Calm-Elephant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$438

Unrealized P&L

-$78

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

195

Trades

6,617

lifetime

Volume

$202.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-25 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$374

Other

0% 50% -$64

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	—	+600	$96	3¢	$16	-$80	10-25 12:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	—	+9	$7	97¢	$9	+$1	10-25 13:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	132	$10.9K	15,643	1,404	+14,239	No	-$2,151	10-02 15:11
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	349	$8.3K	9,673	4,097	+5,576	No	+$903	06-25 16:09
bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	357	$6.6K	9,581	1,127	+8,455	No	+$528	06-26 09:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	58	$6.0K	7,499	0	+7,499	No	-$2,769	09-11 15:52
bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	140	$6.0K	6,188	2,255	+3,933	Yes	+$1,002	07-10 00:59
bitcoin above 62k on june 27 2026	278	$5.7K	8,149	1,680	+6,469	No	+$617	06-26 17:14
bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	291	$5.0K	12,664	3,268	+9,396	Yes	+$517	06-23 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 28?	36	$4.2K	4,832	0	+4,832	Yes	+$540	08-28 14:05
bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	37	$4.2K	7,576	0	+7,576	Up	+$173	08-15 01:14
bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	51	$4.1K	5,472	1,444	+4,028	Yes	-$1,449	08-20 09:56
bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	24	$4.0K	4,248	0	+4,248	Yes	+$261	08-14 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?	54	$3.9K	5,758	0	+5,758	Down	-$142	09-02 13:44
bitcoin above 86k on october 1 2026	30	$3.7K	3,886	0	+3,886	No	+$153	10-01 11:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?	59	$3.4K	4,602	233	+4,369	Yes	+$411	08-04 02:52
bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	18	$3.3K	3,468	0	+3,468	No	+$119	09-30 12:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?	39	$3.2K	3,847	111	+3,736	No	+$311	09-25 10:05
bitcoin up or down on july 14 2026	23	$3.2K	4,107	0	+4,107	Up	-$741	07-14 13:36
bitcoin above 62k on july 14 2026	72	$3.0K	3,439	598	+2,841	Yes	+$272	07-14 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?	103	$3.0K	5,722	0	+5,722	Down	-$899	09-01 14:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?	4	$3.0K	1,497	1,497	+0	Yes	+$37	09-04 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?	22	$2.9K	2,799	1,555	+1,244	Down	+$80	09-11 19:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6?	13	$2.9K	1,467	1,467	+0	Yes	+$6	09-04 21:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	55	$2.9K	3,644	0	+3,644	No	-$207	09-10 13:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?	5	$2.8K	1,450	1,450	+0	Yes	+$36	09-03 16:18
bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	58	$2.8K	2,809	1,630	+1,179	Yes	+$360	07-10 14:43
bitcoin above 62k on july 3 2026	125	$2.5K	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$108	07-03 15:15
bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	172	$2.5K	3,841	213	+3,628	No	+$138	07-02 14:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?	23	$2.5K	2,898	0	+2,898	No	+$110	09-29 08:04
bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	190	$2.5K	3,221	0	+3,221	No	+$111	06-29 10:48
bitcoin up or down on august 29 2026	22	$2.4K	2,634	0	+2,634	Down	+$186	08-29 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:25:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x2432bc…
10-25 12:31:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0x62d7a9…
10-24 14:37:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x2fbd2d…
10-24 14:28:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0xecffd1…
10-22 06:34:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	140	6¢	$8	0xca61a0…
10-20 08:18:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x29c7cb…
10-19 14:19:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2b82ec…
10-16 01:59:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4b8d87…
10-16 01:43:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0x4a5a68…
10-16 01:34:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x035154…
10-16 01:31:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xc3cd64…
10-15 17:26:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0xe65a29…
10-15 17:26:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	16	3¢	$1	0x77e734…
10-15 17:25:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x9b2ce3…
10-14 07:01:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x678ba6…
10-14 05:08:13	bitcoin above 86k on october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xbd10b4…
10-14 04:05:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x1a27cd…
10-13 23:09:16	bitcoin above 86k on october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x11c61e…
10-13 08:46:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x034c1d…
10-13 08:41:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x550f30…
10-13 08:34:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x6d7adf…
10-13 08:29:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xe30eeb…
10-13 04:13:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xf0d554…
10-13 01:52:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	74	9¢	$7	0x550768…
10-07 03:03:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	192	84¢	$162	0x5d7331…
10-06 15:52:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xb2ecd9…
10-06 15:52:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xf888bb…
10-06 15:52:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xd59e6d…
