Stale-Timpani — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved (90d)

7,206

Trades (90d)

11,192

49,274 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.38M

$1.73M lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$446

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-05 22:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$3,404

Politics

0% 0% -$1,104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 829 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	—	+452	$448	98¢	$446	-$2	11-05 22:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$2.0K	2,015	0	+2,015	Down	+$40	10-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$1.8K	2,153	0	+2,153	Down	-$1,814	10-09 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,811	0	+1,811	Down	+$18	10-09 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,799	0	+1,799	Down	+$18	10-09 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,792	0	+1,792	Up	+$18	10-09 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,781	0	+1,781	Up	+$18	10-09 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,762	0	+1,762	Up	+$18	10-09 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,757	0	+1,757	Up	+$18	10-09 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:10 UTC	5	$1.7K	1,017	945	+72	Up	+$148	04-22 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,751	0	+1,751	Down	+$18	10-09 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:40 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,745	0	+1,745	Down	+$17	10-09 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,729	0	+1,729	Down	+$31	10-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,725	0	+1,725	Down	+$32	10-23 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,719	0	+1,719	Up	+$34	10-23 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,698	0	+1,698	Down	+$17	10-23 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,694	0	+1,694	Up	+$17	10-22 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,693	0	+1,693	Down	+$17	10-09 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,689	0	+1,689	Up	+$17	10-22 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,688	0	+1,688	Down	+$17	10-09 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,686	0	+1,686	Up	+$17	10-22 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	+$17	10-22 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	+$21	10-22 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,683	0	+1,683	Up	+$34	10-22 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,664	0	+1,664	Up	+$17	10-09 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,675	0	+1,675	Down	+$33	10-22 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,665	0	+1,665	Up	+$32	10-22 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	Up	+$16	10-09 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,659	0	+1,659	Down	+$33	10-22 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,640	0	+1,640	Up	+$16	10-09 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,639	0	+1,639	Up	+$16	10-22 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0xeeffdf…
11-05 22:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0x90f752…
11-05 22:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x92a82c…
11-05 22:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	268	99¢	$266	0x5b5112…
11-05 22:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0x529ff4…
11-05 21:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x63a658…
11-05 21:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x97ceaf…
11-05 21:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2896f6…
11-05 21:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1d4629…
11-05 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	192	98¢	$188	0x0b24cf…
11-05 20:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	261	98¢	$256	0x3f5668…
11-05 19:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x882a73…
11-05 19:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1af35b…
11-05 19:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb7af11…
11-05 18:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0e605a…
11-05 15:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf36218…
11-05 11:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb2a5ab…
11-05 11:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4703e8…
11-05 09:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa9ca18…
11-05 07:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x927a09…
11-05 04:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbd565f…
11-05 04:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x587e10…
11-05 02:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x055f31…
11-05 01:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe9e471…
11-05 00:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	136	99¢	$134	0x696d8a…
11-04 23:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb7cbcc…
11-04 23:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	136	99¢	$134	0x088896…
11-04 22:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8bcb60…
11-04 21:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x60991f…
11-04 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0xa106a3…
11-04 20:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xce355e…
11-04 20:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x0bdc6f…
11-04 19:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x56528e…
11-04 19:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	135	99¢	$133	0xe193c4…
11-04 19:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	135	99¢	$133	0xc42ff4…
11-04 19:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xade95c…
11-04 19:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	135	99¢	$133	0x8494ad…
11-04 19:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0xa0bcb3…
11-04 18:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x82fd3f…
11-04 18:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5d0bf6…
11-04 18:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x7f4ed2…
11-04 17:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x712203…
11-04 17:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x7753ba…
11-04 17:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	135	98¢	$132	0xf5eaa3…
11-04 17:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbb65fe…
11-04 17:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdabc43…
11-04 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb699f1…
11-04 16:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x032d5e…
11-04 16:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x82d381…
11-04 16:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	135	98¢	$132	0x572232…
11-04 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	134	98¢	$132	0xc51f2c…
11-04 15:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa8e331…
11-04 15:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x5a7c31…
11-04 15:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x727c05…
11-04 15:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	134	98¢	$131	0xbee29d…
11-04 15:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x516462…
11-04 15:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	134	98¢	$131	0xd2a792…
11-04 14:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xd67564…
11-04 14:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x022f70…
11-04 14:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x94c374…
11-04 14:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x18ce14…
11-04 13:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdcfd6d…
11-04 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0xff94cc…
11-04 13:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7e00a6…
11-04 12:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xda5b2a…
11-04 12:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	133	98¢	$131	0x90fa2a…
11-04 12:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0xd16e1d…
11-04 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x385256…
11-04 11:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9fba83…
11-04 11:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xee38cf…
11-04 11:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x2a1f96…
11-04 11:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xb9189e…
11-04 10:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xe5413f…
11-04 10:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xfdae3e…
11-04 09:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	131	99¢	$129	0xb2d1fc…
11-04 09:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa1b04d…
11-04 09:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9d4d54…
11-04 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8c9391…
11-04 08:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	132	98¢	$129	0x3c38e7…
11-04 08:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x2170b6…
11-04 07:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	131	98¢	$129	0x1fec53…
11-04 07:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9457dc…
11-04 06:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xf007b8…
11-04 06:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0xb8a6bc…
11-04 06:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x8e78cb…
11-04 06:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	131	98¢	$128	0x65f41a…
11-04 06:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x44e794…
11-04 05:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0x324814…
11-04 05:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6df312…
11-04 05:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x171075…
11-04 05:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0xe06446…
11-04 05:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xeaf49b…
11-04 04:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0x003ba2…
11-04 04:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x5aa5b4…
11-04 04:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	129	98¢	$126	0xba3bc4…
11-04 04:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0xdf6de5…
11-04 03:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0x96e279…
11-04 03:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9e389a…
11-04 03:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x57e8b5…
11-04 03:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfef09b…