Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$40,837
Trades
3,535
Unique wallets
731
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-10-16
First seen
2026-10-16
last 10-16 01:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.0¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $22.9K
vs crowd: 19% YES on $38.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 162 | $2.5K | $25.1K | $22.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 244 | $3.0K | $4.7K | $1.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 203 | $1.7K | $1.3K | +$334 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 122 | $199 | $325 | $127 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 184 | $3.9K | $19.0K | $15.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 99 | $692 | $3.1K | $2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 29 | $19 | $208 | $189 |
| Median | 41 | $168 | $168 | +$0 |
| Below median | 134 | $279 | $876 | $596 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 79 | $812 | $1.6K | $824 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 114 | $984 | $2.9K | $1.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 51 | $546 | $3.6K | $3.0K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +3,773 | $3,494 | $3,494 | 52 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x82eb…f2b4 | Up | +2,169 | $500 | $500 | 5 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +1,918 | $68 | $68 | 35 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +1,500 | $1,484 | $1,484 | 1 | 10-16 01:27 |
| Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | +1,372 | $1,370 | $1,370 | 12 | 10-16 01:30 |
| Stale-Timpani 0x404e…4cd2 | Down | +1,166 | $1,142 | $1,142 | 1 | 10-16 01:27 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +1,132 | $160 | $160 | 67 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Down | +1,124 | $766 | $766 | 10 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +1,120 | $16 | $16 | 5 | 10-16 01:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x80c6…b878 | Up | +1,061 | $125 | $125 | 2 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +1,048 | $807 | $807 | 21 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 10 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd94…d61f | Up | +900 | $312 | $312 | 3 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +884 | $696 | $696 | 34 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +852 | $79 | $79 | 40 | 10-16 01:28 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +831 | $559 | $1,083 | 83 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8490…c177 | Up | +829 | $254 | $254 | 3 | 10-16 01:27 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +828 | $688 | $688 | 6 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +749 | $511 | $511 | 36 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +747 | $607 | $607 | 31 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +702 | $417 | $417 | 28 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +699 | $233 | $233 | 27 | 10-16 01:26 |
| Rare-Urge 0x4dab…6d0e | Up | +683 | $216 | $216 | 3 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +676 | $118 | $118 | 30 | 10-16 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +651 | $491 | $491 | 19 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +591 | $87 | $87 | 18 | 10-16 01:27 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +578 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-16 01:27 |
| Honorable-Pavement 0x383c…d1b8 | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa4f…665b | Up | +500 | $202 | $202 | 21 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b7b…9b56 | Up | +498 | $157 | $157 | 3 | 10-16 01:26 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +489 | $261 | $261 | 21 | 10-16 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9446…bcaa | Down | +488 | $458 | $458 | 4 | 10-16 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7f7…4fb4 | Down | +483 | $458 | $458 | 4 | 10-16 01:27 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +481 | $25 | $25 | 9 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +468 | $170 | $170 | 7 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +453 | $337 | $337 | 9 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a4c…98d0 | Up | +450 | $156 | $156 | 3 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +445 | $311 | $311 | 7 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-16 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +400 | $261 | $261 | 18 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | +400 | $384 | $384 | 4 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +398 | $330 | $330 | 22 | 10-16 01:28 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +393 | $236 | $236 | 23 | 10-16 01:25 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +380 | $56 | $56 | 48 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +379 | $233 | $233 | 12 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +379 | $62 | $62 | 41 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +378 | $154 | $154 | 8 | 10-16 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x56a0…71af | Down | +375 | $265 | $265 | 22 | 10-16 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | +355 | $11 | $11 | 7 | 10-16 01:28 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +353 | $266 | $266 | 22 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +345 | $274 | $274 | 31 | 10-16 01:28 |
| Noteworthy-Pruner-Exclamation 0xb7f9…6add | Up | +343 | $35 | $35 | 28 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +338 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c3f…100c | Up | +334 | $140 | $140 | 2 | 10-16 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +334 | $13 | $13 | 23 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9bbf…0a49 | Up | +333 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-16 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Down | +327 | $261 | $261 | 9 | 10-16 01:28 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | +311 | $302 | $302 | 17 | 10-16 01:28 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +310 | $174 | $174 | 3 | 10-16 01:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 01:30:28 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xffa9e3… |
| 10-16 01:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x4caf…aa42 | Down | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xffa9e3… |
| 10-16 01:30:03 | Cultured-Cupboard 0xef46…a547 | Down | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xe40e3c… |
| 10-16 01:30:03 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xe40e3c… |
| 10-16 01:29:58 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 78 | 100¢ | $77 | 0x795ec0… |
| 10-16 01:29:58 | (anonymous) 0xb580…9ba2 | Down | SELL | 78 | 100¢ | $77 | 0x795ec0… |
| 10-16 01:29:55 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9cabaf… |
| 10-16 01:29:55 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9cabaf… |
| 10-16 01:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x73da…36ea | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0fede5… |
| 10-16 01:29:48 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0fede5… |
| 10-16 01:29:45 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x834974… |
| 10-16 01:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x4da3…5cfa | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x834974… |
