Stale-Timpani — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved (90d)

7,108

Trades (90d)

11,082

49,147 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.37M

$1.72M lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-03 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$3,492

Politics

0% 0% -$1,104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 829 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$2.0K	2,015	0	+2,015	Down	+$40	10-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$1.8K	2,153	0	+2,153	Down	-$1,814	10-09 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,811	0	+1,811	Down	+$18	10-09 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,799	0	+1,799	Down	+$18	10-09 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,792	0	+1,792	Up	+$18	10-09 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,781	0	+1,781	Up	+$18	10-09 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,762	0	+1,762	Up	+$18	10-09 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,757	0	+1,757	Up	+$18	10-09 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:10 UTC	5	$1.7K	1,017	945	+72	Up	+$148	04-22 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,751	0	+1,751	Down	+$18	10-09 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:40 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,745	0	+1,745	Down	+$17	10-09 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,729	0	+1,729	Down	+$31	10-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,725	0	+1,725	Down	+$32	10-23 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,719	0	+1,719	Up	+$34	10-23 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,698	0	+1,698	Down	+$17	10-23 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,694	0	+1,694	Up	+$17	10-22 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,693	0	+1,693	Down	+$17	10-09 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,689	0	+1,689	Up	+$17	10-22 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,688	0	+1,688	Down	+$17	10-09 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,686	0	+1,686	Up	+$17	10-22 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	+$17	10-22 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	+$21	10-22 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,683	0	+1,683	Up	+$34	10-22 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,664	0	+1,664	Up	+$17	10-09 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,675	0	+1,675	Down	+$33	10-22 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,665	0	+1,665	Up	+$32	10-22 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	Up	+$16	10-09 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,659	0	+1,659	Down	+$33	10-22 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,640	0	+1,640	Up	+$16	10-09 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,639	0	+1,639	Up	+$16	10-22 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x93efa6…
11-03 17:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	127	99¢	$125	0x906654…
11-03 17:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3bd2cc…
11-03 16:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	128	98¢	$125	0x6504be…
11-03 16:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb7cd94…
11-03 16:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	128	98¢	$125	0xa89155…
11-03 15:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x22e464…
11-03 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3ca210…
11-03 15:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x42eb23…
11-03 15:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x636ca2…
11-03 14:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4ef5cd…
11-03 14:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0c787e…
11-03 14:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x552fea…
11-03 14:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0xcac198…
11-03 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd68f9c…
11-03 13:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	127	98¢	$124	0x4a61b7…
11-03 13:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	127	98¢	$124	0x3085d7…
11-03 13:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x96e264…
11-03 13:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x4a05ba…
11-03 13:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x02e88b…
11-03 13:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6a1bde…
11-03 12:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x65bfa2…
11-03 12:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0x5a1a26…
11-03 12:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4ae3a2…
11-03 12:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xee972e…
11-03 11:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x7c67ee…
11-03 11:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x69f597…
11-03 11:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0xafceb4…
11-03 11:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0x6a7b73…
11-03 10:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x101520…
11-03 09:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x1663b6…
11-03 09:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xaca49f…
11-03 09:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x1fe2d8…
11-03 09:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xfa6a2b…
11-03 08:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x65317e…
11-03 08:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x1c1da2…
11-03 07:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	99¢	$121	0x6602f9…
11-03 07:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$121	0x711323…
11-03 06:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x24dcc9…
11-03 06:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	124	98¢	$121	0x67f625…
11-03 06:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0xb19fb5…
11-03 05:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x443390…
11-03 05:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf29e49…
11-03 05:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0xd40fd7…
11-03 05:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6e523e…
11-03 04:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0xfd48cf…
11-03 04:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xd87e98…
11-03 04:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd03acb…
11-03 04:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8783a8…
11-03 04:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xfa8b50…
11-03 04:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x7232ee…
11-03 03:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x635f31…
11-03 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x69fef2…
11-03 03:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$119	0x18d3c5…
11-03 02:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	121	99¢	$119	0xacfe44…
11-03 02:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	122	98¢	$119	0x087578…
11-03 02:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x89cd1b…
11-03 02:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3909ff…
11-03 01:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xd3fe8d…
11-03 01:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xb795b8…
11-03 01:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdc07d1…
11-03 01:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x29638f…
11-03 00:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x96980a…
11-03 00:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0x3fd750…
11-03 00:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1f02eb…
11-03 00:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0x6d5762…
11-02 23:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0x34e5ff…
11-02 20:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	395	5¢	$21	0x74a2ef…
11-02 20:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	395	98¢	$387	0x2ffe79…
11-02 20:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x665a1b…
11-02 19:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x918160…
11-02 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	393	98¢	$386	0x944df8…
11-02 19:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xd3175f…
11-02 19:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	364	98¢	$357	0x00307b…
11-02 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	390	98¢	$382	0x003581…
11-02 19:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	388	98¢	$380	0x03c539…
11-02 19:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb6bd8b…
11-02 18:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	383	99¢	$379	0x3dc844…
11-02 18:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	385	98¢	$377	0x2b12ca…
11-02 18:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	380	99¢	$377	0xa1c630…
11-02 18:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	382	98¢	$375	0x503521…
11-02 18:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa556dc…
11-02 18:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4842ce…
11-02 17:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x4b3af5…
11-02 17:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	377	99¢	$374	0xeabbcb…
11-02 17:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	379	98¢	$372	0x25c7dc…
11-02 17:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	378	98¢	$370	0xb5e211…
11-02 17:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x314dad…
11-02 16:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	373	99¢	$369	0x5858b6…
11-02 16:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	372	99¢	$368	0x1ab100…
11-02 16:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7650c2…
11-02 16:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	374	98¢	$367	0xafc936…
11-02 15:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	369	99¢	$366	0x50490b…
11-02 15:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x714a1f…
11-02 15:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf115fb…
11-02 14:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	371	98¢	$364	0x510210…
11-02 14:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	483	8¢	$40	0x21f915…
11-02 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x86e9a8…
11-02 14:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	483	98¢	$473	0xf4e672…
11-02 14:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	477	99¢	$472	0x54a44a…