Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?
No won
Total volume
$126,686
Trades
1,698
Unique wallets
252
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-10-03
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-03 15:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.5¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $78.9K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $112.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 32 | $6.9K | $89.7K | $82.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 57 | $2.3K | $11.2K | $8.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 45 | $549 | $1.4K | $896 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 118 | $402 | $376 | +$26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 31 | $5.9K | $73.0K | $67.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 34 | $439 | $5.3K | $4.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $42 | $876 | $834 |
| Median | 35 | $48 | $164 | $116 |
| Below median | 83 | $363 | $1.7K | $1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $167 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $988 | $9.8K | $8.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 28 | $2.2K | $9.4K | $7.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +22,976 | $18,656 | $18,656 | 33 | 10-03 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4ce…dcc5 | Yes | +11,039 | $810 | $810 | 2 | 10-02 18:43 |
| Tender-Likelihood 0x77e7…88ad | No | +8,890 | $8,823 | $8,823 | 25 | 10-03 13:00 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | +7,929 | $6,564 | $11,078 | 93 | 10-03 15:55 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | +7,851 | $591 | $721 | 98 | 10-03 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfa4…6ba3 | Yes | +6,487 | $183 | $183 | 5 | 10-02 22:24 |
| Gruesome-Suffocation 0xb00c…4a39 | Yes | +6,136 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-03 12:28 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +4,987 | $4,831 | $8,272 | 19 | 10-03 15:06 |
| Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | +4,838 | $4,782 | $4,782 | 20 | 10-03 13:58 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +4,527 | $1,671 | $1,671 | 22 | 10-02 16:45 |
| Glossy-Routine 0xafe6…8192 | Yes | +4,444 | $53 | $53 | 5 | 10-03 13:04 |
| Hearty-Sprat 0xc2db…6865 | No | +3,925 | $3,921 | $3,921 | 1 | 10-03 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb95f…6622 | Yes | +3,909 | $156 | $156 | 1 | 10-02 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d6…8d38 | Yes | +3,750 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 10-03 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | +3,385 | $3,073 | $7,511 | 43 | 10-03 06:39 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +3,304 | $3,204 | $3,204 | 11 | 10-03 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | No | +3,191 | $3,103 | $3,103 | 9 | 10-03 06:32 |
| Cavernous-Agriculture 0x7db2…1b3b | No | +3,134 | $3,128 | $3,128 | 3 | 10-03 15:20 |
| Wiggly-Prestige 0x55be…dca3 | Yes | +3,117 | $902 | $902 | 22 | 10-02 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +2,897 | $119 | $119 | 70 | 10-03 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +2,791 | $2,683 | $2,683 | 35 | 10-03 14:23 |
| Average-Counsellor 0x2bc8…b4da | Yes | +2,576 | $164 | $164 | 14 | 10-03 04:49 |
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | No | +2,383 | $2,155 | $2,155 | 40 | 10-03 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x76ee…471c | No | +2,208 | $2,196 | $2,196 | 3 | 10-03 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | No | +2,167 | $2,123 | $2,123 | 37 | 10-03 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5cc…9c21 | Yes | +2,006 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 10-02 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x375e…1963 | Yes | +2,000 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 10-02 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d7b…08a9 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-03 15:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe392…c023 | No | +1,800 | $1,289 | $1,289 | 13 | 10-02 04:19 |
| Quarrelsome-Chiffonier 0x9527…f108 | Yes | +1,745 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 10-03 15:20 |
| Wiggly-Prestige 0x55be…dca3 | No | +1,698 | $1,229 | $1,229 | 18 | 10-03 12:28 |
| Svelte-Controversy 0x77b6…7fec | No | +1,608 | $1,545 | $1,545 | 3 | 10-02 19:09 |
| Ornate-Sock 0xd5a6…6991 | Yes | +1,429 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-02 17:49 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | +1,312 | $311 | $311 | 18 | 10-03 07:03 |
| Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | +1,280 | $1,267 | $1,267 | 1 | 10-03 05:19 |
| Bustling-Safe 0x487f…1cfe | No | +1,275 | $1,266 | $1,266 | 5 | 10-03 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +1,189 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 10-03 12:26 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +1,056 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 10-03 08:40 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | +965 | $135 | $141 | 16 | 10-03 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | +964 | $848 | $848 | 4 | 10-01 03:42 |
| Bustling-Forage 0x6c27…494b | Yes | +959 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-03 03:42 |
| Prime-Hat 0x95b4…12e2 | Yes | +839 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-03 06:59 |
| Lucky-Yurt 0x52c8…6e5f | Yes | +821 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-03 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x8188…b427 | Yes | +812 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-03 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a46…a968 | Yes | +800 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-03 06:21 |
