Ignorant-Brush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

162

Trades

16,732

lifetime

Volume

$55.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-04 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-273

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	147	$1.7K	1,609	1,583	+26	Down	$-23	05-12 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	88	$1.1K	970	991	-21	Down	+$15	05-12 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	124	$651	432	462	-30	open	—	05-22 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	84	$573	403	489	-86	open	—	05-22 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	84	$467	436	448	-12	Down	+$15	05-12 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	148	$467	343	323	+21	open	—	05-23 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	121	$454	310	340	-30	open	—	05-23 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	131	$449	398	396	+2	open	—	05-22 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	98	$448	416	428	-13	open	—	05-22 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	112	$421	428	367	+61	open	—	05-22 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	38	$400	315	250	+65	open	—	05-22 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	74	$393	325	378	-53	open	—	05-22 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	88	$390	273	293	-20	open	—	05-22 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	92	$390	333	346	-13	open	—	05-21 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	40	$367	249	201	+48	open	—	05-21 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	105	$363	248	252	-4	open	—	05-23 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	146	$355	327	284	+43	open	—	05-18 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	82	$354	220	254	-34	open	—	05-22 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	92	$338	221	178	+43	open	—	05-23 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	110	$335	337	341	-5	open	—	05-23 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	89	$331	300	303	-3	open	—	05-22 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	104	$328	470	470	+0	open	—	05-22 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	72	$325	313	306	+7	open	—	05-23 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	65	$322	216	252	-36	open	—	05-21 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	50	$322	184	226	-41	open	—	05-22 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	122	$321	323	314	+9	open	—	05-23 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	115	$320	304	235	+68	open	—	05-17 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	75	$318	257	209	+48	open	—	05-22 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	117	$314	298	379	-81	open	—	05-23 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	88	$308	286	260	+26	open	—	05-16 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 17:13:04	btc updown 15m 1783184400	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xfdbbb4…
07-04 17:13:04	btc updown 15m 1783184400	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x1659b3…
07-04 17:06:40	btc updown 15m 1783184400	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x349762…
07-04 17:06:35	btc updown 15m 1783184400	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x53bfea…
07-04 17:06:19	btc updown 15m 1783184400	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x4836b9…
07-04 16:39:29	btc updown 15m 1783182600	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa1b23d…
07-04 16:39:17	btc updown 15m 1783182600	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2090c6…
07-04 16:38:53	btc updown 15m 1783182600	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x90c4a4…
07-04 16:36:35	btc updown 15m 1783182600	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x3e04ae…
07-04 15:21:31	btc updown 15m 1783178100	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbdbb19…
07-04 14:47:37	btc updown 15m 1783176300	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x54cfe1…
07-04 14:47:34	btc updown 15m 1783176300	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe653b9…
07-04 14:00:58	btc updown 15m 1783173600	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xb15b43…
07-04 14:00:46	btc updown 15m 1783173600	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe3d4ec…
07-04 13:59:56	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xfab4a3…
07-04 13:59:56	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd61ac8…
07-04 13:59:56	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x6e726b…
07-04 13:58:29	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x9246dc…
07-04 13:52:10	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc2a3c5…
07-04 13:45:11	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa1b9c1…
07-04 13:45:07	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc01def…
07-04 13:45:07	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6c42bb…
07-04 13:45:04	btc updown 15m 1783172700	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x589d8c…
07-04 13:33:35	btc updown 15m 1783171800	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xa3e6f1…
07-04 02:45:28	btc updown 15m 1783133100	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xa07d19…
07-04 02:44:38	btc updown 15m 1783132200	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x572f4e…
07-04 02:44:37	btc updown 15m 1783132200	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x63cf19…
07-04 02:44:23	btc updown 15m 1783132200	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x00c39c…
07-04 02:37:13	btc updown 15m 1783132200	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xf46870…
07-04 02:37:13	btc updown 15m 1783132200	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x337532…
07-04 02:15:05	btc updown 15m 1783131300	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x852b73…
07-04 02:03:59	btc updown 15m 1783130400	Up	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xa6b058…
07-04 02:03:59	btc updown 15m 1783130400	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3035be…
07-04 02:03:47	btc updown 15m 1783130400	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd050f6…
07-04 02:03:43	btc updown 15m 1783130400	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe17a9b…
07-04 02:03:28	btc updown 15m 1783130400	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0994ef…
07-04 00:15:37	btc updown 15m 1783124100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x743d7c…
07-04 00:15:22	btc updown 15m 1783124100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9a7a0d…
07-03 05:30:11	btc updown 15m 1783056600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcf286e…
07-03 05:22:02	btc updown 15m 1783055700	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x44e881…
07-03 05:19:31	btc updown 15m 1783055700	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x618a4b…
07-03 05:18:50	btc updown 15m 1783055700	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x55467d…
07-03 04:00:11	btc updown 15m 1783051200	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x646c68…
07-03 03:49:08	btc updown 15m 1783050300	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xbfccad…
07-03 03:33:08	btc updown 15m 1783049400	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc3db59…
07-01 19:26:26	btc updown 5m 1782933900	Up	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x35e5cd…
05-26 12:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x6edbf2…
05-26 12:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xfe09c0…
05-26 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdc983d…
05-26 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xbe3094…
05-26 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbdc9d6…
05-26 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x97478a…
05-26 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8ec4bc…
05-26 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x895a8a…
05-26 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x679a61…
05-26 12:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x59bf48…
05-26 12:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xf93160…
05-26 12:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x336d55…
05-26 12:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xbda530…
05-26 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf92729…
05-26 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xacac9f…
05-26 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x168001…
05-26 12:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x08ef5e…
05-26 12:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x782faa…
05-26 12:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x759aaf…
05-26 12:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe1fa93…
05-26 12:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x714a1d…
05-26 12:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x5f22b5…
05-26 12:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4eb156…
05-26 12:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x214ed0…
05-26 12:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5e8c46…
05-26 12:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc14316…
05-26 12:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x661919…
05-26 12:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x311d4e…
05-26 12:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x1da20b…
05-26 12:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2f7e3e…
05-26 12:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x9feab6…
05-26 12:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd4d413…
05-26 12:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb59d2c…
05-26 12:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x100b2a…
05-26 12:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xd8fe46…
05-26 12:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xecc6d6…
05-26 12:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6af01e…
05-26 12:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x55cf8e…
05-26 12:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2e238f…
05-26 11:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdcfd41…
05-26 11:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc33acf…
05-26 11:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xdeedce…
05-26 11:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xb20db4…
05-26 11:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x13396d…
05-26 11:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xd61ac8…
05-26 11:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x540bab…
05-26 11:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x56cde3…
05-26 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe3f7e0…
05-26 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc7d057…
05-26 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc67c19…
05-26 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x325d4b…
05-26 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2afc40…
05-26 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x22fa5d…
05-26 11:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc63135…