Lively-Sand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.38K

Unrealized P&L

+$101

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

13,421

Trades

23,173

lifetime

Volume

$413.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-03 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 90% -$494

Other

23% 49% -$5,786

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 37% -$108

Sports

0% 59% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 43% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 499 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+435	-$91	2¢	$10	+$101	09-13 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	1	$15.0K	16,300	0	+16,300	Over	+$1,304	06-29 17:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	8	$11.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Over	+$978	07-18 22:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	14	$10.7K	6,280	6,280	+0	Over	-$565	07-18 21:41
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	23	$7.2K	8,448	0	+8,448	Over	+$1,267	06-29 21:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$6.0K	7,426	0	+7,426	Under	-$6,015	07-19 19:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$4.3K	13,360	12,925	+435	open	—	09-13 06:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 0pt5	2	$3.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	Over	+$435	07-11 22:10
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	3	$3.5K	4,863	0	+4,863	Under	-$3,453	07-07 21:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$2.8K	3,300	0	+3,300	Over	+$495	07-06 19:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	6	$2.7K	1,755	1,755	+0	Yes	+$575	07-10 20:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	3	$2.6K	3,300	2,345	+955	Under	-$2,551	07-14 20:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	1	$2.5K	2,825	0	+2,825	Over	+$282	07-05 22:35
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	1	$2.4K	2,610	0	+2,610	Over	+$183	07-07 05:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	5	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Over	+$178	07-05 20:22
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	10	$2.3K	2,390	0	+2,390	Over	+$131	07-04 21:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	1	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	Over	+$92	07-03 20:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$2.0K	2,663	0	+2,663	Argentina	+$659	07-11 22:11
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	1	$2.0K	2,133	0	+2,133	Over	+$133	07-02 21:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	7	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$200	07-02 19:34
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1.4K	1,760	0	+1,760	Over	+$370	07-01 20:35
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1000	1,450	0	+1,450	Over	+$450	07-01 17:28
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Under	+$493	06-25 18:58
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	4	$922	651	651	+0	open	—	07-26 18:47
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$784	575	575	+0	Under	-$216	06-27 05:00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	4	$632	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$388	06-27 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	09-04 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:55 UTC	8	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	11	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 15:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x452625…
11-03 15:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90fa17…
11-03 15:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20da71…
11-03 15:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x3d4713…
11-03 15:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe525bd…
11-03 15:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaed5d8…
11-03 15:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x781693…
11-03 15:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3823d0…
11-03 14:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x462a69…
11-03 14:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2db50c…
11-03 14:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x078d02…
11-03 14:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf349aa…
11-03 14:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc24194…
11-03 14:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfbfeb…
11-03 14:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a6205…
11-03 14:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x286fb7…
11-03 13:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ef273…
11-03 13:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91954b…
11-03 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaaaab6…
11-03 13:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb38e2c…
11-03 13:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd8214…
11-03 13:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea7c76…
11-03 12:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3daa8…
11-03 12:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd89d60…
11-03 12:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf7e99…
11-03 12:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfa3321…
11-03 12:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc3da2…
11-03 12:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x58620e…
11-03 12:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaacb2d…
11-03 12:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xdc83c6…
11-03 11:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3594d2…
11-03 11:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a33b1…
11-03 11:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf06027…
11-03 10:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76643c…
11-03 10:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0495ff…
11-03 10:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdfbd68…
11-03 10:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x462fd1…
11-03 10:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32c490…
11-03 10:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4566ec…
11-03 10:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb5237…
11-03 09:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d97f7…
11-03 09:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24e03e…
11-03 08:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3813e…
11-03 08:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbed681…
11-03 08:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x456bf1…
11-03 08:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37b72e…
11-03 08:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9493c6…
11-03 07:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00883f…
11-03 07:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12b871…
11-03 07:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb31a6e…
11-03 06:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51df79…
11-03 06:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6de8ac…
11-03 05:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0afc02…
11-03 05:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6ad40…
11-03 04:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe75c2a…
11-03 04:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25866c…
11-03 04:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x095280…
11-03 04:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85bd01…
11-03 03:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x654efb…
11-03 03:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73e816…
11-03 03:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8773c6…
11-03 03:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c40a3…
11-03 02:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80821a…
11-03 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x483823…
11-03 02:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59c745…
11-03 02:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5d78b…
11-03 02:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f67c5…
11-03 02:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x25b8a9…
11-03 01:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x192e01…
11-03 01:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40407e…
11-03 01:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7dcd4e…
11-03 01:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x35dee8…
11-03 01:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x482282…
11-03 01:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbdf4dc…
11-03 01:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9151e9…
11-03 01:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd1c17…
11-03 01:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa94c86…
11-03 00:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfaeebb…
11-03 00:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa73dc1…
11-03 00:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x514d85…
11-03 00:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3b650…
11-03 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e4220…
11-02 23:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08b9c4…
11-02 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf8bd6…
11-02 23:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc02ec6…
11-02 23:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xecc3aa…
11-02 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbae404…
11-02 23:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb02ff6…
11-02 23:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe9b27…
11-02 22:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3bff5…
11-02 22:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c2dec…
11-02 22:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x463c55…
11-02 22:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed7722…
11-02 22:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe83f65…
11-02 21:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39a311…
11-02 21:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff111a…
11-02 21:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b8655…
11-02 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffae71…
11-02 21:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x285a4f…
11-02 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6327fd…