Realized P&L
+$50
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
14
Trades
3,204
lifetime
Volume
$234.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$2.78K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-30 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$10
Politics
21% 100% +$40
Crypto
15% 100% +$0
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +574 $563 100¢ $573 +$10 06-18 06:31
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -483 $-479 100¢ $-483 $-4 06-11 02:22
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -267 $-264 100¢ $-267 $-2 06-04 11:20
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +191 $189 100¢ $191 +$2 06-12 22:39
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No +177 $176 100¢ $176 +$1 06-13 19:28
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +166 $161 100¢ $166 +$5 06-17 19:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +151 $150 100¢ $151 +$1 06-18 17:08
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +117 $115 100¢ $117 +$2 06-16 10:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +115 $114 100¢ $115 +$1 06-26 20:06
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -108 $-107 100¢ $-108 $-1 05-28 20:26
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +106 $104 100¢ $106 +$1 06-16 04:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +89 $88 100¢ $89 +$1 06-17 03:15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -62 $-61 100¢ $-61 $-1 06-10 03:45
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +45 $43 100¢ $45 +$2 06-30 00:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 $-0 06-25 00:01
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +44 $43 100¢ $44 +$1 06-22 14:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +43 $44 100¢ $43 $-1 06-21 14:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-23 06:03