Stale-Timpani — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

16.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$592

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$261

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 10% $-43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	+155	$141	99¢	$153	+$12	05-05 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	+80	$77	99¢	$79	+$2	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	+20	$19	99¢	$20	+$0	05-05 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	+115	$1	6¢	$6	+$5	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	+4	$1	50¢	$2	+$1	05-05 19:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$141	155	0	+155	open	—	05-05 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$115	121	0	+121	open	—	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$77	80	0	+80	open	—	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$43	0	47	-47	open	—	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	05-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$26	0	69	-69	Down	$-42	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$23	5	20	-15	Up	$-4	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$19	45	0	+45	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$13	0	38	-38	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	10	$12	0	52	-52	Up	+$12	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$3	125	0	+125	Down	$-3	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$1	140	0	+140	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	51	0	+51	Up	$-1	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$1	115	0	+115	open	—	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$1	14	0	+14	Down	$-1	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Up	$-1	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 19:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x644fea…
05-05 19:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x219531…
05-05 19:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa42314…
05-05 19:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2704e2…
05-05 19:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb893b8…
05-05 19:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x304a2f…
05-05 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5ef1a0…
05-05 19:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	155	91¢	$141	0x1221aa…
05-05 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0c321c…
05-05 18:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x69e541…
05-05 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc30b99…
05-05 18:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xaf5731…
05-05 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x960afd…
05-05 18:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x909038…
05-05 18:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb8f29b…
05-05 18:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xef4b7c…
05-05 18:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x80ba64…
05-05 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xb1a126…
05-05 16:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x00e2d1…
05-05 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x57f67a…
05-05 15:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x61f9e7…
05-05 15:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0xa6a9d7…
05-05 15:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x12d8b0…
05-05 15:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x905e9c…
05-05 14:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xdb9838…
05-05 14:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x9961e1…
05-05 14:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x4616de…
05-05 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xba3703…
05-05 07:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x72a59e…
05-05 07:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xaaac47…
05-05 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x1dd21e…
05-05 07:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x791530…
05-05 05:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xac896c…
05-05 04:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaf91ea…
05-05 04:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x164fc8…
05-05 03:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x547d6a…
05-05 03:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x67c447…
05-05 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x52e284…
05-05 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0xb01270…
05-05 03:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb4dfb6…
05-05 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x72459e…
05-05 00:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x10424f…
05-05 00:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xfbc043…
05-05 00:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x8fb3a4…
05-05 00:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc65dd3…
05-05 00:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x970898…
05-05 00:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x95578f…
05-05 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x228a4d…
05-05 00:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xea4436…
05-05 00:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xca7be9…
05-05 00:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x379a58…
05-05 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x459b15…
05-05 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0672e5…
05-05 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x367d9c…
05-05 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x261c60…
05-05 00:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfe0ef6…
05-04 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6b621a…
05-04 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb34edb…
05-04 22:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbe6729…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	28	$4.77K	179	05-05 19:54
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	25	$1.29K	90	05-05 19:51
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$8.47K	141	05-05 19:54
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	23	$3.73K	63	05-05 19:37
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	23	$1.24K	89	05-05 19:38
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	22	$1.72K	157	05-05 19:54
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	21	$1.27K	117	05-05 19:54
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	21	$872	95	05-05 19:54