Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

107

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$2.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-03

last 10-04 14:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 57% +$23

Other

6% 43% -$9

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$151	102	102	+0	Up	+$51	10-04 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:25 UTC	7	$114	78	78	+0	Down	+$38	10-03 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$107	119	119	+0	Up	+$7	10-03 18:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	4	$89	90	90	+0	Up	+$29	10-04 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$69	64	64	+0	Up	+$9	10-04 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$67	61	61	+0	Down	+$17	10-03 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$66	42	42	+0	Up	+$16	10-03 21:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	10-04 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$65	58	58	+0	Down	+$13	10-03 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$61	56	42	+14	Up	+$9	10-04 05:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	2	$59	42	42	+0	Up	+$9	10-04 12:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	4	$59	45	45	+0	Down	+$7	10-04 12:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$59	100	100	+0	open	—	10-04 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$58	40	40	+0	Up	+$8	10-03 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$58	56	56	+0	Down	+$6	10-04 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$57	34	34	+0	Down	+$7	10-03 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$57	37	37	+0	Down	+$7	10-03 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$57	33	33	+0	Up	+$7	10-03 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$57	33	33	+0	Down	+$7	10-03 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$54	32	32	+0	Up	+$4	10-04 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:35 UTC	2	$54	36	36	+0	Down	+$4	10-03 21:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:55 UTC	3	$53	39	33	+6	Up	+$1	10-04 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$50	148	0	+148	Down	-$50	10-03 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$47	57	57	+0	Down	+$7	10-03 18:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$41	34	34	+0	No	+$1	10-04 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$40	271	271	+0	Up	+$0	10-03 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$34	32	32	+0	Down	+$14	10-03 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$31	35	35	+0	Down	+$9	10-03 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$30	40	20	+21	Down	-$10	10-03 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	2	$30	67	0	+67	Down	-$30	10-04 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 14:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x97aed2…
10-04 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe02d23…
10-04 14:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	39	78¢	$30	0xbf2c2b…
10-04 14:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x1be3dc…
10-04 14:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x82c66f…
10-04 14:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x334e2f…
10-04 13:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5717aa…
10-04 13:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	32	93¢	$29	0x28e2b7…
10-04 13:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x6b8332…
10-04 13:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x41fd5f…
10-04 13:31:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1d9b15…
10-04 13:28:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x0ead48…
10-04 13:28:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x4e6f2d…
10-04 13:28:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x924a1b…
10-04 13:27:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0xf05c37…
10-04 13:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7b4d14…
10-04 13:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xcaf965…
10-04 13:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x4b1b4f…
10-04 13:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf2c85a…
10-04 13:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa6fc8f…
10-04 13:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3bac9…
10-04 12:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0x0a5582…
10-04 12:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x013086…
10-04 12:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	64	66¢	$42	0xd33abf…
10-04 12:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x34c34d…
10-04 12:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:50 UTC	Down	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xc784be…
10-04 12:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe4f0ca…
10-04 12:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x412744…
10-04 12:34:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x8c891a…
10-04 12:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4ab938…
10-04 12:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	40	71¢	$29	0xf596aa…
10-04 12:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x08d17d…
10-04 12:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98d82e…
10-04 12:26:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:25 UTC	Down	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x0310ea…
10-04 12:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3e8895…
10-04 12:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	42	81¢	$34	0x88da45…
10-04 12:20:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xce62fa…
10-04 12:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x2aa692…
10-04 12:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7542a3…
10-04 12:11:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0f0433…
10-04 05:12:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x74bd06…
10-04 05:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xecf609…
10-04 05:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef563b…
10-04 05:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x50a391…
10-04 05:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x7518c7…
10-04 05:05:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6c482c…
10-04 05:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa3dcb4…
10-04 05:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	42	84¢	$35	0x82608a…
10-04 05:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x02e52b…
10-04 04:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0xc92c15…
10-04 04:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5d4c51…
10-04 04:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x953195…
10-04 04:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xb27aad…
10-04 04:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x49123a…
10-04 04:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef54f9…
10-04 04:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xec6174…
10-04 04:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb38487…
10-04 04:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c88f3…
10-04 04:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9dc35a…
10-04 03:30:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xfbbc75…
10-04 03:28:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x152871…
10-04 03:26:34	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5c4a35…
10-04 03:24:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x889368…
10-04 03:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x5949e0…
10-04 03:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x99b13e…
10-04 03:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5faf9f…
10-04 03:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4e0fd0…
10-04 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x22e59f…
10-04 03:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcda9b6…
10-04 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	54	58¢	$32	0xa8798f…
10-04 03:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x66e699…
10-04 03:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1fb55a…
10-04 03:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4e87aa…
10-04 03:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x32fa57…
10-04 03:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0xd57da0…
10-04 03:00:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x001a7f…
10-04 02:57:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x442039…
10-04 02:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	33	81¢	$27	0xc7e4b0…
10-04 02:55:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x020877…
10-04 02:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x568d5b…
10-04 02:50:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x96389e…
10-04 02:49:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xb0b6fa…
10-04 02:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1c99a1…
10-04 02:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x3c189d…
10-04 02:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x61fd1e…
10-04 02:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1b68c1…
10-04 02:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x15676b…
10-04 02:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x1d3144…
10-04 02:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xae1bfb…
10-04 02:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0e22f1…
10-04 02:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xf32dbb…
10-04 02:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfcf8c6…
10-04 01:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf2d2ee…
10-04 01:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x779e1e…
10-04 01:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$2	0xb33d60…
10-04 01:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x684887…
10-04 01:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x00fc2e…
10-04 01:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe08698…
10-04 01:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x11e39c…
10-04 01:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc8c139…