| Creamy-Value 0xcb76…7a89 | No | +784 | $764 | $764 | 1 | 10-03 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x75c3…863e | Yes | +726 | $120 | $120 | 2 | 10-02 17:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e31…a2db | Yes | +709 | $4 | $6 | 6 | 10-03 15:39 |
| Ecstatic-Brass 0x0288…d979 | Yes | +700 | $545 | $545 | 3 | 10-02 13:50 |
| Clean-Characterization 0x3b1a…ab23 | Yes | +700 | $59 | $59 | 10 | 10-03 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | +663 | $542 | $14,310 | 190 | 10-03 15:06 |
| Starchy-Chin 0x97ff…f76a | Yes | +640 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-03 12:54 |
| Decimal-Trade 0xe00b…e2de | No | +601 | $599 | $599 | 3 | 10-03 13:33 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | +517 | $457 | $457 | 7 | 10-03 12:56 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | +338 | $102 | $102 | 4 | 10-02 12:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x17db…c1e8 | No | +320 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-02 17:26 |
| Paltry-Blank 0x9473…3b20 | No | +292 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 10-02 19:27 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | No | +256 | $265 | $291 | 7 | 10-03 12:28 |
| Calm-Elephant 0x742d…100e | No | +193 | $132 | $132 | 6 | 10-02 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +180 | $169 | $169 | 36 | 10-03 12:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 15:55:21 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x304421… |
| 10-03 15:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xc0b3…7620 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x304421… |
| 10-03 15:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 186 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb901f6… |
| 10-03 15:39:48 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $27 | 0xb901f6… |
| 10-03 15:39:48 | (anonymous) 0x1e31…a2db | Yes | BUY | 513 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb901f6… |
| 10-03 15:39:48 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb901f6… |
| 10-03 15:27:32 | (anonymous) 0xa485…7b85 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x9acd06… |
| 10-03 15:27:32 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9acd06… |
| 10-03 15:20:15 | Quarrelsome-Chiffonier 0x9527…f108 | Yes | BUY | 1,600 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x4c040b… |
| 10-03 15:20:15 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c040b… |
| 10-03 15:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x2d7b…08a9 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x4c040b… |
| 10-03 15:20:15 | Hearty-Sprat 0xc2db…6865 | No | BUY | 3,925 | 100¢ | $3,921 | 0x4c040b… |
| 10-03 15:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x9b4d…08c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c040b… |
| 10-03 15:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c040b… |
| 10-03 15:20:15 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c040b… |
| 10-03 15:20:08 | Cavernous-Agriculture 0x7db2…1b3b | No | BUY | 89 | 100¢ | $89 | 0x6ec82e… |
| 10-03 15:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…25e0 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6ec82e… |
| 10-03 15:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 96 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ec82e… |
| 10-03 15:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x46d6…8d38 | Yes | BUY | 2,600 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x04d9d7… |
| 10-03 15:08:48 | Cavernous-Agriculture 0x7db2…1b3b | No | BUY | 2,600 | 100¢ | $2,595 | 0x04d9d7… |
| 10-03 15:06:42 | Cavernous-Agriculture 0x7db2…1b3b | No | BUY | 445 | 100¢ | $444 | 0x9d7e2f… |
| 10-03 15:06:42 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x9d7e2f… |
| 10-03 15:06:42 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 195 | 100¢ | $195 | 0x9d7e2f… |
| 10-03 14:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x21269a… |
| 10-03 14:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x5886…dbe4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21269a… |
| 10-03 14:51:06 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 292 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x35e15f… |
| 10-03 14:51:06 | (anonymous) 0x76ee…471c | No | BUY | 292 | 100¢ | $291 | 0x35e15f… |
| 10-03 14:50:36 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 187 | 100¢ | $186 | 0x0b8da9… |
| 10-03 14:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b8da9… |
| 10-03 14:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x76ee…471c | No | BUY | 957 | 100¢ | $953 | 0x0b8da9… |
| 10-03 14:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x0b8da9… |
| 10-03 14:50:05 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 292 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x257c7b… |
| 10-03 14:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x257c7b… |
| 10-03 14:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x76ee…471c | No | BUY | 959 | 99¢ | $953 | 0x257c7b… |
| 10-03 14:50:05 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 417 | 99¢ | $415 | 0x257c7b… |
| 10-03 14:50:05 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x257c7b… |
| 10-03 14:45:59 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8904ad… |
| 10-03 14:45:59 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8904ad… |
| 10-03 14:45:51 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 584 | 100¢ | $581 | 0xd51d6b… |
| 10-03 14:45:51 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 584 | 100¢ | $581 | 0xd51d6b… |
| 10-03 14:36:48 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x60686e… |
| 10-03 14:36:48 | Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x60686e… |
