Lively-Sand — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$252

Unrealized P&L

+$105

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved (90d)

7,936

Trades (90d)

10,483

22,861 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$297.6K

$412.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-01 01:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 249 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 90% -$483

Other

23% 49% -$5,786

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 37% -$108

Sports

0% 59% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 43% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 499 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+435	-$91	3¢	$13	+$105	09-13 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	1	$15.0K	16,300	0	+16,300	Over	+$1,304	06-29 17:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	8	$11.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Over	+$978	07-18 22:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	14	$10.7K	6,280	6,280	+0	Over	-$565	07-18 21:41
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	23	$7.2K	8,448	0	+8,448	Over	+$1,267	06-29 21:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$6.0K	7,426	0	+7,426	Under	-$6,015	07-19 19:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$4.3K	13,360	12,925	+435	open	—	09-13 06:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 0pt5	2	$3.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	Over	+$435	07-11 22:10
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	3	$3.5K	4,863	0	+4,863	Under	-$3,453	07-07 21:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$2.8K	3,300	0	+3,300	Over	+$495	07-06 19:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	6	$2.7K	1,755	1,755	+0	Yes	+$575	07-10 20:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	3	$2.6K	3,300	2,345	+955	Under	-$2,551	07-14 20:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	1	$2.5K	2,825	0	+2,825	Over	+$282	07-05 22:35
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	1	$2.4K	2,610	0	+2,610	Over	+$183	07-07 05:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	5	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Over	+$178	07-05 20:22
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	10	$2.3K	2,390	0	+2,390	Over	+$131	07-04 21:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	1	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	Over	+$92	07-03 20:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$2.0K	2,663	0	+2,663	Argentina	+$659	07-11 22:11
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	1	$2.0K	2,133	0	+2,133	Over	+$133	07-02 21:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	7	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$200	07-02 19:34
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1.4K	1,760	0	+1,760	Over	+$370	07-01 20:35
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1000	1,450	0	+1,450	Over	+$450	07-01 17:28
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Under	+$493	06-25 18:58
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	4	$922	651	651	+0	open	—	07-26 18:47
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$784	575	575	+0	Under	-$216	06-27 05:00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	4	$632	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$388	06-27 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	09-04 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:55 UTC	8	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	11	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x589159…
11-01 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x006fd0…
11-01 00:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x157f53…
11-01 00:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9834a…
10-31 23:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c1fe0…
10-31 23:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b53dc…
10-31 23:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20091a…
10-31 23:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x885ec7…
10-31 23:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24f04f…
10-31 23:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a5b03…
10-31 23:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x504230…
10-31 22:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1cc112…
10-31 22:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa06913…
10-31 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe1eb63…
10-31 22:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7dab24…
10-31 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x950d53…
10-31 22:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79c529…
10-31 21:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a1b95…
10-31 21:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd449ab…
10-31 21:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0a8c8…
10-31 21:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x362775…
10-31 21:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe00efa…
10-31 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd98bf…
10-31 21:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80bee0…
10-31 20:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfbd94a…
10-31 20:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd7865…
10-31 20:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x948c3e…
10-31 20:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07b391…
10-31 19:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbf956…
10-31 19:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe99b19…
10-31 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf87d44…
10-31 19:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbfd577…
10-31 18:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c7ec7…
10-31 18:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae98c7…
10-31 18:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6dbf83…
10-31 18:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3ece9…
10-31 18:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85d1a8…
10-31 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3fb12…
10-31 17:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4fe24…
10-31 17:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab06c4…
10-31 17:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x488b65…
10-31 17:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b4f70…
10-31 17:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51354b…
10-31 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffe817…
10-31 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d50f2…
10-31 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75312b…
10-31 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeacbd3…
10-31 16:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39926e…
10-31 16:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b1d17…
10-31 15:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d54cf…
10-31 15:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb460f5…
10-31 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0834f…
10-31 15:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bafb6…
10-31 15:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e3d73…
10-31 15:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf04a7e…
10-31 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f4a31…
10-31 14:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9463e…
10-31 14:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e7c6a…
10-31 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38a89f…
10-31 14:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47c491…
10-31 14:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2be552…
10-31 13:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x613a6c…
10-31 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0afe4…
10-31 13:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05ea93…
10-31 12:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa46d08…
10-31 12:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf465ef…
10-31 12:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc241e8…
10-31 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbcfd8f…
10-31 12:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce7de2…
10-31 11:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc68ab7…
10-31 11:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35c01a…
10-31 11:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00c62c…
10-31 11:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x127bdd…
10-31 11:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3ef0a…
10-31 10:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x92c704…
10-31 10:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72240c…
10-31 10:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66fe37…
10-31 10:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f9e6d…
10-31 10:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2c60e…
10-31 10:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58847a…
10-31 10:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b2bb1…
10-31 10:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a9a87…
10-31 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e7634…
10-31 09:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b3d6d…
10-31 09:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b585b…
10-31 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7afe4a…
10-31 09:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe12a83…
10-31 09:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf008ce…
10-31 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0eb0f…
10-31 08:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58c8c5…
10-31 08:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb94bd…
10-31 08:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x005a90…
10-31 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2e374…
10-31 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x44e3cf…
10-31 07:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83aa62…
10-31 07:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50c136…
10-31 07:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x114c63…
10-31 07:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdabe27…
10-31 06:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda4c25…
10-31 06:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x169f5e…