No	+$1	06-11 11:20
nba nop cha 2026 02 02	78	$278	235	235	+0	Hornets	+$4	02-02 22:21
spl okh kho 2026 01 13 draw	66	$274	190	190	+0	No	+$2	01-13 17:18
crint ind nzl 2026 01 21	42	$274	180	195	-15	India	-$2	01-21 13:36
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 6?	9	$270	274	0	+274	No	+$4	06-06 12:05
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on June 6?	9	$270	271	0	+271	No	+$1	06-06 10:05
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12?	7	$245	247	0	+247	No	+$2	06-12 12:20
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12?	7	$245	247	0	+247	Yes	+$2	06-12 12:20
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 5?	13	$245	246	0	+246	No	+$1	06-05 06:46
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 12?	7	$245	246	0	+246	No	+$1	06-12 05:05
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 13?	7	$245	245	0	+245	No	+$0	06-13 11:18
nba nop ind 2026 01 16	45	$243	195	195	+0	Pacers	+$1	01-17 00:10
atp fritz jodar 2026 02 19	39	$240	156	156	+0	Fritz	+$1	02-20 03:30
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	47	$228	197	205	-7	Seahawks	-$1	01-25 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:20:10	Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x40ce6d…
10-22 20:21:12	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa5e76d…
10-22 20:16:38	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x622c44…
10-22 17:27:57	Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x46f9c1…
10-22 17:27:05	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64724a…
10-22 17:27:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x135499…
10-22 17:26:59	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0061cf…
10-22 17:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfe9a10…
10-22 17:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 47°F or below on October 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2b92ab…
10-22 17:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe13dbb…
10-22 17:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd806d…
10-22 17:19:24	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3008b…
10-22 17:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x02815a…
10-22 17:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaa25e0…
10-22 16:26:09	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed0d1a…
10-22 16:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 47°F or below on October 23?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd73455…
10-22 16:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72a492…
10-22 16:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x535d9f…
10-22 13:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8d3493…
10-22 11:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab2147…
10-22 09:26:24	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x72d4dd…
10-22 09:12:26	Will White House post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x273835…
10-22 09:12:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd2fa51…
10-22 09:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe26ac6…
10-22 09:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5bb30…
10-22 08:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9f015d…
10-22 08:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1b33cd…
10-22 08:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x75cac8…
10-22 08:49:56	Will White House post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaeab83…
10-22 08:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x886a94…
10-22 08:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x695e6a…
10-22 08:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1c3c8…
10-22 08:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on October 18?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x319d5f…
10-22 08:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaf8af9…
10-22 08:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x211c48…
10-22 08:09:51	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x27ee49…
10-22 08:00:38	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c8fdc…
10-22 08:00:32	Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd47b6…
10-22 08:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0176e0…
10-22 07:55:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f19d6…
10-22 07:55:51	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8624a2…
10-22 07:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd721c4…
10-22 07:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc28a32…
10-22 07:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x365053…
10-22 07:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 22?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc11254…
10-22 07:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x90cc13…
10-22 07:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa13726…
10-22 07:40:41	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b45a3…
10-22 07:37:00	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e93ad…
10-22 07:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb18712…
10-22 07:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf93cb3…
10-22 07:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x64e558…
10-22 07:21:53	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbc1347…
10-22 07:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x301f49…
10-22 07:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xad65ac…
10-22 07:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x364d00…
10-22 06:51:42	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29ac3c…
10-22 06:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb14733…
10-22 06:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf35915…
10-22 06:36:26	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9117c9…
10-22 06:36:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5dbbe8…
10-22 06:36:23	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d0b32…
10-22 06:36:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30f3a6…
10-22 06:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfb8f46…
10-22 06:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x025c2c…
10-22 06:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x99fd3b…
10-22 06:28:17	Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x94c044…
10-22 06:06:08	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88f506…
10-22 05:41:10	Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x977e02…
10-22 05:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x373a99…
10-22 05:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xab6c85…
10-22 05:28:50	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or higher on October 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6600c3…
10-22 05:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3a27a8…
10-22 05:23:17	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x75baaf…
10-22 05:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3cc5a0…
10-22 05:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0705df…
10-22 05:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x259088…
10-22 05:12:42	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ca500…
10-22 05:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf54750…
10-22 05:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfb5e2d…
10-22 04:19:48	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30c696…
10-22 04:19:47	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9c723…
10-21 20:04:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd29bed…
10-21 20:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x1384dc…
10-21 20:03:57	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2f601…
10-21 20:03:56	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfc5bef…
10-21 20:03:56	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe92a54…
10-21 20:03:56	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc7c74…
10-21 20:03:54	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa171de…
10-21 20:03:54	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x021b52…
10-21 20:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa58c8a…
10-21 20:03:09	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x056845…
10-21 18:45:39	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3cb647…
10-21 18:26:41	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81337f…
10-21 18:26:41	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5cd8e6…
10-21 18:26:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa131c5…
10-21 18:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a8b9b…
10-21 18:26:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x20e707…
10-21 18:24:50	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd31d18…
10-21 18:24:50	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf2752…