Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$47,688
$5 in 24h
Trades
3,572
Unique wallets
801
Liquidity
$13,512
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-11-07
First seen
2026-11-06
last 11-07 02:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.9¢
(top1%: 25% YES on $14.7K
vs crowd: 24% YES on $41.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 145 | $3.2K | $14.5K | $11.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 208 | $1.9K | $10.2K | $8.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 254 | $4.5K | $5.0K | $436 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 194 | $310 | $1.4K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 137 | $3.7K | $11.0K | $7.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 113 | $508 | $5.1K | $4.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 62 | $58 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| Median | 60 | $69 | $300 | $231 |
| Below median | 192 | $266 | $2.8K | $2.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 90 | $250 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 88 | $286 | $4.9K | $4.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 59 | $4.8K | $3.7K | +$1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1aa6…b0c3 | Up | +6,622 | $4,000 | $4,000 | 5 | 11-07 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | +1,790 | $965 | $965 | 22 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb04c…c7b6 | Up | +1,402 | $155 | $155 | 31 | 11-07 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | +1,333 | $927 | $930 | 6 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Up | +1,200 | $599 | $599 | 45 | 11-07 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xc998…e194 | Down | +1,173 | $1,100 | $1,100 | 1 | 11-07 02:17 |
| Monthly-Lollipop 0xa823…6215 | Up | +1,071 | $709 | $709 | 12 | 11-07 02:15 |
| Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | +1,038 | $1,037 | $1,037 | 5 | 11-07 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | Down | +1,032 | $362 | $362 | 13 | 11-07 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-07 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb250…a94c | Up | +976 | $22 | $38 | 3 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5fd…abff | Up | +960 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 11-07 02:15 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +885 | $19 | $19 | 38 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x72e5…f533 | Down | +800 | $380 | $380 | 4 | 11-07 02:12 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +705 | $484 | $484 | 58 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +700 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +700 | $693 | $693 | 6 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | Down | +680 | $550 | $550 | 11 | 11-07 02:15 |
| Good-Ptarmigan 0xb0c0…e88f | Up | +630 | $392 | $392 | 14 | 11-07 02:13 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +626 | $222 | $222 | 36 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x82eb…f2b4 | Down | +600 | $593 | $593 | 2 | 11-07 02:19 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | +591 | $567 | $567 | 8 | 11-07 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x017a…b2b7 | Down | +589 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 11-07 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x912a…0f92 | Down | +571 | $540 | $540 | 30 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x22b3…a018 | Up | +570 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Up | +533 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 11-07 02:19 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +503 | $458 | $458 | 11 | 11-07 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +503 | $30 | $30 | 15 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46 | Up | +500 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46 | Down | +500 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 11-07 02:16 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +492 | $372 | $372 | 4 | 11-07 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +490 | $483 | $483 | 7 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dbd…fcd5 | Up | +490 | $42 | $42 | 15 | 11-07 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x02cd…fda3 | Down | +480 | $475 | $475 | 1 | 11-07 02:19 |
| Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | +477 | $26 | $26 | 25 | 11-07 02:17 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +446 | $394 | $394 | 13 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +407 | $38 | $38 | 5 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +400 | $392 | $392 | 6 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | +400 | $396 | $396 | 7 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | +400 | $390 | $390 | 9 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x783b…e856 | Down | +393 | $389 | $389 | 3 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Down | +392 | $365 | $365 | 12 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +388 | $204 | $204 | 16 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x912a…0f92 | Up | +386 | $23 | $23 | 23 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7 | Down | +350 | $152 | $152 | 7 | 11-07 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Up | +338 | $34 | $34 | 12 | 11-07 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +326 | $25 | $25 | 27 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Down | +320 | $140 | $177 | 10 | 11-07 02:14 |
| Unequaled-Title 0x28b9…531f | Down | +307 | $299 | $299 | 2 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x78bf…c697 | Down | +306 | $140 | $140 | 1 | 11-07 02:14 |
| Lawful-Nightlife-Sleet 0x6c6a…4fd2 | Up | +304 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-07 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | +302 | $58 | $58 | 7 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | Up | +300 | $18 | $18 | 18 | 11-07 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +294 | $209 | $209 | 11 | 11-07 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8630…d019 | Up | +283 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-07 02:15 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +281 | $40 | $40 | 18 | 11-07 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +250 | $116 | $116 | 6 | 11-07 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 11-07 02:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-07 02:20:42 | (anonymous) 0xafb8…4af8 | Down | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xf8d458… |
| 11-07 02:20:42 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xf8d458… |
| 11-07 02:20:31 | (anonymous) 0xc4c9…d2eb | Down | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xeba545… |
| 11-07 02:20:31 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xeba545… |
| 11-07 02:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x124860… |
| 11-07 02:20:15 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x124860… |
| 11-07 02:19:57 | (anonymous) 0x674d…e994 | Down | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x3aef49… |
| 11-07 02:19:57 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x3aef49… |
| 11-07 02:19:55 | (anonymous) 0xda6b…c4cf | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x376f44… |
| 11-07 02:19:55 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x376f44… |
| 11-07 02:19:39 | (anonymous) 0x6902…e73b | Down | SELL | 224 | 99¢ | $221 | 0x4e12fd… |
| 11-07 02:19:39 | (anonymous) 0x783b…e856 | Down | BUY | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0x4e12fd… |
| 11-07 02:19:39 | (anonymous) 0x5037…88e7 | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x4e12fd… |
