Creamy-Value — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$322

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$126.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$399

Open exposure

$661

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 07-01 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$221

Politics

13% 100% +$55

Other

7% 100% +$46

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+662	$652	100¢	$661	+$9	06-29 08:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	2	$1.5K	759	759	+0	open	—	05-21 16:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	2	$1.5K	757	757	+0	open	—	05-21 12:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$1.5K	764	764	+0	open	—	05-21 09:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	2	$1.4K	718	718	+0	open	—	05-23 10:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$1.4K	719	719	+0	open	—	04-23 03:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$1.4K	768	768	+0	open	—	05-21 17:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	2	$1.4K	785	785	+0	open	—	05-15 13:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	2	$1.3K	671	671	+0	open	—	05-27 16:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$1.3K	724	724	+0	open	—	05-23 08:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	2	$1.3K	670	670	+0	open	—	05-28 06:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$1.1K	716	716	+0	open	—	05-25 21:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	695	695	+0	open	—	05-31 15:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	2	$885	889	20	+869	open	—	05-17 23:43
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	1	$871	884	0	+884	open	—	05-17 12:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	1	$867	883	0	+883	open	—	05-17 00:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	1	$861	877	0	+877	open	—	05-16 08:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	1	$861	876	0	+876	open	—	05-16 12:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	2	$832	569	569	+0	open	—	06-01 13:12
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$791	808	0	+808	open	—	04-14 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	1	$772	790	0	+790	open	—	05-16 12:01
will bitcoin reach 69k on april 5	2	$745	761	0	+761	open	—	04-05 12:02
ethereum above 2100 on april 5	1	$742	755	0	+755	open	—	04-05 08:00
bitcoin above 66k on april 4	1	$739	751	0	+751	open	—	04-04 08:01
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 4	1	$738	756	0	+756	open	—	04-04 20:00
bitcoin above 68k on april 4	1	$735	751	0	+751	open	—	04-04 08:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 15?	1	$733	746	0	+746	open	—	05-15 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	1	$733	749	0	+749	open	—	05-23 04:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	1	$733	752	0	+752	open	—	05-23 04:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	1	$733	747	0	+747	open	—	05-15 00:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$731	749	0	+749	open	—	05-14 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:00:52	ethereum above 1500 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	671	98¢	$660	0x95d437…
07-01 04:00:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	677	98¢	$662	0xf92ca2…
07-01 00:00:47	bitcoin above 56k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	674	98¢	$660	0xbf8eca…
06-30 16:00:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	522	98¢	$514	0x55e21a…
06-30 08:00:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	669	98¢	$658	0x08d28c…
06-30 04:00:56	bitcoin above 62k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	672	98¢	$658	0x9c102f…
06-30 00:00:49	ethereum above 1700 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	390	98¢	$382	0x963d27…
06-29 16:00:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0x8d0f31…
06-29 12:00:58	bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	621	98¢	$611	0x0f0fb4…
06-29 08:01:01	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	662	98¢	$652	0x89fadb…
06-29 00:01:04	bitcoin above 56k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	667	97¢	$650	0x1651f9…
06-28 08:01:13	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	656	98¢	$644	0xa2b2d9…
06-28 00:01:04	bitcoin above 62k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	659	98¢	$644	0x36b8b1…
06-27 08:01:11	bitcoin above 62k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	656	98¢	$642	0x79f94c…
06-27 04:01:14	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	656	98¢	$640	0x94a67a…
06-24 04:01:10	bitcoin above 60k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	648	98¢	$634	0x7b6cd9…
06-24 04:01:01	ethereum above 1600 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	651	97¢	$634	0xbb8301…
06-23 08:00:59	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	641	98¢	$630	0xd73cc8…
06-23 08:00:50	bitcoin up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	641	98¢	$630	0x5f644e…
06-23 04:00:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x6ca07e…
06-22 12:00:46	ethereum above 1700 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	638	98¢	$626	0x09b133…
06-22 00:00:47	bitcoin above 66k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	239	98¢	$234	0x9a56fa…
06-21 04:02:05	ethereum above 1800 on june 21 2026	No	BUY	530	98¢	$522	0x33b9cd…
06-21 04:00:47	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	639	97¢	$623	0x783e88…
06-19 12:00:47	bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	633	98¢	$621	0x8cb937…
06-19 04:00:49	ethereum above 1600 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	354	98¢	$347	0x421aba…
06-19 00:01:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	630	98¢	$617	0x38f1b4…
06-19 00:00:44	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	632	98¢	$617	0x3aa190…
06-18 04:02:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	626	98¢	$613	0xdbb31d…
06-18 04:02:28	bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	624	98¢	$613	0x83908d…
06-17 00:00:56	ethereum above 1700 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	618	98¢	$609	0x225df3…
06-17 00:00:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	622	98¢	$609	0x2ca5d2…
