Quarterly-Lag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$237.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

21,632

Trades

138,960

lifetime

Volume

$54.4M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$392

Open exposure

$310

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-03 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$140,325

Crypto

14% 81% +$75,749

Sports

7% 95% +$21,772

Politics

0% 81% -$111

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1662 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
M15 Antalya: Veljko Krstic vs Vladimir Osminkin	Veljko Krstic	—	+328	$325	94¢	$310	-$15	11-03 13:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	3	$536.5K	537,000	+537,000	Yes	+$537	09-24 20:45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	1	$519.5K	520,000	+520,000	Yes	+$520	10-18 17:26
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	3	$516.5K	517,000	+517,000	Yes	+$517	09-11 21:06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	1	$499.5K	500,000	+500,000	Yes	+$500	10-14 20:56
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	45	$479.5K	480,000	+480,000	Yes	+$480	10-04 22:06
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	358	$449.6K	450,000	+450,000	Switzerland	+$450	07-07 23:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	193	$449.6K	450,000	+450,000	Yes	+$450	10-28 19:17
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$399.6K	400,000	+400,000	Yes	+$400	07-20 00:16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	36	$399.6K	400,000	+400,000	Yes	+$400	09-09 20:56
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	43	$399.6K	400,000	+400,000	No	+$400	07-01 22:50
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	160	$314.7K	315,024	+315,024	No	+$315	06-15 00:21
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	678	$301.0K	301,330	+301,330	Yes	+$301	06-15 03:31
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	5	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	No	+$300	07-04 00:22
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	575	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	Morocco	+$300	06-30 04:08
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	32	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	No	+$300	06-15 22:12
Spread: FC Sion (-2.5)	1	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	AFC Ajax	+$300	08-27 21:48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	26	$299.1K	300,000	+300,000	No	+$850	06-29 23:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	12	$265.0K	273,200	+273,200	No	+$8,196	04-26 07:53
Knicks vs. Spurs	336	$249.8K	250,000	+250,000	Knicks	+$250	06-14 03:46
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	13	$226.8K	227,000	+227,000	No	+$227	06-15 19:49
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	Yes	+$200	06-14 03:48
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	123	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	Flavio Cobolli	+$200	09-01 19:47
dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	1	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	Team Spirit	+$200	08-22 04:48
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	No	+$200	06-14 00:30
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	122	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	LYON	+$200	10-31 21:54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	71	$198.9K	199,176	+199,176	No	+$299	05-30 18:52
will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	8	$186.5K	186,659	+186,659	Yes	+$203	08-21 09:56
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	204	$179.8K	179,964	+179,964	Team Spirit	+$180	08-23 07:38
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	77	$175.3K	175,504	+175,504	Alexander Blockx	+$176	09-07 21:57
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs	42	$174.7K	174,836	+174,836	BoomBoys	+$175	08-21 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 13:53:19	M15 Antalya: Veljko Krstic vs Vladimir Osminkin	Veljko Krstic	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x6ffc32…
11-03 13:34:45	M15 Antalya: Veljko Krstic vs Vladimir Osminkin	Veljko Krstic	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0xa29433…
11-03 13:08:27	Dota 2: rostikfacekid TEAM vs LenS Team - Game 2 Winner	LenS Team	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xe1cd10…
11-03 12:55:51	sc2 rogue maxpax 2026 11 03 game1	MaxPax	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x500a98…
11-03 12:55:18	sc2 rogue maxpax 2026 11 03 game1	MaxPax	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xb7543f…
11-03 12:21:52	M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Mario Mansilla Diez	Aren Baybars	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x8785c5…
11-03 11:46:49	M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Oskari Eerola vs Sidane Pontjodikromo	Oskari Eerola	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xfd2831…
11-03 11:21:34	Fruhvirtova vs. Falkowska: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc385cc…
11-03 08:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7512fe…
11-03 07:37:06	M15 Fergana: Oleg Kolninov vs Boris Pokotilov	Oleg Kolninov	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0xf8c93d…
11-03 07:04:37	M15 Maanshan: Haolong He vs Arkhip Kozlov	Arkhip Kozlov	BUY	172	99¢	$171	0x649175…
11-03 07:03:28	W100 Incheon: Jia-Jing Lu vs Erika Sema	Jia-Jing Lu	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x3f85f8…
11-03 05:57:31	Spread: Warriors (-3.5)	Suns	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x98f9c4…
11-03 05:53:39	Spread: Suns (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x225406…
11-03 05:38:51	Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 265.5	Under	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x668a31…
11-03 05:26:27	Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 249.5	Over	BUY	319	99¢	$316	0x76d79c…
11-03 05:26:25	Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 249.5	Over	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x968601…
11-03 05:26:25	Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 249.5	Over	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x2e9d2a…
11-03 05:26:25	Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 249.5	Over	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x2413e9…
11-03 04:33:51	East Texas A&M Lions vs. Oklahoma Sooners	East Texas A&M Lions	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0x69d8f7…
11-03 04:26:21	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	708	100¢	$707	0x708973…
11-03 04:24:39	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fd562…
11-03 04:24:36	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	508	100¢	$508	0x432ea0…
