Realized P&L
-$2.61K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
833
Trades
22,689
lifetime
Volume
$977.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 05-20 23:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
64%
95%
+$917
Politics
21%
97%
-$3,406
Crypto
14%
97%
-$163
Tech
2%
100%
+$36
Sports
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | 229 | $14.7K | 8,869 | 6,083 | +2,787 | Yes | +$50 | 04-27 21:16 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | 277 | $14.2K | 8,409 | 5,958 | +2,451 | No | +$44 | 04-27 11:31 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 317 | $13.8K | 8,442 | 5,527 | +2,914 | No | +$44 | 05-12 00:26 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | 181 | $12.8K | 7,469 | 5,471 | +1,998 | No | +$24 | 04-29 23:33 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 178 | $12.1K | 6,832 | 5,463 | +1,369 | No | +$23 | 04-23 13:37 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 183 | $11.6K | 6,738 | 4,970 | +1,768 | No | +$23 | 04-25 02:25 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 134 | $10.6K | 6,071 | 4,680 | +1,391 | No | +$32 | 04-15 11:43 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 176 | $10.1K | 5,939 | 4,294 | +1,645 | No | +$36 | 04-30 19:51 |
| elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219 | 154 | $10.0K | 6,103 | 3,979 | +2,124 | No | +$24 | 04-02 16:02 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 142 | $9.9K | 6,447 | 3,623 | +2,824 | Yes | -$2,783 | 04-05 08:40 |
| will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026 | 120 | $9.3K | 5,407 | 4,040 | +1,367 | No | +$22 | 04-16 19:39 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 156 | $9.1K | 5,503 | 3,733 | +1,770 | No | +$30 | 04-30 15:15 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 256 | $8.6K | 5,020 | 3,696 | +1,324 | Yes | +$26 | 05-11 10:05 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | 144 | $8.4K | 4,944 | 3,567 | +1,378 | Yes | +$28 | 04-12 19:53 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | 151 | $7.9K | 4,223 | 3,711 | +512 | No | +$9 | 04-12 09:10 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 197 | $7.8K | 4,444 | 3,449 | +995 | No | +$20 | 03-30 17:11 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | 159 | $7.6K | 4,773 | 2,875 | +1,899 | No | +$23 | 04-25 01:35 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 122 | $7.2K | 4,256 | 2,974 | +1,283 | No | +$11 | 04-01 01:26 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 173 | $6.9K | 3,871 | 3,092 | +779 | No | +$15 | 03-18 16:01 |
| will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m | 181 | $6.7K | 4,253 | 2,526 | +1,726 | No | +$21 | 04-06 01:23 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 97 | $6.7K | 4,106 | 2,665 | +1,441 | No | +$24 | 04-27 18:15 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | 129 | $6.6K | 3,720 | 2,962 | +759 | No | +$18 | 04-30 13:00 |
| will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026 | 142 | $6.6K | 3,784 | 2,822 | +963 | No | +$11 | 03-31 23:32 |
| elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339 | 123 | $6.6K | 4,348 | 2,289 | +2,058 | No | +$25 | 04-02 13:15 |
| elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259 | 121 | $6.4K | 3,693 | 2,790 | +904 | No | +$7 | 04-16 07:31 |
| elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279 | 93 | $6.4K | 3,532 | 2,945 | +587 | No | +$6 | 04-16 16:00 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 192 | $6.4K | 3,688 | 2,802 | +886 | No | +$19 | 03-28 01:41 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 101 | $6.2K | 3,770 | 2,519 | +1,251 | No | +$30 | 04-30 03:15 |
| elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239 | 83 | $6.0K | 3,672 | 2,436 | +1,235 | No | +$22 | 04-06 15:23 |
| will gta 6 cost 100 | 181 | $5.8K | 3,645 | 2,230 | +1,415 | No | +$11 | 02-28 11:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||