Stale-Timpani — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.77K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

20,953

Trades

49,453

lifetime

Volume

$1.77M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$353

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-09 00:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% -$3,671

Politics

0% 0% -$1,104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 829 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	—	+358	$351	98¢	$353	+$2	11-09 01:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$2.0K	2,015	0	+2,015	Down	+$40	10-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$1.8K	2,153	0	+2,153	Down	-$1,814	10-09 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,811	0	+1,811	Down	+$18	10-09 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,799	0	+1,799	Down	+$18	10-09 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,792	0	+1,792	Up	+$18	10-09 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$1.8K	1,781	0	+1,781	Up	+$18	10-09 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,762	0	+1,762	Up	+$18	10-09 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,757	0	+1,757	Up	+$18	10-09 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:10 UTC	5	$1.7K	1,017	945	+72	Up	+$148	04-22 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,751	0	+1,751	Down	+$18	10-09 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:40 UTC	1	$1.7K	1,745	0	+1,745	Down	+$17	10-09 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,729	0	+1,729	Down	+$31	10-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,725	0	+1,725	Down	+$32	10-23 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,719	0	+1,719	Up	+$34	10-23 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,698	0	+1,698	Down	+$17	10-23 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,694	0	+1,694	Up	+$17	10-22 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,693	0	+1,693	Down	+$17	10-09 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,689	0	+1,689	Up	+$17	10-22 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,688	0	+1,688	Down	+$17	10-09 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,686	0	+1,686	Up	+$17	10-22 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	+$17	10-22 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,681	0	+1,681	Up	+$21	10-22 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,683	0	+1,683	Up	+$34	10-22 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,664	0	+1,664	Up	+$17	10-09 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,675	0	+1,675	Down	+$33	10-22 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,665	0	+1,665	Up	+$32	10-22 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	Up	+$16	10-09 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,659	0	+1,659	Down	+$33	10-22 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,640	0	+1,640	Up	+$16	10-09 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,639	0	+1,639	Up	+$16	10-22 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 01:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	358	98¢	$351	0x595220…
11-09 01:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	356	98¢	$349	0x452d13…
11-09 01:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	354	98¢	$346	0x4ab06f…
11-09 01:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	297	99¢	$294	0xb89612…
11-09 01:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x9ec0fe…
11-09 00:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xe6388e…
11-09 00:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	348	98¢	$341	0x8881bf…
11-09 00:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	346	98¢	$339	0xf3ef80…
11-08 23:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	344	98¢	$337	0xbc4242…
11-08 23:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	341	98¢	$335	0xeec183…
11-08 23:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	339	98¢	$333	0xb8ec93…
11-08 22:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	337	98¢	$330	0x052f64…
11-08 22:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	335	98¢	$328	0x9569ca…
11-08 22:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	333	98¢	$326	0xa5e016…
11-08 22:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	331	98¢	$324	0x3c9bd3…
11-08 21:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	329	98¢	$322	0x762e57…
11-08 21:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	325	99¢	$321	0x326ada…
11-08 21:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	324	99¢	$320	0x2ef9bf…
11-08 21:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	323	99¢	$319	0x9da370…
11-08 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	322	99¢	$318	0x0b9f94…
11-08 20:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	321	99¢	$317	0x960d61…
11-08 20:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	320	99¢	$316	0xeebd26…
11-08 20:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	319	99¢	$315	0xb4b0be…
11-08 20:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	318	99¢	$314	0xa16006…
11-08 19:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	317	99¢	$313	0x521bb0…
11-08 19:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	316	99¢	$312	0x052a75…
11-08 19:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	315	99¢	$312	0x235816…
11-08 18:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	316	98¢	$310	0x6d4463…
11-08 17:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	314	98¢	$308	0x5ed546…
11-08 17:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	312	98¢	$306	0xa11e66…
11-08 16:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	308	99¢	$305	0x544e97…