11-03 04:24:06	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	821	100¢	$820	0x6918e6…
11-03 04:22:33	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x09ab37…
11-03 04:20:07	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe348ea…
11-03 04:20:07	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc3a4b8…
11-03 04:20:06	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x08e1e1…
11-03 04:18:57	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9df9a6…
11-03 04:18:42	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x9aaabc…
11-03 04:13:06	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x73172b…
11-03 04:12:27	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xfcd7c0…
11-03 04:11:28	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x06460e…
11-03 04:11:15	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x36f3be…
11-03 04:08:45	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x11f8ee…
11-03 04:05:54	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa0738a…
11-03 04:05:24	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x0ec463…
11-03 04:05:10	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x5053b6…
11-03 04:04:49	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xd143db…
11-03 04:04:19	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x2e06e6…
11-03 04:04:06	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99c452…
11-03 04:04:01	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x375b9e…
11-03 04:03:58	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	36,588	100¢	$36,552	0xfea10c…
11-03 03:50:57	Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x638ddf…
11-03 03:02:57	Bulls vs. 76ers: O/U 245.5	Under	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x98e1ed…
11-03 02:52:55	Bears vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneyline	Bears	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcaa074…
11-03 02:30:07	Memphis Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Memphis Tigers	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x9df257…
11-03 02:29:36	Memphis Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Memphis Tigers	BUY	354	99¢	$351	0x26d3dc…
11-03 01:12:15	Thunder vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0be608…
11-02 23:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x50ec7d…
11-02 22:07:36	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x094aea…
11-02 22:06:33	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x8c3503…
11-02 22:04:42	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Everton FC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xff87d4…
11-02 21:45:18	Northern Kentucky Norse vs. UTEP Miners	Northern Kentucky Norse	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc46a86…
11-02 21:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	393	100¢	$393	0xd4bdfb…
11-02 21:06:12	Jong FC Utrecht vs. FC Dordrecht: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1949b5…
11-02 20:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x33c2ec…
11-02 20:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x6d5ae6…
11-02 20:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x495e9a…
11-02 20:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,766	100¢	$1,764	0xe01a8a…
11-02 20:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde37fb…
11-02 20:32:22	Dota 2: rostikfacekid TEAM vs Cooman Team - Game 1 Winner	Cooman Team	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xe84f74…
11-02 20:30:19	Dota 2: rostikfacekid TEAM vs Cooman Team - Game 1 Winner	Cooman Team	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xc05db5…
11-02 19:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23af45…
11-02 19:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xb6634c…
11-02 19:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf1fe8e…
11-02 18:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62e7ef…
11-02 18:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd6eb82…
11-02 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2,710	100¢	$2,707	0xddfaf2…
11-02 18:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a4af2…
11-02 18:18:16	Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x1ec0e1…
11-02 18:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9c9581…
11-02 18:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa19f2e…
11-02 18:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x6b622a…
11-02 18:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1dd590…
11-02 18:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x073b66…
11-02 18:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	344	100¢	$344	0xdbf290…
11-02 18:05:48	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	HellNight-	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xb62c6f…
11-02 18:05:36	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xc7ab87…
11-02 18:04:51	Davidson Wildcats vs. Columbia Lions (W)	Columbia Lions	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x8a414f…
11-02 18:02:43	Exact Score: FK Karpaty Lviv 0 - 1 FK Kudrivka?	No	BUY	332	99¢	$329	0xc196b6…
11-02 17:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5,003	100¢	$4,998	0x1bc5a7…
11-02 16:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x648d22…
11-02 16:27:24	Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x6beaae…
11-02 16:27:21	Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x8bc86a…
11-02 16:27:18	Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x5673e5…
11-02 16:27:15	Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x390ecd…
11-02 16:27:13	Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x945f30…
11-02 16:24:49	Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xdaa9aa…
11-02 16:24:34	Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x05081c…
11-02 16:12:57	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x02a882…
11-02 16:12:46	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x45c0d0…
11-02 16:12:37	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xbb4ee6…
11-02 16:12:37	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x2f2b1d…
11-02 16:12:36	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x8654ce…
11-02 16:09:58	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x3f3d6b…
11-02 16:09:49	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	HellNight-	BUY	22,000	100¢	$21,978	0x5a6037…
11-02 16:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x978e4a…
11-02 16:04:12	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	HellNight-	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xd707b4…
11-02 16:04:12	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	HellNight-	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x20b32c…