Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$667

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved (7d)

202

Trades (7d)

508

6,104 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$9.47K

$71.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$110

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-29 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 62% -$3,771

Other

3% 17% -$17

Politics

1% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 1403 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+80	$32	58¢	$47	+$14	10-02 14:22
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+80	$50	42¢	$33	-$17	10-02 14:17
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$9	58¢	$12	+$3	10-02 13:31
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$11	42¢	$8	-$3	10-02 13:31
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$5	61¢	$6	+$1	10-02 13:49
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$5	39¢	$4	-$1	10-02 13:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$1.4K	1,118	1,118	+0	Up	+$787	10-16 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	16	$899	1,761	0	+1,761	Down	-$899	10-14 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	9	$816	1,645	0	+1,645	Down	-$816	10-16 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC	9	$810	1,012	0	+1,012	Up	+$202	10-14 21:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:20 UTC	8	$800	1,796	0	+1,796	Up	+$996	10-14 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	9	$800	4,357	0	+4,357	Up	-$800	10-16 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$800	11,710	0	+11,710	Down	-$800	10-16 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	8	$700	3,564	0	+3,564	Up	-$700	10-16 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:40 UTC	19	$697	2,096	0	+2,096	Down	-$697	10-15 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	8	$602	3,997	0	+3,997	Down	-$602	10-16 14:58
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	55	$587	1,128	21	+1,108	Yes	-$15	10-03 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	10	$540	6,727	0	+6,727	Up	-$540	10-16 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$540	893	0	+893	Down	-$540	10-06 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$500	1,265	0	+1,265	Down	-$500	10-16 01:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:35 UTC	5	$500	1,117	0	+1,117	Up	+$617	10-16 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$500	2,169	0	+2,169	Down	-$500	10-16 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	6	$500	3,690	0	+3,690	Down	-$500	10-16 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	5	$498	2,007	0	+2,007	Up	-$498	10-16 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:50 UTC	5	$495	836	0	+836	Up	+$341	10-15 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:50 UTC	5	$493	2,024	0	+2,024	Down	+$1,532	10-15 05:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:20 UTC	19	$460	1,566	0	+1,566	Down	-$460	10-16 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	5	$460	1,229	0	+1,229	Up	+$770	10-14 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$430	1,332	0	+1,332	Down	+$902	10-16 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$421	966	89	+877	Down	-$322	10-23 02:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	21	$403	596	0	+596	Up	+$193	10-15 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$400	821	0	+821	Down	+$421	10-16 02:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	13	$399	524	0	+524	Up	+$125	10-14 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:25 UTC	20	$398	534	0	+534	Down	+$136	10-15 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	21	$398	503	0	+503	Down	-$398	10-14 16:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	28	$398	544	0	+544	Up	-$398	10-15 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe295ab…
10-29 02:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0bb7a5…
10-29 02:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x93a48a…
10-29 02:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xa8503b…
10-29 02:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4c9318…
10-29 02:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x24e557…
10-29 01:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6f9f21…
10-28 18:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x9bc7ce…
10-28 18:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x20039b…
10-28 17:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6a6be2…
10-28 17:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x245b8c…
10-28 17:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x08a7f7…
10-28 17:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x480a8d…
10-28 17:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x5f9a53…
10-28 17:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7e5335…
10-28 16:58:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd5dc74…
10-28 16:57:59	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc13c42…
10-28 16:57:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x71cb68…
10-28 16:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x148fe0…
10-28 16:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x18f582…
10-28 16:55:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf1b7ac…
10-28 16:47:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xcbbd09…
10-28 16:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf08666…
10-28 16:42:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1db41d…
10-28 16:28:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb444f8…
10-28 16:27:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe0e867…
10-28 16:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x86b298…
10-28 16:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4f479c…
10-28 16:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xdd9218…
10-28 16:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa45756…
10-28 16:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xa4124f…
10-28 16:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x757bb1…
10-28 16:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x0b30b6…
10-28 16:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x0fd630…
10-28 16:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf4fcbe…
10-28 16:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdd1c1f…
10-28 16:02:29	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x1d85a9…
10-28 16:01:08	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x31cc25…
10-28 15:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb0000a…
10-28 15:23:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x252389…
10-28 15:20:49	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x331479…
10-28 14:57:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xad408f…
10-28 14:56:38	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x999784…
10-28 14:56:23	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe3cea9…
10-28 14:53:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9cc503…
10-28 14:52:10	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2f5d7e…
10-28 14:51:59	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf0a6e3…
10-28 14:51:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd362ea…
10-28 14:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x775056…
10-28 14:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1210d9…
10-28 14:38:29	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa0b56e…
10-28 14:37:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x85e526…
10-28 14:36:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xa3206f…
10-28 14:36:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x835c09…
10-28 14:32:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x09bf0f…
10-28 14:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb9cc01…
10-28 14:32:22	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x35fa70…
10-28 14:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1404ea…
10-28 14:28:19	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4a40e0…
10-28 14:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x971c2c…
10-28 14:27:11	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x38ba86…
10-28 14:27:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x18762e…
10-28 14:27:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa2eae7…
10-28 14:27:02	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x381804…
10-28 14:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x8abe19…
10-28 14:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x21a27b…
10-28 14:26:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9124c7…
10-28 14:26:08	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc5ce5f…
10-28 14:25:47	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xb30b02…
10-28 14:25:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x3cfac6…
10-28 14:25:41	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x010d51…
10-28 14:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x499a28…
10-28 14:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x6fe2bf…
10-28 14:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe1cf7d…
10-28 14:21:50	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x25e9af…
10-28 14:21:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7ce36c…
10-28 14:21:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x5808b5…
10-28 14:16:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd5cc41…
10-28 14:16:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xbaf4cd…
10-28 14:16:31	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x5cf7d6…
10-28 14:16:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc4405e…
10-28 14:16:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x809e84…
10-28 14:15:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9595f4…
10-28 14:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xfa5ce7…
10-28 14:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xda4d99…
10-28 14:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x36fa25…
10-28 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x60847c…
10-28 14:12:16	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x00bc0b…
10-28 14:11:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc2da3e…
10-28 14:11:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2a0f1e…
10-28 14:11:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x075323…
10-28 14:10:55	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x67f419…
10-28 14:10:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7987a9…
10-28 14:07:43	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xca5eeb…
10-28 14:07:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xdbfa2c…
10-28 14:07:31	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb9255f…
10-28 14:07:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xf41c56…
10-28 14:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7ccf2a…
10-28 14:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xee0be6…
10-28 14:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x823955…