Stale-Timpani — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

21,067

Trades

49,575

lifetime

Volume

$1.80M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-10 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$4,067

Politics

0% 0% -$1,104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 829 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$2.0K	2,015	0	+2,015	Down	+$40	10-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$1.8K	2,153	0	+2,153	Down	-$1,814	10-09 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,811	0	+1,811	Down	+$18	10-09 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,799	0	+1,799	Down	+$18	10-09 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,792	0	+1,792	Up	+$18	10-09 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,781	0	+1,781	Up	+$18	10-09 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,762	0	+1,762	Up	+$18	10-09 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,757	0	+1,757	Up	+$18	10-09 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:10 UTC	5	$1.7K	1,017	945	+72	Up	+$148	04-22 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,751	0	+1,751	Down	+$18	10-09 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:40 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,745	0	+1,745	Down	+$17	10-09 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,729	0	+1,729	Down	+$31	10-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,725	0	+1,725	Down	+$32	10-23 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,719	0	+1,719	Up	+$34	10-23 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,698	0	+1,698	Down	+$17	10-23 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,694	0	+1,694	Up	+$17	10-22 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,693	0	+1,693	Down	+$17	10-09 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,689	0	+1,689	Up	+$17	10-22 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,688	0	+1,688	Down	+$17	10-09 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,686	0	+1,686	Up	+$17	10-22 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	+$17	10-22 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	+$21	10-22 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,683	0	+1,683	Up	+$34	10-22 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,664	0	+1,664	Up	+$17	10-09 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,675	0	+1,675	Down	+$33	10-22 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,665	0	+1,665	Up	+$32	10-22 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	Up	+$16	10-09 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,659	0	+1,659	Down	+$33	10-22 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,640	0	+1,640	Up	+$16	10-09 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,639	0	+1,639	Up	+$16	10-22 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 17:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0xa69a11…
11-10 17:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	208	98¢	$204	0x3bcca5…
11-10 17:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0x2e4cb1…
11-10 16:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	207	98¢	$202	0xd8ac87…
11-10 16:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	205	98¢	$201	0x7567d0…
11-10 16:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0xa4a5b2…
11-10 16:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	201	98¢	$197	0x62e22d…
11-10 15:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x0c6307…
11-10 15:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	292	5¢	$15	0x7fe1c9…
11-10 15:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	292	98¢	$286	0x62bc0d…
11-10 15:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	290	98¢	$284	0x3f5702…
11-10 15:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	288	98¢	$283	0xd3499a…
11-10 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	286	98¢	$281	0xfe1a86…
11-10 14:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	285	98¢	$279	0xaac0d2…
11-10 14:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	283	98¢	$277	0x966068…
11-10 14:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	281	98¢	$276	0x919262…
11-10 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	279	98¢	$274	0x8212aa…
11-10 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0x6524b2…
11-10 14:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	276	98¢	$270	0x825935…
11-10 13:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	274	98¢	$269	0x8a3f31…
11-10 13:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	272	98¢	$267	0xb08db8…
11-10 13:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	271	98¢	$265	0x14e6e5…
11-10 13:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	269	98¢	$264	0x7f0a61…
11-10 13:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	267	98¢	$262	0xb36fe0…
11-10 13:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	266	98¢	$260	0x8846c8…
11-10 12:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	264	98¢	$259	0xf697f4…
11-10 12:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	262	98¢	$257	0xb55433…
11-10 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	259	99¢	$256	0x62a5c5…
11-10 12:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	258	99¢	$256	0xf6f321…
11-10 12:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	257	99¢	$255	0x155e29…
11-10 11:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	258	98¢	$253	0xf3e2f6…
11-10 11:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	257	98¢	$252	0x1ea42f…
11-10 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	255	98¢	$250	0x8a1fcc…
11-10 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	252	99¢	$249	0x206681…
11-10 10:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	253	98¢	$248	0x4fc680…
11-10 09:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	251	98¢	$246	0x0b35f9…
11-10 09:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x0e867a…
11-10 09:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	248	98¢	$243	0xc3feb2…
11-10 09:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	247	98¢	$242	0x193e30…
11-10 09:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	243	99¢	$241	0x031192…
11-10 08:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	243	99¢	$240	0x4345e4…
11-10 08:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	244	98¢	$239	0xfccbaa…
11-10 07:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	242	98¢	$237	0x8df022…
11-10 07:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	241	98¢	$236	0x1eb09c…
11-10 07:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	237	99¢	$235	0x78eef8…
11-10 07:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	238	98¢	$234	0x6a55b8…
11-10 06:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	237	98¢	$232	0xa75615…
11-10 06:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	235	98¢	$231	0x11e4e7…
11-10 04:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	232	99¢	$230	0xc28019…
11-10 04:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0xc79d76…
11-10 04:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	232	98¢	$228	0x1d289d…
11-10 03:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	229	99¢	$227	0x685158…
11-10 03:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	230	98¢	$226	0x28d10b…
11-10 02:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0x163b0b…
11-10 01:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	228	98¢	$224	0x3aaf7f…
11-10 01:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	227	98¢	$222	0x0817a0…
11-10 01:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	224	99¢	$221	0x0d8164…
11-10 00:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x805794…
11-09 23:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	224	98¢	$219	0xd334f0…
11-09 23:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x8a142d…
11-09 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	222	98¢	$217	0x308044…
11-09 22:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	220	98¢	$216	0x16402e…
11-09 21:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	218	99¢	$215	0x65da91…
11-09 21:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x190299…
11-09 20:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	218	98¢	$213	0xa2bd8d…
11-09 20:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	215	99¢	$213	0xc05225…
11-09 20:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	214	99¢	$212	0x31b27d…
11-09 20:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	213	99¢	$211	0xcded70…
11-09 19:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	214	98¢	$210	0x9feb1d…
11-09 19:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	213	98¢	$209	0xfa4cd9…
11-09 18:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x802a13…
11-09 17:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	211	98¢	$207	0xcb6200…
11-09 17:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	211	97¢	$205	0xc1d14c…
11-09 16:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0xd03764…
11-09 16:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x292a77…
11-09 16:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	207	98¢	$202	0xf20b66…
11-09 16:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	205	98¢	$201	0x2be4a3…
11-09 15:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x7671db…
11-09 15:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0x3b98ba…
11-09 15:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	291	9¢	$26	0x60f9eb…
11-09 15:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	291	98¢	$285	0xb8515b…
11-09 14:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	287	99¢	$284	0x3a0fea…
11-09 14:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	288	98¢	$282	0xae6657…
11-09 13:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	284	99¢	$281	0xd2a08c…
11-09 13:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0xe89d66…
11-09 13:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0x0c8099…
11-09 13:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	284	98¢	$278	0x543fd0…
11-09 13:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	282	98¢	$276	0xc247c9…
11-09 12:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	280	98¢	$274	0x2f161b…
11-09 12:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	278	98¢	$273	0xab4ebb…
11-09 12:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	277	98¢	$271	0x0310b9…
11-09 11:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	275	98¢	$269	0x80f496…
11-09 11:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	264	98¢	$259	0x79fc82…
11-09 11:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0x170201…
11-09 10:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	269	99¢	$266	0xe9b3db…
11-09 10:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	270	98¢	$264	0x1e8ce4…
11-09 10:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	266	99¢	$264	0x0ba92c…
11-09 10:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	267	98¢	$262	0x4b3859…
11-09 09:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	266	98¢	$260	0xe59689…
11-09 08:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	264	98¢	$259	0x53d2ce…