Lively-Sand — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$27

Unrealized P&L

+$105

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved (30d)

2,685

Trades (30d)

2,904

22,856 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$26.1K

$411.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-31 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 248 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 90% -$484

Other

23% 49% -$5,786

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 37% -$108

Sports

0% 59% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 43% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 499 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+435	-$91	3¢	$13	+$105	09-13 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	1	$15.0K	16,300	0	+16,300	Over	+$1,304	06-29 17:04
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	8	$11.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	Over	+$978	07-18 22:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	14	$10.7K	6,280	6,280	+0	Over	-$565	07-18 21:41
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	23	$7.2K	8,448	0	+8,448	Over	+$1,267	06-29 21:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	1	$6.0K	7,426	0	+7,426	Under	-$6,015	07-19 19:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$4.3K	13,360	12,925	+435	open	—	09-13 06:19
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 0pt5	2	$3.6K	2,020	2,020	+0	Over	+$435	07-11 22:10
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	3	$3.5K	4,863	0	+4,863	Under	-$3,453	07-07 21:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$2.8K	3,300	0	+3,300	Over	+$495	07-06 19:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	6	$2.7K	1,755	1,755	+0	Yes	+$575	07-10 20:56
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 0pt5	3	$2.6K	3,300	2,345	+955	Under	-$2,551	07-14 20:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	1	$2.5K	2,825	0	+2,825	Over	+$282	07-05 22:35
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	1	$2.4K	2,610	0	+2,610	Over	+$183	07-07 05:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	5	$2.4K	2,550	0	+2,550	Over	+$178	07-05 20:22
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	10	$2.3K	2,390	0	+2,390	Over	+$131	07-04 21:15
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	1	$2.2K	2,250	0	+2,250	Over	+$92	07-03 20:27
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$2.0K	2,663	0	+2,663	Argentina	+$659	07-11 22:11
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	1	$2.0K	2,133	0	+2,133	Over	+$133	07-02 21:33
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	7	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Over	+$200	07-02 19:34
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1.4K	1,760	0	+1,760	Over	+$370	07-01 20:35
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	1	$1000	1,450	0	+1,450	Over	+$450	07-01 17:28
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Under	+$493	06-25 18:58
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	4	$922	651	651	+0	open	—	07-26 18:47
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$784	575	575	+0	Under	-$216	06-27 05:00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	4	$632	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$388	06-27 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	09-04 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:55 UTC	8	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	08-24 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	11	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	08-24 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbf956…
10-31 19:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe99b19…
10-31 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf87d44…
10-31 19:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbfd577…
10-31 18:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c7ec7…
10-31 18:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae98c7…
10-31 18:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6dbf83…
10-31 18:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3ece9…
10-31 18:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85d1a8…
10-31 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3fb12…
10-31 17:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4fe24…
10-31 17:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab06c4…
10-31 17:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x488b65…
10-31 17:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b4f70…
10-31 17:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51354b…
10-31 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xffe817…
10-31 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d50f2…
10-31 16:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75312b…
10-31 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeacbd3…
10-31 16:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39926e…
10-31 16:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b1d17…
10-31 15:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d54cf…
10-31 15:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb460f5…
10-31 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0834f…
10-31 15:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bafb6…
10-31 15:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e3d73…
10-31 15:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf04a7e…
10-31 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f4a31…
10-31 14:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9463e…
10-31 14:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e7c6a…
10-31 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38a89f…
10-31 14:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47c491…
10-31 14:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2be552…
10-31 13:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x613a6c…
10-31 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0afe4…
10-31 13:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05ea93…
10-31 12:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa46d08…
10-31 12:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf465ef…
10-31 12:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc241e8…
10-31 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbcfd8f…
10-31 12:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce7de2…
10-31 11:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc68ab7…
10-31 11:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x35c01a…
10-31 11:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00c62c…
10-31 11:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x127bdd…
10-31 11:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3ef0a…
10-31 10:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x92c704…
10-31 10:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72240c…
10-31 10:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66fe37…
10-31 10:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f9e6d…
10-31 10:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2c60e…
10-31 10:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58847a…
10-31 10:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b2bb1…
10-31 10:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a9a87…
10-31 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e7634…
10-31 09:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b3d6d…
10-31 09:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b585b…
10-31 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7afe4a…
10-31 09:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe12a83…
10-31 09:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf008ce…
10-31 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0eb0f…
10-31 08:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58c8c5…
10-31 08:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb94bd…
10-31 08:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x005a90…
10-31 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc2e374…
10-31 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x44e3cf…
10-31 07:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83aa62…
10-31 07:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50c136…
10-31 07:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x114c63…
10-31 07:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdabe27…
10-31 06:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda4c25…
10-31 06:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x169f5e…
10-31 06:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17a717…
10-31 06:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x223ae2…
10-31 06:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf3f5cc…
10-31 06:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba5774…
10-31 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x352f8a…
10-31 05:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc65a3d…
10-31 05:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x840128…
10-31 05:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6dc31d…
10-31 04:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ed873…
10-31 04:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda3493…
10-31 04:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99b424…
10-31 04:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x999782…
10-31 03:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80cb6b…
10-31 03:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x501ee7…
10-31 03:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65bc69…
10-31 02:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a5640…
10-31 02:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b770d…
10-31 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda9879…
10-31 02:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e0739…
10-31 02:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a0156…
10-31 02:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6f813…
10-31 02:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x04652a…
10-31 01:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32e7d8…
10-31 01:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef502d…
10-31 01:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e9ce5…
10-31 01:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x28d514…
10-31 01:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c459a…
10-31 01:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ec307…