| 10-03 14:36:35 | Upbeat-Advance 0x1851…ae47 | Yes | SELL | 600 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x4c3126… |
| 10-03 14:36:35 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 600 | 100¢ | $598 | 0x4c3126… |
| 10-03 14:27:24 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xbcb37d… |
| 10-03 14:27:24 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 1,393 | 100¢ | $1,386 | 0xbcb37d… |
| 10-03 14:27:24 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcb37d… |
| 10-03 14:23:54 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0xe8e38a… |
| 10-03 14:23:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0xe8e38a… |
| 10-03 14:23:15 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | BUY | 227 | 100¢ | $226 | 0xca5984… |
| 10-03 14:23:15 | Thunderous-Violence 0x1329…b550 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca5984… |
| 10-03 14:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 155 | 100¢ | $154 | 0xca5984… |
| 10-03 14:23:05 | Thunderous-Violence 0x1329…b550 | Yes | BUY | 175 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x22f86e… |
| 10-03 14:23:05 | Which-Musician 0x6fab…8000 | No | BUY | 175 | 100¢ | $174 | 0x22f86e… |
| 10-03 14:22:59 | Thunderous-Violence 0x1329…b550 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3af93c… |
| 10-03 14:22:59 | Turbulent-Dialogue 0xf94f…78d7 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x3af93c… |
| 10-03 14:09:23 | Glorious-Stamp 0x3cec…1f74 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd6743b… |
| 10-03 14:09:23 | Thunderous-Violence 0x1329…b550 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6743b… |
| 10-03 14:01:26 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 292 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x999bfc… |
| 10-03 14:01:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x999bfc… |
| 10-03 14:01:26 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | BUY | 351 | 99¢ | $349 | 0x999bfc… |
| 10-03 13:59:08 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2c94d9… |
| 10-03 13:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2c94d9… |
| 10-03 13:58:51 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $497 | 0xa2a620… |
| 10-03 13:58:51 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xa2a620… |
| 10-03 13:58:51 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2a620… |
| 10-03 13:49:18 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcfe5f1… |
| 10-03 13:49:18 | (anonymous) 0x81e5…0cf8 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcfe5f1… |
| 10-03 13:49:18 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0xcfe5f1… |
| 10-03 13:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xdbaf7f… |
| 10-03 13:43:15 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdbaf7f… |
| 10-03 13:43:15 | (anonymous) 0xbebd…ac96 | Yes | BUY | 433 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xdbaf7f… |
| 10-03 13:39:05 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 260 | 99¢ | $258 | 0xe65a07… |
| 10-03 13:39:05 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 260 | 99¢ | $258 | 0xe65a07… |
| 10-03 13:37:32 | All-Detention 0x0e97…5700 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x13af17… |
| 10-03 13:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x13af17… |
| 10-03 13:37:24 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x134f93… |
| 10-03 13:37:24 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x134f93… |
| 10-03 13:36:53 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x25e24f… |
| 10-03 13:36:53 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x25e24f… |
| 10-03 13:34:27 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | SELL | 535 | 99¢ | $531 | 0x39dfeb… |
| 10-03 13:34:27 | Thunderous-Violence 0x1329…b550 | Yes | SELL | 535 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x39dfeb… |
| 10-03 13:33:29 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 97 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x53ef76… |
| 10-03 13:33:29 | Decimal-Trade 0xe00b…e2de | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x53ef76… |
| 10-03 13:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x14be4b… |
| 10-03 13:32:35 | Decimal-Trade 0xe00b…e2de | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x14be4b… |
| 10-03 13:28:42 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a85bb… |
| 10-03 13:28:42 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a85bb… |
| 10-03 13:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb6396… |
| 10-03 13:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | SELL | 104 | 99¢ | $103 | 0xdb6396… |
| 10-03 13:27:41 | Bustling-Safe 0x487f…1cfe | No | BUY | 790 | 99¢ | $786 | 0xdb6396… |
| 10-03 13:26:26 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 63 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b062f… |
| 10-03 13:26:26 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 292 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x6b062f… |
| 10-03 13:26:26 | Bustling-Safe 0x487f…1cfe | No | BUY | 355 | 99¢ | $353 | 0x6b062f… |
| 10-03 13:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 63 | 99¢ | $63 | 0x4d2d89… |
| 10-03 13:25:23 | Jolly-Chin 0x73a0…9342 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4d2d89… |
| 10-03 13:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x1e31…a2db | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4d2d89… |
| 10-03 13:04:45 | Bustling-Safe 0x487f…1cfe | No | BUY | 119 | 99¢ | $117 | 0xc48a67… |
| 10-03 13:04:45 | Glossy-Routine 0xafe6…8192 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc48a67… |
| 10-03 13:04:17 | Glossy-Routine 0xafe6…8192 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x28144d… |