Quarterly-Lag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$237.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

21,590

Trades

138,844

lifetime

Volume

$54.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$391

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-02 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$140,234

Crypto

14% 81% +$75,733

Sports

7% 95% +$21,752

Politics

0% 81% -$111

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1754 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	3	$536.5K	537,000	+537,000	Yes	+$537	09-24 20:45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	1	$519.5K	520,000	+520,000	Yes	+$520	10-18 17:26
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	3	$516.5K	517,000	+517,000	Yes	+$517	09-11 21:06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	1	$499.5K	500,000	+500,000	Yes	+$500	10-14 20:56
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	45	$479.5K	480,000	+480,000	Yes	+$480	10-04 22:06
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	358	$449.6K	450,000	+450,000	Switzerland	+$450	07-07 23:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	193	$449.6K	450,000	+450,000	Yes	+$450	10-28 19:17
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$399.6K	400,000	+400,000	Yes	+$400	07-20 00:16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	36	$399.6K	400,000	+400,000	Yes	+$400	09-09 20:56
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	43	$399.6K	400,000	+400,000	No	+$400	07-01 22:50
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	160	$314.7K	315,024	+315,024	No	+$315	06-15 00:21
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	678	$301.0K	301,330	+301,330	Yes	+$301	06-15 03:31
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	5	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	No	+$300	07-04 00:22
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	575	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	Morocco	+$300	06-30 04:08
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	32	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	No	+$300	06-15 22:12
Spread: FC Sion (-2.5)	1	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	AFC Ajax	+$300	08-27 21:48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	26	$299.1K	300,000	+300,000	No	+$850	06-29 23:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	12	$265.0K	273,200	+273,200	No	+$8,196	04-26 07:53
Knicks vs. Spurs	336	$249.8K	250,000	+250,000	Knicks	+$250	06-14 03:46
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	13	$226.8K	227,000	+227,000	No	+$227	06-15 19:49
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	Yes	+$200	06-14 03:48
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	123	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	Flavio Cobolli	+$200	09-01 19:47
dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	1	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	Team Spirit	+$200	08-22 04:48
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	No	+$200	06-14 00:30
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	122	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	LYON	+$200	10-31 21:54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	71	$198.9K	199,176	+199,176	No	+$299	05-30 18:52
will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	8	$186.5K	186,659	+186,659	Yes	+$203	08-21 09:56
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	204	$179.8K	179,964	+179,964	Team Spirit	+$180	08-23 07:38
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	77	$175.3K	175,504	+175,504	Alexander Blockx	+$176	09-07 21:57
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	42	$174.7K	174,836	+174,836	BoomBoys	+$175	08-21 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:36:15	Spread: Lakers (-13.5)	Raptors	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xf77e9c…
11-02 03:36:24	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x1352d3…
11-02 03:17:12	Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x84138c…
11-02 02:50:36	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	412	99¢	$408	0xcfda3c…
11-02 02:33:40	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x7564f6…
11-02 01:59:43	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52508f…
11-02 01:59:37	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb5e8e…
11-02 00:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	516	100¢	$515	0x8bf690…
11-02 00:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b1140…
11-02 00:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8c2cd…
11-01 23:04:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb76f3f…
11-01 22:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0d0cc1…
11-01 22:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x828385…
11-01 22:02:21	Lexington SC vs. Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbbc6dc…
11-01 21:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x56813f…
11-01 21:04:30	Spread: Jets (-7.5)	Raiders	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x49fff0…
11-01 19:40:24	1H Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)	Jaguars	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x02e17a…
11-01 19:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd20a03…
11-01 19:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe9236…
11-01 18:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7006bc…
11-01 18:09:58	Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x7bf55e…
11-01 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x870cf3…
11-01 16:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaab4b8…
11-01 16:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9dcf43…
11-01 16:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xad4ca3…
11-01 16:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc6721…
11-01 15:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdb1774…
11-01 15:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x084ca4…
11-01 14:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87f70b…
11-01 12:48:48	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 1 Winner	potn9ki	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1bbd4b…
