Lively-Sand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.37K

Unrealized P&L

+$105

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

13,250

Trades

22,999

lifetime

Volume

$412.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-02 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 250 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 90% -$487

Other

23% 49% -$5,786

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 37% -$108

Sports

0% 59% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 43% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 499 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+435	-$91	3¢	$14	+$105	09-13 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	1	$15.0K	16,300	0	+16,300	Over	+$1,304	06-29 17:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	8	$11.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Over	+$978	07-18 22:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	14	$10.7K	6,280	6,280	+0	Over	-$565	07-18 21:41
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	23	$7.2K	8,448	0	+8,448	Over	+$1,267	06-29 21:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$6.0K	7,426	0	+7,426	Under	-$6,015	07-19 19:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$4.3K	13,360	12,925	+435	open	—	09-13 06:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 0pt5	2	$3.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	Over	+$435	07-11 22:10
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	3	$3.5K	4,863	0	+4,863	Under	-$3,453	07-07 21:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$2.8K	3,300	0	+3,300	Over	+$495	07-06 19:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	6	$2.7K	1,755	1,755	+0	Yes	+$575	07-10 20:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	3	$2.6K	3,300	2,345	+955	Under	-$2,551	07-14 20:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	1	$2.5K	2,825	0	+2,825	Over	+$282	07-05 22:35
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	1	$2.4K	2,610	0	+2,610	Over	+$183	07-07 05:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	5	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Over	+$178	07-05 20:22
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	10	$2.3K	2,390	0	+2,390	Over	+$131	07-04 21:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	1	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	Over	+$92	07-03 20:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$2.0K	2,663	0	+2,663	Argentina	+$659	07-11 22:11
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	1	$2.0K	2,133	0	+2,133	Over	+$133	07-02 21:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	7	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$200	07-02 19:34
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1.4K	1,760	0	+1,760	Over	+$370	07-01 20:35
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1000	1,450	0	+1,450	Over	+$450	07-01 17:28
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Under	+$493	06-25 18:58
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	4	$922	651	651	+0	open	—	07-26 18:47
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$784	575	575	+0	Under	-$216	06-27 05:00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	4	$632	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$388	06-27 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	09-04 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:55 UTC	8	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	11	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c7a04…
11-02 04:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x92423b…
11-02 03:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08ccc7…
11-02 03:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x708d8e…
11-02 03:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1779b…
11-02 03:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa21617…
11-02 03:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ec57e…
11-02 03:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96eeb9…
11-02 02:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1bee8…
11-02 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xdda257…
11-02 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91eeff…
11-02 02:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x381482…
11-02 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x967046…
11-02 01:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe8ec27…
11-02 01:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa4258…
11-02 00:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x03b5b4…
11-02 00:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa249fe…
11-02 00:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee1000…
11-02 00:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1d0f0…
11-02 00:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7da2f…
11-01 23:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x764a11…
11-01 22:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd117f7…
11-01 22:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f9fbd…
11-01 22:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95a28b…
11-01 21:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x738064…
11-01 21:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x325e1a…
11-01 21:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x719add…
11-01 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x86997a…
11-01 20:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a1cc6…
11-01 19:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91c43f…
11-01 19:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75ff5c…
11-01 19:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x731a4b…
11-01 19:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x556dbd…
11-01 19:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5724c8…
11-01 19:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x295dad…
11-01 19:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x696df4…
11-01 19:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6cc0f0…
11-01 18:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7fb0af…
11-01 18:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa9367c…
11-01 18:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf24599…
11-01 18:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x463c7b…
11-01 18:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc57337…
11-01 17:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c56fd…
11-01 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99878a…
11-01 17:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe6def1…
11-01 16:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad869f…
11-01 16:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3c05d…
11-01 16:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a703d…
11-01 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa862e9…
11-01 16:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc88b7c…
11-01 15:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x206c42…
11-01 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e76fc…
11-01 15:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x274fbc…
11-01 15:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47cac6…
11-01 15:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1482e…
11-01 15:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5fd228…
11-01 15:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x28e205…
11-01 15:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a5ba9…
11-01 15:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc62d3…
11-01 14:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdcac16…
11-01 14:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfad399…
11-01 14:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05ad17…
11-01 14:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b10aa…
11-01 14:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc8f572…
11-01 14:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x957fb3…
11-01 13:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb388de…
11-01 13:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc82d6e…
11-01 13:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x71f0ff…
11-01 13:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x239f7b…
11-01 13:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1028c2…
11-01 13:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7226f…
11-01 12:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2be1e2…
11-01 12:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x832785…
11-01 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1d097…
11-01 12:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1631ef…
11-01 12:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50fe2d…
11-01 12:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x076bf7…
11-01 12:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7476f9…
11-01 12:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x856b6d…
11-01 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ba2eb…
11-01 11:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd68c4…
11-01 11:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd66ac6…
11-01 11:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc5005…
11-01 11:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf4cf5…
11-01 10:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5edf5…
11-01 10:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x159338…
11-01 10:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58390a…
11-01 10:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd15ac…
11-01 10:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x279c41…
11-01 10:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64c9e5…
11-01 09:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb7d8d1…
11-01 09:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85c514…
11-01 09:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6a2307…
11-01 09:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd13cee…
11-01 08:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24bb42…
11-01 08:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65a9d0…
11-01 08:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40fc5d…
11-01 08:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd40555…
11-01 08:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5db16…
11-01 07:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc7704…