11-08 15:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	307	99¢	$304	0xe9a9bc…
11-08 15:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	306	99¢	$303	0x24b367…
11-08 14:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	305	99¢	$302	0xf364fa…
11-08 14:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x8235de…
11-08 14:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	302	99¢	$299	0xe68c37…
11-08 14:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	303	98¢	$297	0xa22a6c…
11-08 14:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	299	99¢	$296	0x2ed879…
11-08 13:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	298	99¢	$295	0xcdbc99…
11-08 13:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x8fbb46…
11-08 13:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	296	99¢	$293	0xe0ec62…
11-08 13:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	297	98¢	$291	0x8b7946…
11-08 13:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	295	98¢	$289	0x072aae…
11-08 12:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	291	99¢	$288	0x8743c2…
11-08 12:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	290	99¢	$287	0x91295e…
11-08 11:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	289	99¢	$286	0x6dd2bb…
11-08 10:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	288	99¢	$285	0x0b07b2…
11-08 10:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	287	99¢	$285	0x824db5…
11-08 09:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	287	99¢	$284	0x663530…
11-08 08:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	286	99¢	$283	0x8de8b5…
11-08 08:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	285	99¢	$282	0x590c17…
11-08 07:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	284	99¢	$281	0xeaac92…
11-08 04:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0x4e88c3…
11-08 04:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0xcb4a0f…
11-08 04:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xff6d13…
11-08 03:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	281	99¢	$278	0x7a8905…
11-08 03:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	280	99¢	$278	0x5bf22c…
11-08 03:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x96cb99…
11-08 02:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	281	98¢	$275	0x85d43d…
11-08 02:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	279	98¢	$273	0xe716ba…
11-08 02:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	275	99¢	$272	0x44b1ce…
11-08 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	274	99¢	$272	0x628708…
11-08 00:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0x05e6ae…
11-08 00:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	273	99¢	$270	0x0415ca…
11-07 23:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	272	99¢	$269	0x697e92…
11-07 23:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0xfa11ba…
11-07 23:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0x379f0b…
11-07 23:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	269	99¢	$267	0xc314b2…
11-07 22:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	269	99¢	$266	0x6d4ef4…
11-07 21:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	268	99¢	$265	0xa7eb83…
11-07 21:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	267	99¢	$264	0x79090c…
11-07 17:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	141	99¢	$139	0xc207f5…
11-07 17:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1709d…
11-07 16:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	266	99¢	$263	0x6d41ff…
11-07 12:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	269	97¢	$260	0xae7441…
11-07 12:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	264	98¢	$259	0xf4ae54…
11-07 11:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	261	99¢	$258	0x622d0a…
11-07 11:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	260	99¢	$257	0x68e169…
11-07 11:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	259	99¢	$256	0xe645f4…
11-07 11:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	252	97¢	$244	0x75263a…
11-07 11:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa3a9ec…
11-07 10:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	256	99¢	$253	0x0079a0…
11-07 09:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	255	99¢	$252	0x10cb35…
11-07 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	379	1¢	$4	0x51077e…
11-07 05:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	379	99¢	$375	0x5bb5d2…
11-07 05:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	378	99¢	$374	0x5da26a…
11-07 03:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	377	99¢	$373	0x597e75…
11-07 03:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	375	99¢	$372	0x7340b7…
11-07 02:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	374	99¢	$371	0xadbe96…
11-07 01:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	368	99¢	$364	0x6571ae…
11-07 01:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb373b0…
11-07 01:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x877250…
11-07 01:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	372	99¢	$368	0x610618…
11-07 00:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	371	99¢	$367	0x808044…
11-07 00:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	370	99¢	$366	0xbfe695…
11-06 23:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	366	100¢	$366	0x2b41ea…
11-06 23:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	368	99¢	$365	0xcd3138…
11-06 23:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	367	99¢	$364	0x9436b8…
11-06 22:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	366	99¢	$362	0xce9ba8…
11-06 21:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	253	99¢	$251	0x0905c9…