Realized P&L
-$11.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.58K
Hit rate
88.4%
Resolved
389
Trades
2,375
lifetime
Volume
$451.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$65.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-11
last 10-26 14:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Crypto
93%
87%
-$11,530
Other
5%
85%
+$178
Politics
1%
91%
+$234
Sports
1%
75%
+$24
Tech
0%
100%
+$117
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk
• peak 90 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +7,500 | $7,166 | 98¢ | $7.3K | +$165 | 09-22 01:49 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,340 | $5,128 | 98¢ | $5.2K | +$79 | 09-25 01:20 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +5,000 | $4,795 | 96¢ | $4.8K | +$8 | 10-10 15:31 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +4,500 | $4,215 | 97¢ | $4.4K | +$148 | 09-19 15:54 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +4,189 | $3,763 | 96¢ | $4.0K | +$256 | 09-19 09:50 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +4,000 | $3,755 | 96¢ | $3.9K | +$105 | 10-08 19:08 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | No | +3,900 | $3,555 | 99¢ | $3.9K | +$300 | 10-14 00:42 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | No | +3,331 | $3,175 | 100¢ | $3.3K | +$152 | 10-01 22:10 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | No | +2,777 | $2,143 | 94¢ | $2.6K | +$453 | 10-19 02:35 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | No | +2,324 | $1,922 | 94¢ | $2.2K | +$275 | 10-22 02:13 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | No | +2,000 | $1,880 | 100¢ | $2.0K | +$113 | 10-01 22:01 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,883 | $1,794 | 98¢ | $1.8K | +$56 | 09-30 06:01 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,000 | $1,820 | 90¢ | $1.8K | -$10 | 10-14 17:54 | |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | No | +1,828 | $1,631 | 96¢ | $1.8K | +$121 | 09-19 01:39 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,806 | $1,680 | 90¢ | $1.6K | -$45 | 10-12 22:35 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | No | +1,651 | $1,415 | 98¢ | $1.6K | +$197 | 10-09 19:49 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,500 | $1,285 | 84¢ | $1.3K | -$18 | 10-14 15:24 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,500 | $1,170 | 78¢ | $1.2K | -$8 | 10-14 05:03 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | No | +1,163 | $1,029 | 100¢ | $1.2K | +$132 | 10-19 07:55 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October? | No | +1,100 | $987 | 98¢ | $1.1K | +$90 | 10-24 15:15 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | +1,000 | $850 | 99¢ | $990 | +$140 | 09-19 16:04 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,500 | $965 | 66¢ | $982 | +$17 | 10-14 09:30 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | No | +1,160 | $713 | 82¢ | $957 | +$245 | 10-25 00:42 | |
| will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 | No | +1,000 | $911 | 95¢ | $948 | +$36 | 08-15 00:10 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,006 | $936 | 94¢ | $941 | +$5 | 10-14 14:26 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? | No | +938 | $788 | 100¢ | $936 | +$148 | 10-04 15:19 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? | No | +1,025 | $774 | 82¢ | $835 | +$61 | 10-22 05:56 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? | No | +815 | $750 | 100¢ | $814 | +$64 | 10-05 07:58 | |
| will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 | No | +1,000 | $740 | 80¢ | $795 | +$55 | 08-15 00:09 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | No | +750 | $504 | 99¢ | $746 | +$241 | 10-13 00:08 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | 39 | $11.2K | 5,692 | 5,692 | +0 | No | +$169 | 09-28 12:01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | 42 | $8.6K | 4,588 | 4,588 | +0 | No | +$509 | 09-29 03:16 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | 13 | $7.2K | 7,500 | 0 | +7,500 | open | — | 09-22 01:49 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | 26 | $6.7K | 3,866 | 3,194 | +671 | No | +$344 | 09-29 12:20 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | 51 | $6.4K | 3,336 | 3,335 | +0 | No | +$213 | 09-22 11:52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | 20 | $6.2K | 3,215 | 3,215 | +0 | No | +$146 | 09-28 09:41 |
| will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026 | 15 | $5.6K | 2,897 | 2,897 | +0 | No | +$131 | 09-28 00:46 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | 41 | $5.5K | 2,926 | 2,926 | +0 | No | +$294 | 09-30 11:44 |
| will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026 | 10 | $5.2K | 5,771 | 0 | +5,771 | Yes | -$5,190 | 08-17 03:34 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | 15 | $5.1K | 5,340 | 0 | +5,340 | open | — | 09-25 01:20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | 14 | $5.0K | 3,763 | 1,500 | +2,263 | No | +$197 | 09-26 02:23 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | 14 | $4.9K | 2,556 | 2,556 | +0 | open | — | 10-16 04:30 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 4 | $4.8K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | open | — | 10-10 15:31 |
| will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026 | 29 | $4.6K | 3,663 | 1,395 | +2,268 | No | +$304 | 09-26 21:29 |
| will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 18 | 6 | $4.4K | 3,582 | 1,010 | +2,572 | No | +$178 | 09-30 12:59 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | 6 | $4.2K | 4,500 | 0 | +4,500 | open | — | 09-19 15:54 |
| will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026 | 10 | $4.2K | 4,288 | 644 | +3,644 | No | +$641 | 09-30 15:31 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | 8 | $4.1K | 2,148 | 2,148 | +0 | No | +$130 | 09-18 23:51 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | 6 | $3.9K | 4,105 | 0 | +4,105 | No | +$228 | 08-27 13:57 |
| bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026 | 14 | $3.8K | 2,075 | 2,075 | +0 | Yes | +$189 | 08-10 14:40 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | 46 | $3.8K | 2,004 | 2,004 | +0 | No | +$176 | 09-28 18:36 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 37 | $3.8K | 4,189 | 0 | +4,189 | open | — | 09-19 09:50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | 7 | $3.8K | 4,000 | 0 | +4,000 | open | — | 10-08 19:08 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | 23 | $3.7K | 3,813 | 0 | +3,813 | No | +$156 | 08-27 14:12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21? | 15 | $3.6K | 3,716 | 0 | +3,716 | Yes | +$97 | 09-21 01:51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | 26 | $3.6K | 3,900 | 0 | +3,900 | open | — | 10-14 00:42 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | 10 | $3.6K | 3,900 | 0 | +3,900 | No | +$347 | 08-28 14:08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20? | 17 | $3.5K | 3,706 | 0 | +3,706 | Yes | +$208 | 09-19 21:12 |
| bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026 | 16 | $3.4K | 1,845 | 1,845 | +0 | No | +$185 | 08-10 13:09 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | 7 | $3.4K | 1,835 | 1,835 | +0 | open | — | 10-13 00:08 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||