Lively-Sand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.41K

Unrealized P&L

+$110

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

12,687

Trades

22,409

lifetime

Volume

$407.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-28 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 245 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 90% -$518

Other

23% 49% -$5,786

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 37% -$108

Sports

0% 59% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 43% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 499 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+435	-$91	4¢	$19	+$110	09-13 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	1	$15.0K	16,300	0	+16,300	Over	+$1,304	06-29 17:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	8	$11.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Over	+$978	07-18 22:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	14	$10.7K	6,280	6,280	+0	Over	-$565	07-18 21:41
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	23	$7.2K	8,448	0	+8,448	Over	+$1,267	06-29 21:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$6.0K	7,426	0	+7,426	Under	-$6,015	07-19 19:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$4.3K	13,360	12,925	+435	open	—	09-13 06:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 0pt5	2	$3.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	Over	+$435	07-11 22:10
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	3	$3.5K	4,863	0	+4,863	Under	-$3,453	07-07 21:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$2.8K	3,300	0	+3,300	Over	+$495	07-06 19:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	6	$2.7K	1,755	1,755	+0	Yes	+$575	07-10 20:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	3	$2.6K	3,300	2,345	+955	Under	-$2,551	07-14 20:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	1	$2.5K	2,825	0	+2,825	Over	+$282	07-05 22:35
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	1	$2.4K	2,610	0	+2,610	Over	+$183	07-07 05:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	5	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Over	+$178	07-05 20:22
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	10	$2.3K	2,390	0	+2,390	Over	+$131	07-04 21:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	1	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	Over	+$92	07-03 20:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$2.0K	2,663	0	+2,663	Argentina	+$659	07-11 22:11
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	1	$2.0K	2,133	0	+2,133	Over	+$133	07-02 21:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	7	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$200	07-02 19:34
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1.4K	1,760	0	+1,760	Over	+$370	07-01 20:35
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1000	1,450	0	+1,450	Over	+$450	07-01 17:28
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Under	+$493	06-25 18:58
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	4	$922	651	651	+0	open	—	07-26 18:47
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$784	575	575	+0	Under	-$216	06-27 05:00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	4	$632	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$388	06-27 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	09-04 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:55 UTC	8	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	11	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x345975…
10-28 02:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6aa375…
10-28 02:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5a2460…
10-28 02:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x790dc5…
10-28 02:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4fc2e7…
10-28 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xda8bab…
10-28 02:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6d774…
10-28 01:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc3bfa4…
10-28 01:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x76f46e…
10-28 01:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb1efd6…
10-28 00:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x31ec65…
10-28 00:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x286ccc…
10-28 00:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8ebf64…
10-28 00:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaf99ad…
10-28 00:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x64fce3…
10-27 23:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3d0df1…
10-27 23:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x4186ff…
10-27 23:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2b8663…
10-27 23:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0bb047…
10-27 23:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3a68ec…
10-27 22:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x383ee5…
10-27 22:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9b93b5…
10-27 22:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf38694…
10-27 22:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x732aab…
10-27 22:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9a91c7…
10-27 22:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfba5fa…
10-27 22:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x82836c…
10-27 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x38d705…
10-27 21:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf44f1d…
10-27 21:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1c9e97…
10-27 21:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbd4f44…
10-27 21:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfd3245…
10-27 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe24b99…
10-27 20:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc310ff…
10-27 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf1393f…
10-27 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x980841…
10-27 20:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4e0ae6…
10-27 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b1b1b…
10-27 20:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x77ff29…
10-27 20:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdb646f…
10-27 20:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbc38eb…
10-27 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf45783…
10-27 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa5908c…
10-27 20:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x664d48…
10-27 19:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x585769…
10-27 19:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8eccb6…
10-27 19:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf60cf3…
10-27 18:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8eec27…
10-27 18:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2f19b7…
10-27 18:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x90433f…
10-27 18:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcac4ce…
10-27 18:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x801adc…
10-27 18:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a57fa…
10-27 17:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x680a4c…
10-27 17:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5df60c…
10-27 17:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7e0614…
10-27 16:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd164af…
10-27 16:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8ecc6d…
10-27 16:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcc34e5…
10-27 16:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2bef2f…
10-27 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4c4c00…
10-27 15:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x95d0b8…
10-27 14:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x546df3…
10-27 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd7935d…
10-27 14:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb630fb…
10-27 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x10be57…
10-27 14:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb7ea2a…
10-27 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x17d264…
10-27 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x74e0bb…
10-27 12:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4076ad…
10-27 12:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb71c61…
10-27 12:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeef6d3…
10-27 12:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6886aa…
10-27 12:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a9449…
10-27 12:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5eea98…
10-27 11:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x708607…
10-27 11:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdcc0a9…
10-27 11:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xce3ea9…
10-27 11:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb1829…
10-27 10:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x180351…
10-27 10:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7544a9…
10-27 09:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc5470…
10-27 09:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xff7628…
10-27 09:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x41fc29…
10-27 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7da0cd…
10-27 08:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2e6ef6…
10-27 08:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa7238e…
10-27 08:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x070679…
10-27 07:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x061466…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb2e962…
10-27 06:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x767630…
10-27 06:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xec8958…
10-27 05:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30c172…
10-27 05:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x738efa…
10-27 05:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd2a51d…
10-27 04:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x370e1d…
10-27 04:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0699af…
10-27 03:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbcb8f5…
10-27 03:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x60d59e…
10-27 02:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2a25fe…