Lively-Sand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.39K

Unrealized P&L

+$110

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

12,576

Trades

22,285

lifetime

Volume

$405.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 21:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 243 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 90% -$500

Other

23% 49% -$5,786

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 37% -$108

Sports

0% 59% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 43% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 499 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+435	-$91	4¢	$18	+$110	09-13 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	1	$15.0K	16,300	0	+16,300	Over	+$1,304	06-29 17:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	8	$11.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Over	+$978	07-18 22:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	14	$10.7K	6,280	6,280	+0	Over	-$565	07-18 21:41
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	23	$7.2K	8,448	0	+8,448	Over	+$1,267	06-29 21:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$6.0K	7,426	0	+7,426	Under	-$6,015	07-19 19:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$4.3K	13,360	12,925	+435	open	—	09-13 06:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 0pt5	2	$3.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	Over	+$435	07-11 22:10
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	3	$3.5K	4,863	0	+4,863	Under	-$3,453	07-07 21:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$2.8K	3,300	0	+3,300	Over	+$495	07-06 19:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	6	$2.7K	1,755	1,755	+0	Yes	+$575	07-10 20:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	3	$2.6K	3,300	2,345	+955	Under	-$2,551	07-14 20:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	1	$2.5K	2,825	0	+2,825	Over	+$282	07-05 22:35
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	1	$2.4K	2,610	0	+2,610	Over	+$183	07-07 05:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	5	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Over	+$178	07-05 20:22
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	10	$2.3K	2,390	0	+2,390	Over	+$131	07-04 21:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	1	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	Over	+$92	07-03 20:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$2.0K	2,663	0	+2,663	Argentina	+$659	07-11 22:11
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	1	$2.0K	2,133	0	+2,133	Over	+$133	07-02 21:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	7	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$200	07-02 19:34
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1.4K	1,760	0	+1,760	Over	+$370	07-01 20:35
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1000	1,450	0	+1,450	Over	+$450	07-01 17:28
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Under	+$493	06-25 18:58
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	4	$922	651	651	+0	open	—	07-26 18:47
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$784	575	575	+0	Under	-$216	06-27 05:00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	4	$632	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$388	06-27 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	09-04 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:55 UTC	8	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	11	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb417f0…
10-26 22:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc78834…
10-26 22:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9e4553…
10-26 21:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x041ffd…
10-26 21:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2bbf95…
10-26 20:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa442c9…
10-26 20:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4f3c70…
10-26 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc409ab…
10-26 20:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd2e098…
10-26 20:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa6bf3f…
10-26 20:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x58c949…
10-26 20:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf311dc…
10-26 19:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5324ed…
10-26 19:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b68a5…
10-26 19:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x134922…
10-26 19:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9186e7…
10-26 19:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3a28b7…
10-26 18:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3f6069…
10-26 18:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x17417b…
10-26 18:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x19e900…
10-26 18:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9ca329…
10-26 18:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6a5b10…
10-26 18:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x95ac02…
10-26 18:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x280845…
10-26 17:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x91b4c5…
10-26 17:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3f2e45…
10-26 17:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeececf…
10-26 16:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa03748…
10-26 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x521721…
10-26 16:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8dd762…
10-26 16:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf35928…
10-26 16:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x316975…
10-26 16:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3bd5a0…
10-26 15:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x42cdac…
10-26 15:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcf04a9…
10-26 15:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0de4a4…
10-26 15:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd52356…
10-26 15:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbcedd4…
10-26 15:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x80ad47…
10-26 14:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3c7234…
10-26 14:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe62122…
10-26 14:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x61ff93…
10-26 14:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x99dfd9…
10-26 14:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x880016…
10-26 14:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbfc0ef…
10-26 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x977979…
10-26 13:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1d48b6…
10-26 13:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x126ba7…
10-26 13:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe000cf…
10-26 13:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6ecd02…
10-26 13:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x39a95e…
10-26 12:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xca22d2…
10-26 12:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x07ad51…
10-26 12:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xac8523…
10-26 12:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd1d752…
10-26 11:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaf3ca2…
10-26 11:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf9875c…
10-26 11:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8a05e9…
10-26 11:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda5c38…
10-26 10:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x82fde9…
10-26 10:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4a4019…
10-26 10:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x92ef34…
10-26 10:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x339b0c…
10-26 09:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x50afa8…
10-26 09:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5115d4…
10-26 09:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3c79a1…
10-26 09:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1a4df5…
10-26 09:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5cdcd8…
10-26 09:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xff121d…
10-26 08:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x205c6d…
10-26 08:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb8d5f…
10-26 08:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd8775f…
10-26 08:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfd7338…
10-26 08:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x697671…
10-26 07:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x64cdd1…
10-26 07:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x163c5b…
10-26 07:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1c5240…
10-26 07:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfc9a1f…
10-26 06:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb6eaa2…
10-26 05:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6992fa…
10-26 05:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0674c3…
10-26 05:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x830fed…
10-26 05:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf8baef…
10-26 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3bee0c…
10-26 04:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb1302…
10-26 04:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9c575a…
10-26 04:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xffc8c5…
10-26 03:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfbace9…
10-26 03:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6d7de0…
10-26 03:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5feac2…
10-26 02:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1c3158…
10-26 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcad2c0…
10-26 02:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x928373…
10-26 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8108ad…
10-26 01:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x9a2a2c…
10-26 01:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x94304c…
10-26 01:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd4e273…
10-26 01:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x46a18d…
10-26 01:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x771385…
10-26 01:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54260a…