Ambitious-Membership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$131.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

35,964

Trades

569,660

lifetime

Volume

$8.26M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$180

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-27 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$131,127

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 7593 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	—	+180	$145	98¢	$178	+$32	10-27 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	—	+180	$53	2¢	$3	-$51	10-27 02:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	125	$2.5K	4,550	+4,550	Up	-$158	05-10 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	85	$2.3K	4,300	+4,300	Up	+$39	09-06 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:05 UTC	66	$2.2K	4,285	+4,285	Up	-$30	06-17 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	105	$2.1K	4,118	+4,118	Up	-$64	05-25 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	86	$2.1K	4,317	+4,317	Down	+$43	05-26 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	81	$2.1K	4,029	+4,029	Down	-$95	07-10 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	76	$2.1K	4,197	+4,197	Down	+$17	05-26 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	60	$2.1K	3,715	+3,715	Down	-$205	05-09 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	87	$2.0K	3,885	+3,885	Up	-$40	05-09 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	92	$2.0K	3,935	+3,935	Up	-$2	05-10 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:25 UTC	191	$2.0K	4,565	+4,565	Down	+$128	09-29 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	54	$1.9K	3,831	+3,831	Up	-$26	05-09 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	87	$1.9K	3,730	+3,730	Down	+$6	05-27 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	77	$1.8K	3,582	+3,582	Up	-$46	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	96	$1.8K	3,756	+3,756	Down	+$44	05-25 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	107	$1.8K	3,613	+3,613	Down	-$12	05-26 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	203	$1.8K	4,517	+4,517	Down	+$262	09-29 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	60	$1.8K	2,787	+2,787	Down	-$229	09-05 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	63	$1.8K	2,863	+2,863	Up	-$183	09-05 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	93	$1.8K	3,411	+3,411	Down	-$84	05-10 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:40 UTC	48	$1.8K	3,480	+3,480	Down	-$48	06-18 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:15 UTC	68	$1.8K	3,531	+3,531	Up	-$19	07-10 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	75	$1.8K	2,504	+2,504	Up	-$349	09-07 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	139	$1.8K	3,321	+3,321	Down	-$118	05-10 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	84	$1.8K	3,398	+3,398	Down	-$64	05-28 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:45 UTC	40	$1.8K	3,498	+3,498	Down	-$6	06-18 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	72	$1.7K	3,183	+3,183	Down	-$23	05-19 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	104	$1.7K	3,559	+3,559	Up	+$64	05-17 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:15 UTC	45	$1.7K	3,546	+3,546	Up	+$74	06-18 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:40 UTC	107	$1.7K	3,537	+3,537	Down	-$15	08-18 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	111	96¢	$106	0x2dbba1…
10-27 02:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9a8829…
10-27 02:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x44fa86…
10-27 02:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3b12d6…
10-27 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xdfb904…
10-27 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xb46fc1…
10-27 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5164a8…
10-27 02:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa94602…
10-27 02:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x33776d…
10-27 02:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x145d32…
10-27 02:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x974248…
10-27 02:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x6f8899…
10-27 02:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x197d22…
10-27 02:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0xf5810d…
10-27 02:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x416c34…
10-27 02:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xef731f…
10-27 02:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x8eebe0…
10-27 02:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0xb49531…
10-27 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0xc31c29…
10-27 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xab4141…
10-27 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9a8725…
10-27 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1cd80c…
10-27 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xfb4b04…
10-27 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xf8d07a…
10-27 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc6c676…
10-27 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x805e82…
10-27 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x78ef14…
10-27 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x23e254…
10-27 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xcc36b6…
10-27 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7cff2a…
10-27 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3a44c1…
10-27 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x10020e…
10-27 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x158636…
10-27 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x150983…
10-27 02:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x571eb2…
10-27 02:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0xb4f20d…
10-27 02:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8d1005…
10-27 02:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x7680f1…
10-27 02:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x20b480…
10-27 02:33:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xb0b2b2…
10-27 02:33:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x1a70b5…
10-27 02:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x000a5c…
10-27 02:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x765563…
10-27 02:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xaf35f3…
10-27 02:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xa958eb…
10-27 02:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xa7e5a8…
10-27 02:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x467cf1…
10-27 02:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x2204c4…
10-27 02:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb0bdfe…
10-27 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9f4bf5…
10-27 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x50e7ed…
10-27 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x1f2bd4…
10-27 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x1cce97…
10-27 02:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x05538f…
10-27 02:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x2b3f81…
10-27 02:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x696386…
10-27 02:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x26f6ff…
10-27 02:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x64b8f0…
10-27 02:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xc00eed…
10-27 02:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xce163b…
10-27 02:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xffe990…
10-27 02:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x84c5d5…
10-27 02:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	65	28¢	$18	0x8ba17f…
10-27 02:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x7d9e64…
10-27 02:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x448bde…
10-27 02:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x797bc8…
10-27 02:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x3f9e7e…
10-27 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8d767e…
10-27 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x80997e…
10-27 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7135ec…
10-27 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x63d5c8…
10-27 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x47e526…
10-27 02:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x125515…
10-27 02:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	95¢	$79	0x3e3175…
10-27 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	94¢	$65	0x58fdc3…
10-27 02:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xed60e8…
10-27 02:12:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xed9a84…
10-27 02:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x9c679b…
10-27 02:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x93c748…
10-27 02:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x11384f…
10-27 02:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb21130…
10-27 02:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x0e2f88…
10-27 02:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xdd1c0c…
10-27 02:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x809230…
10-27 02:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x6ddd8b…
10-27 02:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xdfcadc…
10-27 02:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x776410…
10-27 02:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x157752…
10-27 02:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0xbcf64d…
10-27 02:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x63b9f6…
10-27 02:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x2532f9…
10-27 02:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x195363…
10-27 02:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x611b60…
10-27 02:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x16a95f…
10-27 02:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0x8baa49…
10-27 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf90150…
10-27 02:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x9091f0…
10-27 02:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	87	52¢	$45	0x662a7c…
10-27 02:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xc2c73b…
10-27 02:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x71ada0…