Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.79K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

1,194

Trades

5,881

lifetime

Volume

$71.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$110

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-28 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 62% -$3,761

Other

3% 17% -$17

Politics

1% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 1403 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+80	$32	66¢	$53	+$21	10-02 14:22
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+80	$50	34¢	$27	-$23	10-02 14:17
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$9	69¢	$14	+$5	10-02 13:31
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$5	76¢	$8	+$2	10-02 13:49
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$11	31¢	$6	-$5	10-02 13:31
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$5	24¢	$2	-$2	10-02 13:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$1.4K	1,118	1,118	+0	Up	+$787	10-16 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	16	$899	1,761	0	+1,761	Down	-$899	10-14 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	9	$816	1,645	0	+1,645	Down	-$816	10-16 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC	9	$810	1,012	0	+1,012	Up	+$202	10-14 21:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:20 UTC	8	$800	1,796	0	+1,796	Up	+$996	10-14 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	9	$800	4,357	0	+4,357	Up	-$800	10-16 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$800	11,710	0	+11,710	Down	-$800	10-16 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	8	$700	3,564	0	+3,564	Up	-$700	10-16 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:40 UTC	19	$697	2,096	0	+2,096	Down	-$697	10-15 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	8	$602	3,997	0	+3,997	Down	-$602	10-16 14:58
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	55	$587	1,128	21	+1,108	Yes	-$15	10-03 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	10	$540	6,727	0	+6,727	Up	-$540	10-16 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$540	893	0	+893	Down	-$540	10-06 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$500	1,265	0	+1,265	Down	-$500	10-16 01:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:35 UTC	5	$500	1,117	0	+1,117	Up	+$617	10-16 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$500	2,169	0	+2,169	Down	-$500	10-16 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	6	$500	3,690	0	+3,690	Down	-$500	10-16 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	5	$498	2,007	0	+2,007	Up	-$498	10-16 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:50 UTC	5	$495	836	0	+836	Up	+$341	10-15 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:50 UTC	5	$493	2,024	0	+2,024	Down	+$1,532	10-15 05:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:20 UTC	19	$460	1,566	0	+1,566	Down	-$460	10-16 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	5	$460	1,229	0	+1,229	Up	+$770	10-14 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$430	1,332	0	+1,332	Down	+$902	10-16 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$421	966	89	+877	Down	-$322	10-23 02:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	21	$403	596	0	+596	Up	+$193	10-15 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$400	821	0	+821	Down	+$421	10-16 02:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	13	$399	524	0	+524	Up	+$125	10-14 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:25 UTC	20	$398	534	0	+534	Down	+$136	10-15 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	21	$398	503	0	+503	Down	-$398	10-14 16:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	28	$398	544	0	+544	Up	-$398	10-15 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x9b880a…
10-28 05:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb6f004…
10-28 04:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3d0ecf…
10-28 04:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xdbbc69…
10-28 02:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x9af316…
10-28 02:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x43f222…
10-28 02:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x63cfab…
10-28 02:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x578144…
10-28 01:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1de8d1…
10-28 01:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x36802c…
10-28 01:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xba08e5…
10-28 01:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe21f5e…
10-28 01:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0cc4d2…
10-28 01:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9ebce1…
10-28 01:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x284741…
10-28 01:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x224945…
10-28 01:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xb9eedb…
10-28 01:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x8b402b…
10-27 21:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x92c52e…
10-27 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9d5c76…
10-27 21:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6a7896…
10-27 21:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9a47ae…
10-27 21:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x6b0658…
10-27 21:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7e4e11…
10-27 21:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x336508…
10-27 21:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xfb62fd…
10-27 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x9c2a9a…
10-27 21:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9cc22d…
10-27 19:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	121	24¢	$29	0x3fe889…
10-27 18:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6ecb07…
10-27 18:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6c936e…
10-27 18:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x62b482…
10-27 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	102	65¢	$66	0xb55d22…
10-27 18:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x1122ee…
10-27 18:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x11a0b3…
10-27 18:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	102	65¢	$66	0xa1b121…
10-27 18:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xefa211…
10-27 18:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0x305a04…
10-27 17:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0xa4365a…
10-27 17:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2e31b5…
10-27 17:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd8a5b2…
10-27 17:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe5cfea…
10-27 17:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xeb8f85…
10-27 17:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe4132c…
10-27 17:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe04ff0…
10-27 17:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x62cfbf…
10-27 17:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xf189d8…
10-27 17:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x96c0ce…
10-27 17:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x258a61…
10-27 17:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	113	34¢	$39	0x6605cf…
10-27 17:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	31¢	$31	0xbc5ce4…
10-27 17:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	112	47¢	$52	0x68ef3e…
10-27 17:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	112	41¢	$46	0x395cea…
10-27 17:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x01d6ba…
10-27 17:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	102	74¢	$75	0xbc0de3…
10-27 17:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0xa4eb80…
10-27 17:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x40aa04…
10-27 17:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xd73f43…
10-27 17:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3c8de2…
10-27 17:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1256b2…
10-27 17:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1be380…
10-27 17:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x2dd788…
10-27 17:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0xfaf1be…
10-27 16:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x0959a6…
10-27 16:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	253	40¢	$100	0x923313…
10-27 16:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x4b72c4…
10-27 16:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x815aad…
10-27 16:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x324b84…
10-27 16:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	103	92¢	$94	0xf89273…
10-27 16:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x29ba92…
10-27 16:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	47¢	$49	0x932eba…
10-27 16:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x47f3a8…
10-27 16:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0xc5c082…
10-27 16:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	102	80¢	$82	0x147d75…
10-27 16:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x1eefbd…
10-27 16:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xa4b6bf…
10-27 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0xfb2bac…
10-27 15:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	48	24¢	$12	0xc51fef…
10-27 15:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	103	87¢	$90	0xe9710a…
10-27 15:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd4a586…
10-27 15:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	83	69¢	$57	0xafe232…
10-27 15:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xa2e1e9…
10-27 15:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	102	89¢	$91	0x7fbb89…
10-27 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	108	15¢	$16	0xc7bf2c…
10-27 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	108	25¢	$27	0xfe20ae…
10-27 15:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0xbc3ea0…
10-27 15:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	102	89¢	$91	0x85aef8…
10-27 15:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xcdbc72…
10-27 15:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	101	63¢	$64	0xfdacf8…
10-27 15:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	101	80¢	$81	0xd752b1…
10-27 15:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	26¢	$11	0x7d5be5…
10-27 15:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x22d755…
10-27 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	112	26¢	$29	0x5ec48f…
10-27 15:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	112	28¢	$31	0x625f3d…
10-27 14:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xffa261…
10-27 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	104	85¢	$88	0x57d1fa…
10-23 03:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5788d6…
10-23 03:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf8112c…
10-23 03:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1c3d3c…
10-23 03:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf402ed…