Lively-Sand — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$105

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved (7d)

724

Trades (7d)

846

22,620 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$13.7K

$410.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-29 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 246 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 90% -$491

Other

23% 49% -$5,786

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 37% -$108

Sports

0% 59% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 43% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 499 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+435	-$91	3¢	$14	+$105	09-13 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	1	$15.0K	16,300	0	+16,300	Over	+$1,304	06-29 17:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	8	$11.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Over	+$978	07-18 22:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	14	$10.7K	6,280	6,280	+0	Over	-$565	07-18 21:41
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	23	$7.2K	8,448	0	+8,448	Over	+$1,267	06-29 21:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$6.0K	7,426	0	+7,426	Under	-$6,015	07-19 19:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$4.3K	13,360	12,925	+435	open	—	09-13 06:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 0pt5	2	$3.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	Over	+$435	07-11 22:10
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	3	$3.5K	4,863	0	+4,863	Under	-$3,453	07-07 21:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$2.8K	3,300	0	+3,300	Over	+$495	07-06 19:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	6	$2.7K	1,755	1,755	+0	Yes	+$575	07-10 20:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	3	$2.6K	3,300	2,345	+955	Under	-$2,551	07-14 20:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	1	$2.5K	2,825	0	+2,825	Over	+$282	07-05 22:35
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	1	$2.4K	2,610	0	+2,610	Over	+$183	07-07 05:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	5	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Over	+$178	07-05 20:22
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	10	$2.3K	2,390	0	+2,390	Over	+$131	07-04 21:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	1	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	Over	+$92	07-03 20:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$2.0K	2,663	0	+2,663	Argentina	+$659	07-11 22:11
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	1	$2.0K	2,133	0	+2,133	Over	+$133	07-02 21:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	7	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$200	07-02 19:34
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1.4K	1,760	0	+1,760	Over	+$370	07-01 20:35
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1000	1,450	0	+1,450	Over	+$450	07-01 17:28
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Under	+$493	06-25 18:58
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	4	$922	651	651	+0	open	—	07-26 18:47
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$784	575	575	+0	Under	-$216	06-27 05:00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	4	$632	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$388	06-27 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	09-04 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:55 UTC	8	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	11	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc452e2…
10-30 00:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x257756…
10-30 00:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdc6313…
10-30 00:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f5efa…
10-30 00:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d1eaf…
10-29 23:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb5337…
10-29 23:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0c74b9…
10-29 23:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2bf78…
10-29 23:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x856c70…
10-29 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x114cda…
10-29 23:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4107b2…
10-29 23:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x14141b…
10-29 22:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x19b7c4…
10-29 22:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb07f53…
10-29 22:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x042020…
10-29 22:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb57219…
10-29 22:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3dc47…
10-29 22:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6fe2b…
10-29 21:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fb89a…
10-29 21:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d8914…
10-29 20:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ba369…
10-29 20:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d1a22…
10-29 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f779e…
10-29 19:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45c7f8…
10-29 19:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38bac4…
10-29 17:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde13d4…
10-29 17:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfbd5ac…
10-29 17:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf16ce1…
10-29 17:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ff2f0…
10-29 17:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb1177…
10-29 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c2778…
10-29 17:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x31c932…
10-29 16:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x130f2f…
10-29 16:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe88181…
10-29 16:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe3a32a…
10-29 16:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5aefd3…
10-29 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ea5c5…
10-29 15:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1a31b…
10-29 15:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x290fae…
10-29 15:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83847b…
10-29 15:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb004a…
10-29 15:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cbd16…
10-29 14:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x662420…
10-29 14:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7a1ae…
10-29 14:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa8c57…
10-29 14:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd9fea…
10-29 14:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38c4d7…
10-29 14:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96643b…
10-29 13:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2873a3…
10-29 13:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e9dc5…
10-29 13:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x302dba…
10-29 13:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x12bdbe…
10-29 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0ee758…
10-29 13:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xee107e…
10-29 13:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x736afa…
10-29 12:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x897979…
10-29 12:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe2c14f…
10-29 12:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3d6eee…
10-29 12:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2e0903…
10-29 12:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x75637b…
10-29 12:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6fd05d…
10-29 12:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa4011f…
10-29 12:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x058e5a…
10-29 11:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x756121…
10-29 11:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x67440c…
10-29 11:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6d0899…
10-29 11:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xecea0f…
10-29 11:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaed1f8…
10-29 11:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4157dc…
10-29 10:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa2f45f…
10-29 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7051a5…
10-29 09:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x717902…
10-29 09:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a7db8…
10-29 09:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x337f93…
10-29 09:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1b2864…
10-29 09:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x72f88c…
10-29 08:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd24f4a…
10-29 08:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc64c0b…
10-29 08:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x64926e…
10-29 08:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x06139f…
10-29 08:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x235b5f…
10-29 08:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6a749a…
10-29 07:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x931815…
10-29 07:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb1e7cb…
10-29 07:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x606328…
10-29 07:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7e889b…
10-29 07:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x508dc0…
10-29 07:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8f2dd…
10-29 07:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xae8767…
10-29 06:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x774d3c…
10-29 06:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3c5d1c…
10-29 06:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe2226…
10-29 06:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x18d79e…
10-29 06:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55b325…
10-29 06:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x931d15…
10-29 05:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x109bc9…
10-29 05:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x663894…
10-29 05:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63819c…
10-29 04:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd09dc5…
10-29 04:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x216ee2…