06-16 04:01:21	ethereum above 1700 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	611	98¢	$599	0xf5ff02…
06-16 04:00:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	614	98¢	$599	0xb5c7f0…
06-16 00:00:54	ethereum above 1900 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	609	98¢	$599	0x68de0e…
06-16 00:00:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	614	97¢	$599	0xbaf052…
06-15 08:00:57	bitcoin above 64k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	609	97¢	$591	0xdee483…
06-15 04:01:06	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	604	98¢	$591	0xd788a1…
06-15 04:00:55	bitcoin above 68k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	604	98¢	$591	0x08ad53…
06-14 08:00:49	bitcoin above 66k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	604	98¢	$589	0x363f4c…
06-13 00:00:48	bitcoin above 62k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	601	97¢	$585	0x0a1a13…
06-12 12:00:54	bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	595	98¢	$585	0x5a1378…
06-01 13:12:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	569	48¢	$272	0xd5513f…
06-01 12:00:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	569	98¢	$559	0x1927b8…
06-01 08:00:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	644	98¢	$630	0x697d93…
06-01 04:00:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	643	98¢	$628	0xe1639e…
05-31 15:03:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	695	53¢	$369	0x9a9aae…
05-30 12:01:13	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0x6d98f3…
05-30 12:01:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	695	97¢	$678	0xdffab8…
05-30 08:01:28	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	690	98¢	$676	0x6bf4b5…
05-30 08:01:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	690	98¢	$676	0x3fc31c…
05-30 08:01:07	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	692	98¢	$676	0x55cfea…
05-29 00:00:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	688	98¢	$674	0xcc1b37…
05-28 08:01:01	Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	678	98¢	$664	0xfb1162…
05-28 06:00:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	670	99¢	$666	0x48448c…
05-28 04:30:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0abb9b…
05-28 04:01:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	670	98¢	$654	0xda9bce…
05-28 00:01:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	675	98¢	$664	0x4c3957…
05-28 00:01:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	680	98¢	$664	0x307c17…
05-27 16:30:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	671	100¢	$670	0xb07b15…
05-27 16:00:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	676	98¢	$662	0x50218a…
05-27 08:01:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	671	98¢	$660	0xfb8856…
05-27 00:00:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	676	97¢	$658	0x4cdad0…
05-26 00:00:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	667	98¢	$656	0xce20b3…
05-25 21:43:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	716	62¢	$443	0x334dee…
05-25 08:00:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	716	98¢	$701	0xabf41c…
05-24 12:00:57	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	No	BUY	709	98¢	$697	0x6f443c…
05-24 04:00:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?	No	BUY	711	98¢	$695	0x92ef89…
05-23 10:30:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	SELL	718	99¢	$714	0x4f910c…
05-23 08:41:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	724	86¢	$624	0x3c619a…
05-23 08:01:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	724	97¢	$703	0xe38975…
05-23 08:01:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	718	98¢	$703	0x01d4c9…
05-23 04:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Down	BUY	749	98¢	$733	0x2a1c4e…
05-23 04:01:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	752	98¢	$733	0xccd26c…
05-22 04:01:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	748	97¢	$729	0xf0f87e…
05-21 17:17:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	768	85¢	$651	0xd5dba0…
05-21 16:30:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	No	SELL	759	100¢	$758	0x48552f…
05-21 16:00:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$165	0x2fecfa…
05-21 12:30:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	757	100¢	$755	0x62c365…
05-21 12:00:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	768	97¢	$747	0x7c88b0…
05-21 09:32:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	764	98¢	$747	0xe29ac9…
05-21 08:00:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21?	No	BUY	759	98¢	$747	0x265a93…
05-21 06:54:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	757	98¢	$745	0xc95110…
05-21 06:54:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	764	97¢	$745	0xc5b063…
05-18 00:01:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	694	98¢	$680	0x48a05e…
05-17 23:43:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xddb2b5…
05-17 20:01:00	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	685	98¢	$674	0x961da2…
05-17 20:00:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	889	98¢	$871	0x938915…
05-17 12:01:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	No	BUY	884	98¢	$871	0xf94531…
05-17 04:01:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	432	98¢	$426	0x7c882f…
05-17 00:01:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	883	98¢	$867	0x14a6ac…
05-16 20:00:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	158	98¢	$156	0x405645…
05-16 12:01:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	876	98¢	$861	0x1d161b…
05-16 12:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Down	BUY	790	98¢	$772	0xefd1a3…
05-16 08:01:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	877	98¢	$861	0x7b0273…
05-15 20:00:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	98¢	$402	0x0d23c3…
05-15 16:01:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x514e06…
05-15 13:53:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	785	78¢	$609	0x331711…
05-15 12:01:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	785	98¢	$772	0x28cea6…
05-15 00:01:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	747	98¢	$733	0x792850…