11-01 12:48:45	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs potn9ki - Game 1 Winner	potn9ki	BUY	352	99¢	$349	0x72d95c…
11-01 12:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb94483…
11-01 10:47:33	Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Weibo Gaming	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa449c6…
11-01 10:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5450ea…
11-01 10:19:49	Set Handicap: Lilli Tagger (-1.5) vs Harriet Dart (+1.5)	Harriet Dart	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9dc7e7…
11-01 09:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d64c5…
11-01 07:00:01	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xd3ce56…
11-01 06:36:12	Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 63.5	Under	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xf6f90f…
11-01 02:24:58	Spread: Cavaliers (-24.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xc0dc2b…
11-01 01:09:51	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	7,588	100¢	$7,580	0x4b49b8…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	14,412	100¢	$14,398	0x284293…
11-01 01:09:13	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	9,538	100¢	$9,528	0x58620a…
11-01 01:09:04	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xd88bf9…
11-01 01:08:58	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdc02df…
11-01 01:08:58	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x58aa0c…
11-01 01:08:52	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe3107b…
11-01 01:08:52	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x0bf397…
11-01 01:08:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x4b1d21…
11-01 01:08:39	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	2,439	100¢	$2,437	0xa46e90…
11-01 00:44:03	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	4,155	100¢	$4,151	0xd53ca9…
11-01 00:43:57	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3ce364…
11-01 00:43:54	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xd719aa…
11-01 00:43:49	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xea1014…
11-01 00:43:48	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	7,830	100¢	$7,822	0x6791b7…
11-01 00:43:42	Spread: Hornets (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	494	99¢	$490	0xb24374…
11-01 00:24:06	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0xa55d79…
11-01 00:15:00	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x5fd37d…
11-01 00:12:13	1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	476	99¢	$472	0x9b4728…
11-01 00:08:31	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xef1a14…
11-01 00:08:27	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6e97c7…
11-01 00:08:24	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x3061fa…
10-31 23:28:54	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xc963ad…
10-31 23:24:16	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x48e823…
10-31 23:23:48	76ers vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xac49a8…
10-31 23:22:42	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4bd204…
10-31 23:19:12	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7b9364…
10-31 23:18:49	MODUS Super Series: Archie Self vs Andy Baetens	Andy Baetens	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x34db9d…
10-31 23:15:52	MODUS Super Series: Archie Self vs Andy Baetens	Andy Baetens	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x99f20c…
10-31 23:14:25	76ers vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd5597…
10-31 23:14:13	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x29c90a…
10-31 23:11:09	Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x7bff20…
10-31 23:10:52	Exact Score: Rangers FC 1 - 0 Aberdeen FC?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xe8f70b…
10-31 23:10:52	Exact Score: Rangers FC 1 - 0 Aberdeen FC?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x755161…
10-31 23:10:46	Will Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x52fd00…
10-31 23:10:28	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	432	100¢	$431	0x82851f…
10-31 23:09:33	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe53b1a…
10-31 23:07:45	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	714	100¢	$714	0x983153…
10-31 23:07:27	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3f83f5…
10-31 23:07:12	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad0d4b…
10-31 23:07:04	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2de05…
10-31 23:07:03	Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	277	100¢	$277	0x291af5…
10-31 22:14:07	FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés O/U 3.5 Corners	Under	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9bc4a7…
10-31 21:54:27	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xa7830d…
10-31 21:54:19	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x38bed5…
10-31 21:54:12	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	708	100¢	$708	0x585476…
10-31 21:53:48	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x87bcbe…
10-31 21:53:09	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	1,703	100¢	$1,701	0xb4184c…
10-31 21:52:36	Will KVC Westerlo win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	490	99¢	$486	0xbc3c83…
10-31 21:52:13	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x371a7e…
10-31 21:52:00	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	687	100¢	$686	0xb32167…
10-31 21:51:03	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e9e5d…
10-31 21:50:40	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xe1203b…
10-31 21:50:03	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6eeb90…
10-31 21:50:01	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x5318db…
10-31 21:49:57	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x5108fb…
10-31 21:49:28	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	567	100¢	$566	0x2f1555…
10-31 21:49:28	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	37,875	100¢	$37,837	0x2abbea…
10-31 21:49:24	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	1,433	100¢	$1,432	0x0c60c8…
10-31 21:49:16	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Lucia Szabová	BUY	1,154	100¢	$1,152	0xa69acc…
10-31 21:49:03	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd9efb0…