Realized P&L
-$465
Unrealized P&L
-$134
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
8,410
Trades
38,670
lifetime
Volume
$235.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$209
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-29 04:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 57% +$750
Other
3% 25% -$1,127
Tech
0% 0% -$74
Politics
0% 0% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 811 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +824 $145 10¢ $85 -$60 10-26 01:46
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +92 $27 23¢ $21 -$6 10-26 01:46
will openais valuation hit low 750b by december 31 995 138 Yes +200 $26 10¢ $21 -$5 10-17 06:06
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +130 $15 11¢ $14 -$1 10-25 02:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +45 $21 28¢ $13 -$8 10-17 05:56
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 Yes +290 $32 4¢ $11 -$21 10-17 06:06
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026 Yes +20 $6 44¢ $9 +$3 10-25 05:44
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +100 $14 8¢ $8 -$6 10-17 05:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +10 $7 68¢ $7 +$0 10-24 19:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +50 $12 12¢ $6 -$6 10-24 15:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +30 $10 15¢ $5 -$5 10-17 05:47
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +40 $4 11¢ $4 $0 10-22 07:38
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +175 $10 2¢ $3 -$7 10-26 01:47
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +30 $1 6¢ $2 +$1 10-22 07:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? Yes +60 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-22 07:06
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 Yes +10 $5 3¢ $0 -$4 10-17 06:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $5 20¢ $0 -$5 07-20 08:45
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-05 03:01