Loud-Game — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,204

lifetime

Volume

$234.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-30 00:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$10

Politics

21% 100% +$40

Crypto

15% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+45	$44	98¢	$44	$-0	06-25 00:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	184	$13.3K	7,587	5,878	+1,709	open	—	05-29 04:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	137	$9.4K	5,503	4,085	+1,419	open	—	05-12 13:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	147	$8.7K	5,166	3,750	+1,416	open	—	05-26 00:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	85	$5.5K	3,482	2,173	+1,309	No	+$28	05-08 23:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	76	$5.4K	3,382	2,124	+1,258	open	—	05-25 20:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	48	$4.9K	2,597	2,377	+220	open	—	05-15 03:45
will paradex launch a token on march 5	39	$4.8K	2,487	2,417	+70	open	—	03-05 18:05
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	53	$4.7K	2,577	2,133	+444	open	—	05-19 14:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	64	$4.6K	2,533	2,170	+363	open	—	05-08 23:06
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	99	$4.5K	2,854	1,740	+1,114	open	—	05-01 02:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	56	$4.5K	2,821	1,718	+1,103	open	—	04-30 06:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	104	$4.1K	1,957	2,152	-196	open	—	06-26 20:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	130	$3.8K	2,036	1,849	+187	open	—	06-18 06:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	41	$3.8K	2,123	1,719	+404	No	+$9	05-04 15:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	32	$3.5K	1,808	1,667	+141	open	—	04-30 11:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	47	$3.2K	2,077	1,145	+932	open	—	04-28 06:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	31	$3.1K	1,999	1,190	+810	open	—	04-30 11:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	26	$3.1K	1,793	1,387	+406	open	—	05-25 21:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	45	$3.0K	1,621	1,433	+188	open	—	05-14 14:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	35	$3.0K	1,612	1,397	+215	open	—	04-30 13:03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	36	$3.0K	1,767	1,235	+532	open	—	04-28 09:53
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	32	$2.9K	1,556	1,422	+134	open	—	05-14 12:06
Iran leadership change by May 31?	26	$2.9K	1,817	1,178	+639	open	—	05-27 05:34
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	26	$2.9K	1,665	1,283	+382	open	—	04-30 21:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	24	$2.7K	1,710	1,046	+664	open	—	04-30 08:45
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	27	$2.7K	1,580	1,183	+398	open	—	05-24 01:00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	31	$2.7K	1,586	1,124	+462	open	—	05-14 00:47
Iran leadership change by April 30?	30	$2.5K	1,435	1,065	+370	open	—	04-30 04:02
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	23	$2.4K	1,320	1,159	+161	open	—	05-02 15:56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	29	$2.3K	1,434	920	+514	open	—	04-30 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 00:18:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x6021bd…
06-30 00:09:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x3d2ac8…
06-30 00:08:44	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xa3aab0…
06-29 21:57:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xc9b17e…
06-29 21:55:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x36b8dd…
06-29 21:48:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xed8e33…
06-29 21:47:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x8369b8…
06-29 21:44:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xce6ef1…
06-29 21:44:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xd2f4c1…
06-29 21:42:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xec5997…
06-29 21:33:37	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc20fa5…
06-29 21:02:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x2f6bca…
06-29 20:56:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x19d297…
06-29 19:25:52	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x4b4262…
06-29 19:17:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xbc758a…
06-29 17:56:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xff44cd…
06-29 16:59:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xbde9e8…
06-29 15:58:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x78e618…
06-29 15:32:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xff4a5b…
06-29 15:29:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xb739b4…
06-29 15:28:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe5a214…
06-29 13:02:04	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x45ccf1…
06-29 01:06:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xf4f347…
06-28 18:19:59	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xf92e72…
06-28 18:08:50	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x46296f…
06-28 16:51:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xda3f5e…
06-28 16:43:35	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x537cc8…
06-28 16:37:40	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xeb5367…
06-28 15:45:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x118e0c…
06-28 15:40:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x2c056c…
06-28 15:28:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x31bc4a…
06-28 15:27:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xc9ffed…
06-28 14:47:26	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xd9dbf2…
06-28 12:13:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xc3ef87…
06-28 12:10:02	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x61561d…
06-28 11:25:17	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x6b6002…
06-28 08:15:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x23b3f1…
06-26 20:06:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x9267cb…
06-25 12:12:53	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x932a76…
06-25 00:01:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x8b1ec4…
06-23 21:20:23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x3c4407…
06-23 06:03:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x497f18…
06-23 05:52:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8d83bf…
06-23 05:39:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbd6601…
06-22 23:37:01	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xa32778…
06-22 14:31:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0x2a9d5d…
06-22 08:35:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x6224d1…
06-22 08:34:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa63713…
06-22 08:34:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x0b2411…
06-22 08:33:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x98a2a9…
06-22 08:32:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x9baadd…
06-22 08:31:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x19094a…
06-22 08:31:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xc9b525…
06-22 08:30:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1f8737…
06-22 08:29:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x4768bb…
06-22 08:28:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x2b81f3…
06-22 08:27:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x710145…
06-22 08:26:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xeb39c5…
06-22 08:25:29	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x55d9c7…
06-22 08:23:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xec6bea…
06-22 08:20:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x6aeae7…
06-22 08:15:50	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x7d85fd…
06-22 08:15:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x6e7ec2…
06-22 08:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x650244…
06-22 08:01:41	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x6895ae…
06-22 07:50:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x2dc636…
06-22 07:50:17	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x63335e…
06-22 07:48:41	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x85ba23…
06-22 07:48:05	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x8dd448…
06-22 07:47:05	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x14f4f0…
06-22 07:46:20	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xed1b11…
06-22 05:48:11	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e94f7…
06-22 05:47:37	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa163c5…
06-22 02:13:10	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb40f0f…
06-22 02:10:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xba9918…
06-22 02:10:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6f997d…
06-22 02:10:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5290e8…
06-22 02:04:07	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x976e06…
06-22 02:02:46	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x6ee88d…
06-22 01:38:41	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf3a0b2…
06-22 01:15:29	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x762414…
06-22 01:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x4356d2…
06-21 23:05:37	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x1f6a0f…
06-21 14:05:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xf5ca3e…
06-21 12:06:50	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xd5090b…
06-21 10:14:28	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x02a7bc…
06-20 23:17:10	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x39326b…
06-20 23:06:19	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xd73df0…
06-20 22:53:35	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xd24606…
06-20 22:50:53	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe9b88a…
06-20 22:39:37	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xcb6d32…
06-20 13:15:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xadd75c…
06-20 03:37:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x7df010…
06-20 00:38:31	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x2c96a3…
06-18 17:08:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xb75119…
06-18 14:50:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7e6e03…
06-18 14:21:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x402e28…
06-18 14:20:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xdccfd5…
06-18 14:16:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6a6a75…
06-18 06:31:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xe9dd02…