Svelte-Controversy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.46K

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

291

Trades

1,277

lifetime

Volume

$1.06M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$833

Open exposure

$60.0K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 91% +$6,846

Other

43% 71% +$11,621

Politics

12% 89% +$2,754

Sports

1% 75% +$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+60,002	$56,546	100¢	$60.0K	+$3,455	10-28 12:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	14	$63.5K	31,676	32,487	-811	No	+$135	01-31 05:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$56.5K	60,002	0	+60,002	open	—	10-28 12:11
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$56.5K	56,690	0	+56,690	Yes	+$227	03-15 16:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	15	$56.4K	57,675	0	+57,675	No	+$1,242	04-01 10:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$56.3K	56,544	0	+56,544	Yes	+$283	04-24 20:01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	139	$53.9K	56,077	0	+56,077	Yes	+$2,140	02-27 10:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	5	$53.2K	53,900	0	+53,900	Yes	+$711	08-29 13:02
bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	5	$47.0K	47,147	0	+47,147	Yes	+$112	07-01 16:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	13	$46.6K	52,301	0	+52,301	Yes	+$5,658	07-19 20:25
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	2	$44.6K	21,822	22,892	-1,070	No	-$3	01-03 07:15
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$31.0K	31,014	0	+31,014	Morocco	+$31	07-04 18:59
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$27.3K	30,000	0	+30,000	Yes	+$2,700	01-07 20:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	5	$23.7K	23,849	0	+23,849	Up	+$104	05-27 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	2	$18.0K	18,080	0	+18,080	No	+$56	10-10 00:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?	6	$16.0K	15,702	500	+15,202	No	+$45	08-28 15:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	1	$14.7K	14,972	0	+14,972	Yes	+$269	05-23 14:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?	10	$13.3K	17,142	0	+17,142	No	-$1,455	09-01 15:58
bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	10	$12.7K	12,851	0	+12,851	No	+$44	06-28 16:00
bitcoin above 72k on september 16 2026	4	$11.4K	5,861	5,861	+0	Yes	+$44	09-15 23:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	6	$10.8K	10,825	0	+10,825	No	+$70	10-07 13:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	14	$10.4K	10,723	0	+10,723	Yes	+$360	10-17 00:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	+$35	05-01 13:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	9	$9.9K	10,075	0	+10,075	No	+$219	10-10 12:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	13	$9.6K	9,836	0	+9,836	No	+$251	10-11 13:10
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$480	05-01 20:07
bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	1	$9.2K	9,327	0	+9,327	Yes	+$93	07-03 21:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	6	$8.7K	8,768	0	+8,768	No	+$53	10-23 15:50
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	1	$8.6K	8,695	0	+8,695	No	+$87	03-08 01:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	18	$8.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$400	01-28 19:45
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	15	$8.2K	15,417	0	+15,417	Yes	-$471	04-09 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:11:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17,782	95¢	$16,890	0xc2278f…
10-28 12:08:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,420	95¢	$2,296	0x365b99…
10-28 12:08:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$949	0x9dd86d…
10-26 18:10:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	91¢	$731	0x31a9e8…
10-26 14:47:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,000	94¢	$7,480	0x919aeb…
10-26 14:40:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,000	94¢	$28,200	0x7ef6fd…
10-24 15:54:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,105	0x3288ee…
10-24 15:52:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b8712…
10-24 15:52:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,877	99¢	$1,867	0xb37527…
10-24 14:30:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	1,735	80¢	$1,388	0xd464a1…
10-24 14:30:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	52	80¢	$42	0x16b1ae…
10-23 20:01:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	7,604	88¢	$6,692	0xaa1a2c…
10-23 16:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,787	94¢	$1,687	0x51634f…
10-23 15:50:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x39a754…
10-23 15:49:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0x55f970…
10-23 15:48:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xffc4c4…
10-23 15:48:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x501a72…
10-23 15:48:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$212	0xb14470…
10-23 15:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	7,440	99¢	$7,402	0x1d4921…
10-19 09:52:30	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x707a96…
10-19 06:55:17	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	34	84¢	$28	0x18aba4…
10-19 06:43:33	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xff5732…
10-19 05:17:15	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcfdb4a…
10-19 01:09:15	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x723c2f…
10-18 12:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xed58a0…
10-18 11:03:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x8b23b9…
10-17 21:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	77	84¢	$65	0xb76c85…
10-17 20:23:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	77	73¢	$56	0x9536b4…
10-17 11:21:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	8,345	95¢	$7,927	0x146a14…
10-17 00:55:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	718	98¢	$702	0x3ae1db…
10-16 19:31:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	678	96¢	$649	0xe3771a…