10-06 15:52:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xe41540…
10-06 14:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x101a52…
10-06 09:26:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	140	47¢	$66	0x6cd151…
10-06 08:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x50daa0…
10-06 08:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x42a6f5…
10-02 16:01:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x894cfb…
10-02 15:57:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd599f3…
10-02 15:56:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x112afe…
10-02 15:56:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xaf0193…
10-02 15:56:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1fa1a4…
10-02 15:55:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xbad148…
10-02 15:53:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8ca0ba…
10-02 15:52:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xd17ade…
10-02 15:45:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xea14fa…
10-02 15:11:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x0a1a74…
10-02 15:10:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x8baa8d…
10-02 15:08:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	278	91¢	$253	0x47af89…
10-02 15:06:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$57	0x998b42…
10-02 15:06:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	105	90¢	$95	0x7331c1…
10-02 15:04:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xd728e5…
10-02 15:04:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	26	84¢	$22	0x6385fb…
10-02 15:03:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$14	0x088352…
10-02 15:00:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	429	77¢	$330	0x6f08b3…
10-02 15:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xe06680…
10-02 14:58:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	772	77¢	$594	0xa09b2b…
10-02 14:57:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	89	64¢	$57	0x1e8307…
10-02 14:56:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	52	81¢	$42	0x82668c…
10-02 14:56:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	547	82¢	$448	0x31204c…
10-02 14:56:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0xcf5c66…
10-02 14:56:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xf35cba…
10-02 14:55:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x246eb3…
10-02 14:55:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x62e6d4…
10-02 14:46:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	292	57¢	$166	0xb7050d…
10-02 14:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x5476a8…
10-02 14:46:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf2c8a3…
10-02 14:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	175	52¢	$91	0x3cef9e…
10-02 14:42:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x1b87f6…
10-02 14:41:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8b84e4…
10-02 14:41:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	115	54¢	$62	0x76cd41…
10-02 14:40:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	27	54¢	$14	0x0ce9f8…
10-02 14:38:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	1,366	55¢	$750	0x027a61…
10-02 14:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x121203…
10-02 14:37:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xb311d9…
10-02 14:37:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x725a5f…
10-02 14:37:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	224	59¢	$132	0xd2af39…
10-02 14:36:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe6e3d7…
10-02 14:36:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	155	60¢	$92	0x5e79ed…
10-02 14:36:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdbc587…
10-02 14:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	57	57¢	$33	0x735d61…
10-02 14:35:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xc2e44b…
10-02 14:35:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	136	54¢	$73	0xf691c7…
10-02 14:35:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x7b8e16…
10-02 14:35:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2f3194…
10-02 13:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	103	82¢	$85	0x0969ed…
10-02 13:50:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	304	90¢	$273	0x8549a6…
10-02 13:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x7d7253…
10-02 13:39:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	51	93¢	$48	0x76f06e…
10-02 13:38:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	195	91¢	$178	0xcbd762…
10-02 13:38:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	145	93¢	$135	0x617c37…
10-02 13:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	159	93¢	$148	0x92cb93…
10-02 13:38:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x14b209…
10-02 13:37:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0x4fd71e…
10-02 13:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	82	90¢	$73	0x86bf16…
10-02 13:35:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xfb12b8…
10-02 13:11:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0x56d0ff…
10-02 13:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xd83a98…
10-02 13:08:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0xacdcab…
10-02 13:08:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xac9e0e…
10-02 13:08:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x985bb4…
10-02 13:03:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	159	88¢	$140	0xf775a0…
10-02 13:02:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	495	88¢	$436	0xed59f9…
10-02 12:52:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	260	85¢	$221	0xc45a65…