Earnest-Rawhide 0x79dcb3…81ca77
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$681
Hit rate
65.5%
Resolved
3,403
Trades
66,818
lifetime
Volume
$1.47M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$3.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 10:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 254 days
Categories
Other
60% 37% -$4,968
Sports
18% 41% -$1,094
Politics
15% 44% +$4,440
Tech
5% 59% +$853
Crypto
2% 43% +$1,896
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$86
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 313 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -478 -$382 81¢ $-387 -$4 09-19 07:37
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -257 -$251 98¢ $-253 -$2 08-12 17:54
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -253 -$250 99¢ $-251 -$1 05-13 21:55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +274 $250 88¢ $242 -$8 08-31 20:41
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -950 -$352 20¢ $-195 +$157 10-07 06:16
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -181 -$177 97¢ $-176 +$1 04-30 14:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,449 -$272 12¢ $-172 +$100 08-29 22:29
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -197 -$187 84¢ $-166 +$21 07-10 11:07
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +212 $139 56¢ $118 -$21 10-27 02:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,248 -$71 9¢ $-117 -$46 08-18 02:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +115 $110 98¢ $112 +$2 08-21 20:03
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +300 $109 36¢ $108 -$1 10-27 02:38
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +100 $90 96¢ $97 +$7 10-27 05:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +300 $96 32¢ $96 +$0 10-26 06:13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $81 94¢ $94 +$13 06-17 11:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -555 -$52 13¢ $-72 -$21 08-17 18:35
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -1,249 -$300 6¢ $-69 +$231 06-16 01:47
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -645 -$255 10¢ $-65 +$191 07-25 08:15
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +300 $70 22¢ $64 -$6 10-24 20:16
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,249 -$61 5¢ $-62 -$2 05-07 21:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +170 $67 34¢ $57 -$10 10-27 01:11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,249 -$86 4¢ $-51 +$35 05-25 14:10
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +288 $75 16¢ $48 -$27 10-23 11:46
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 -$12 16¢ $46 +$59 10-27 09:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +53 $31 83¢ $44 +$14 10-01 09:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -378 -$39 10¢ $-37 +$2 10-20 20:45
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,249 -$40 3¢ $-37 +$3 05-12 09:53
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +101 $48 36¢ $36 -$13 09-21 13:06
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -936 -$25 4¢ $-33 -$8 05-01 17:50
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,245 -$42 2¢ $-27 +$15 08-13 20:46