10-16 19:29:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	782	96¢	$752	0xba3991…
10-16 19:13:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1,849	94¢	$1,731	0x085b87…
10-16 19:12:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0x25a046…
10-16 18:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	800	94¢	$755	0x617927…
10-16 18:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6091f0…
10-16 18:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0a8a21…
10-16 18:43:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x946036…
10-16 12:40:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	714	97¢	$692	0xed9b44…
10-16 12:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	96	96¢	$93	0x6e36de…
10-16 11:40:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	934	98¢	$917	0xa8e6b7…
10-16 11:39:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1,760	99¢	$1,736	0xe62a2f…
10-16 11:39:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2,077	98¢	$2,042	0xbaa631…
10-16 11:37:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1,318	99¢	$1,305	0x6b3f9b…
10-16 11:30:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1,289	98¢	$1,270	0xf5f7ed…
10-14 15:30:07	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xb92e5e…
10-14 15:27:31	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x197f82…
10-14 14:16:30	bitcoin above 84k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	2,591	99¢	$2,562	0x461280…
10-14 14:08:41	bitcoin above 84k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	3,467	98¢	$3,397	0x1517a5…
10-11 13:10:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	1,353	99¢	$1,339	0x38d975…
10-11 11:28:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	869	97¢	$846	0x88b1a7…
10-11 11:20:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	1,486	98¢	$1,464	0x22fdbf…
10-11 10:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	1,601	98¢	$1,576	0x0a9387…
10-11 05:18:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	800	96¢	$765	0xbdee7a…
10-11 05:10:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	712	96¢	$684	0x3f9300…
10-11 04:35:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	793	97¢	$766	0x83932f…
10-11 04:31:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8cb6de…
10-11 04:20:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	464	97¢	$450	0x8fd823…
10-11 04:16:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x72190f…
10-11 04:13:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	464	97¢	$450	0x92c870…
10-11 04:11:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	550	97¢	$532	0x940926…
10-11 04:11:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	678	97¢	$655	0x277963…
10-11 04:04:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	678	97¢	$656	0x3dec62…
10-10 12:39:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	927	99¢	$917	0x1883e0…
10-10 12:38:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	5,222	99¢	$5,195	0x77255b…
10-10 04:03:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	681	91¢	$620	0x4eba5f…
10-10 01:19:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	992	96¢	$952	0x958109…
10-10 00:51:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	5,181	100¢	$5,164	0xf00bfe…
10-09 21:27:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	478	96¢	$456	0x4c28ef…
10-09 21:24:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	243	96¢	$233	0xb3240d…
10-09 20:03:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	332	96¢	$318	0x3260cb…
10-09 19:54:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	428	96¢	$413	0x71873d…
10-09 19:39:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	12,898	100¢	$12,860	0xce21c7…
10-09 19:07:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	443	96¢	$427	0x5eba7e…
10-09 17:31:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	1,495	96¢	$1,435	0xf1ea14…
10-08 15:48:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	628	99¢	$620	0xaf90bd…
10-08 15:48:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$256	0x95952c…
10-08 15:48:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x881452…
10-08 15:47:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	688	99¢	$678	0x72a919…
10-08 15:47:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	610	98¢	$598	0x89c323…
10-07 14:21:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0xcc21dc…
10-07 14:19:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	252	92¢	$231	0x728b95…
10-07 13:32:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	407	99¢	$404	0xe66afb…
10-07 13:32:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0xd57360…
10-07 13:32:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x6b4fa0…
10-07 13:32:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0xd5ba4d…
10-07 13:32:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc1902a…
10-07 13:32:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	8,617	99¢	$8,561	0x191cab…
10-05 15:32:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	1,395	96¢	$1,339	0x469ad6…
10-05 14:38:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	7,105	100¢	$7,069	0x85ff61…
10-05 00:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	No	SELL	110	4¢	$4	0x40312a…
10-04 16:44:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	110	13¢	$14	0x5c8aa5…
10-03 12:27:57	bitcoin above 84k on october 3 2026	Yes	BUY	270	97¢	$262	0x0025a4…
10-03 11:56:59	bitcoin above 84k on october 3 2026	Yes	BUY	601	98¢	$587	0x97e96a…
10-02 19:09:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	584	96¢	$564	0xec45f6…
10-02 19:04:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x061dec…
10-02 19:04:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	624	96¢	$598	0x36f766…
10-02 15:55:05	bitcoin above 84k on october 3 2026	Yes	SELL	530	92¢	$490	0x1bb8c0…
10-02 15:46:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	1,249	99¢	$1,236	0x0465a7…
10-02 15:28:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	276	92¢	$254	0x6f5752…