| 10-16 01:29:43 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x406ea9… |
| 10-16 01:29:43 | (anonymous) 0xb158…3ede | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x406ea9… |
| 10-16 01:29:42 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc8e09d… |
| 10-16 01:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xa43e…6936 | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc8e09d… |
| 10-16 01:29:27 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x33b37f… |
| 10-16 01:29:27 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x33b37f… |
| 10-16 01:29:25 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x42ea64… |
| 10-16 01:29:25 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x42ea64… |
| 10-16 01:29:24 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x8034c4… |
| 10-16 01:29:24 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 239 | 100¢ | $239 | 0x986064… |
| 10-16 01:29:24 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | SELL | 239 | 100¢ | $239 | 0x986064… |
| 10-16 01:29:24 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x8034c4… |
| 10-16 01:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x8a32…056b | Down | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x7f6a32… |
| 10-16 01:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x7f6a32… |
| 10-16 01:28:52 | (anonymous) 0x28be…bdbc | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8b882f… |
| 10-16 01:28:52 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8b882f… |
| 10-16 01:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x79c2ac… |
| 10-16 01:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x79c2ac… |
| 10-16 01:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0xfe485c… |
| 10-16 01:28:37 | Qualified-Drug 0x66d1…6190 | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xfe485c… |
| 10-16 01:28:37 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 123 | 99¢ | $122 | 0xfe485c… |
| 10-16 01:28:33 | Forthright-Bricklaying 0x030e…3033 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x99118f… |
| 10-16 01:28:33 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x99118f… |
| 10-16 01:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x582c…3266 | Down | SELL | 125 | 99¢ | $124 | 0xacaac6… |
| 10-16 01:28:31 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 125 | 99¢ | $124 | 0xacaac6… |
| 10-16 01:28:28 | (anonymous) 0x5349…1a42 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc09221… |
| 10-16 01:28:28 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc09221… |
| 10-16 01:28:27 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3fd9dd… |
| 10-16 01:28:27 | (anonymous) 0x6704…af31 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3fd9dd… |
| 10-16 01:28:25 | (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x00aa3b… |
| 10-16 01:28:25 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x00aa3b… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Jealous-Spill-Terrarium 0xec4c…c9d8 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xe405…f57e | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x19a55c… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0x140a…15eb | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Serious-Competitor 0x07ee…6d5a | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Ignorant-Brush 0x5078…8082 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | BUY | 338 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 232 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 303 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x734740… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Down | BUY | 152 | 99¢ | $150 | 0x2e96f9… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe73712… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x734740… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe73712… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Grubby-Min 0x5ca0…fc36 | Down | BUY | 151 | 99¢ | $149 | 0x6820c9… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xf8d5…598b | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x734da2… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 151 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x6820c9… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 910 | 99¢ | $901 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x19a55c… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdfdd09… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xe99e…30f3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 152 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2e96f9… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Mushy-Sanctity 0x1572…2a00 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Worn-Behaviour 0x9092…2f47 | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x735168… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | (anonymous) 0xca8b…f58b | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xdfdd09… |
| 10-16 01:28:24 | Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | Down | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x734da2… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 63 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe49e91… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe49e91… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x8fe0…7172 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe1a44… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x86c1cf… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x86c1cf… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | Uneven-Advancement 0xe5a9…5d3c | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x94b76a… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a5806… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe49e91… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 81 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x017c59… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x5a65…87f5 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe49e91… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 127 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0466fc… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x94b76a… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe49e91… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 373 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x0466fc… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x1c1c…6c46 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0a5806… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe1a44… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xb79e…18b8 | Down | BUY | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x017c59… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | Humming-Goat 0xee36…68fb | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x78c445… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe49e91… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x78c445… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | Honorable-Pavement 0x383c…d1b8 | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0x0466fc… |
| 10-16 01:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe49e91… |
| 10-16 01:28:21 | (anonymous) 0x9d93…f4b6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd7a0a7… |
| 10-16 01:28:21 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd7a0a7… |
| 10-16 01:28:21 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd7a0a7… |