| 11-07 02:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…886c | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x024fee… |
| 11-07 02:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x783b…e856 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x024fee… |
| 11-07 02:19:31 | (anonymous) 0xf030…dbba | Down | SELL | 429 | 99¢ | $425 | 0x7a2dcd… |
| 11-07 02:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x783b…e856 | Down | BUY | 189 | 99¢ | $187 | 0x7a2dcd… |
| 11-07 02:19:31 | (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | BUY | 235 | 99¢ | $233 | 0x7a2dcd… |
| 11-07 02:19:31 | Well-Made-Boom 0x8db1…6234 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7a2dcd… |
| 11-07 02:19:31 | (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xdd93ed… |
| 11-07 02:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xdd93ed… |
| 11-07 02:19:22 | (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe74613… |
| 11-07 02:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe74613… |
| 11-07 02:19:12 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xac18df… |
| 11-07 02:19:12 | (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xac18df… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xfddb…4529 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | Well-Made-Boom 0x8db1…6234 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Up | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | BUY | 141 | 99¢ | $139 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | Disastrous-Kiss 0x9886…57e5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x43a1…c2aa | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa5f922… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa5f922… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xad29…2600 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xbe5a…17b2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd4faf… |
| 11-07 02:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x6545df… |
| 11-07 02:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x244d…42f9 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc2070b… |
| 11-07 02:19:09 | Extraneous-User 0xd3d1…b0da | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6545df… |
| 11-07 02:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xc4c748… |
| 11-07 02:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc2070b… |
| 11-07 02:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x874594… |
| 11-07 02:19:09 | Cuddly-Trolley 0xfc74…50fc | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x874594… |
| 11-07 02:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x4c7f…9140 | Down | SELL | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xc4c748… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Up | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b864b… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x9ee5cd… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0xff7f…ea8e | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x45b730… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0xbe5a…17b2 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe9f1d6… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b864b… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe9f1d6… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 83 | 99¢ | $82 | 0xe9f1d6… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x7f1f…90b8 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9ee5cd… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe9f1d6… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x9ee9…826e | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x8b864b… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x0c21…2ee2 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x45b730… |
| 11-07 02:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe9f1d6… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xb250…a94c | Up | BUY | 976 | 1¢ | $10 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x0c21…2ee2 | Up | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd8eb8d… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x96d7bf… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x61a8…6454 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Up | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd73d35… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26e786… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x1142…273a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8c0419… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x003cae… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x9b53…3b5b | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb47866… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Well-Made-Boom 0x8db1…6234 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x82eb…f2b4 | Down | BUY | 149 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x0721…7f78 | Down | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xd802…c076 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xa3da…0063 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbecd64… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x24a793… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Superb-Luncheonette 0x4492…90ea | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x003cae… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x02cd…fda3 | Down | BUY | 480 | 99¢ | $475 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xae88f3… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x093d…220e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xae88f3… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Up | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x739fe7… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x093d…220e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x24a793… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x73ad…ef22 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x70be…d900 | Down | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x093d…220e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x694109… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x344c…dfc7 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3bb528… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x5b05…39f6 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x89513d… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Neighboring-Transmission-Week 0x0936…672e | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x694109… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x593b…a6e9 | Down | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $37 | 0xd8eb8d… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xd33d…8489 | Down | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x96d7bf… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x739fe7… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x3165…7124 | Down | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x5db716… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x91a9…44b8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbecd64… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Up | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x89513d… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Superb-Luncheonette 0x4492…90ea | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x739fe7… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xb948…bf06 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdc1a33… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5db716… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3bb528… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | Salty-Look 0xf5d5…c9d4 | Down | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $37 | 0x26e786… |
| 11-07 02:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdc1a33… |