Humming-Goat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

5,434

Trades

5,500

lifetime

Volume

$237.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-20 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 97% -$1,538

Other

9% 82% +$14

Politics

4% 75% -$815

Tech

0% 100% +$87

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	3	$2.4K	1,731	842	+889	Yes	+$64	01-24 17:29
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$2.0K	1,085	1,085	+0	No	+$26	01-21 06:37
curfew in minneapolis saint paul by friday	2	$1.6K	829	829	+0	No	+$9	01-31 18:24
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$1.5K	1,573	0	+1,573	Yes	+$95	01-22 15:48
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	2	$1.4K	721	721	+0	Yes	+$20	01-19 08:12
spx up or down on january 6 2026	2	$1.2K	635	635	+0	Up	+$36	01-06 19:38
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	2	$1.2K	623	623	+0	Yes	-$31	01-20 10:44
spx up or down on january 5 2026	2	$1.1K	577	577	+0	Up	+$6	01-05 21:14
will pete carroll be fired by february 28	2	$1.1K	601	601	+0	Yes	+$60	01-05 17:28
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	1	$1.1K	1,204	0	+1,204	No	+$96	01-31 18:24
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	2	$1.1K	589	589	+0	No	+$87	02-06 21:06
will tim walz drop out by	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	Yes	+$39	01-05 14:35
sp 500 spx opening price up or down on january 5	2	$1.0K	537	537	+0	Yes	-$5	01-05 14:35
lol dk drx 2026 02 07	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	Dplus KIA	+$26	02-07 09:56
another us strike on venezuela on january 4	2	$1.0K	521	521	+0	No	+$20	01-05 07:12
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	1	$1000	1,026	0	+1,026	No	+$26	01-25 22:37
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	3	$889	1,077	1,077	+0	No	-$609	02-08 12:46
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$800	835	0	+835	No	+$35	01-24 07:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$800	889	0	+889	No	+$89	01-27 14:10
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$800	889	0	+889	No	+$89	01-26 13:02
will trump say make iran great again during wef address on january 21	1	$800	918	0	+918	No	+$118	01-21 06:39
spx up or down on january 21 2026	1	$800	837	0	+837	Up	+$37	01-21 18:58
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$774	532	532	+0	No	-$226	01-31 08:02
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$744	795	0	+795	No	+$51	01-12 22:23
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	1	$721	744	0	+744	No	+$23	01-11 07:56
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$690	742	0	+742	No	+$52	01-14 08:07
over 180m committed to the ranger public sale 427 827 792 766 618	1	$681	721	0	+721	No	+$40	01-10 08:35
lol ns dnf 2026 02 07	1	$653	726	0	+726	DN Freecs	-$653	02-07 11:16
maduro mugshot released by january 9	1	$633	681	0	+681	No	+$49	01-06 19:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:45 UTC	1	$591	627	0	+627	Up	+$36	02-06 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 08:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xda34c6…
10-20 08:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xff7194…
10-20 08:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8b1bb3…
10-20 07:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x428afe…
10-20 07:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x063192…
10-20 07:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xfae87b…
10-20 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xda2814…
10-20 07:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb2b8ec…
10-20 07:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe2379d…
10-20 07:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x65210b…
10-20 07:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcdbb98…
10-20 06:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xad0dfd…
10-20 06:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x261df3…
10-20 06:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc3f79b…
10-20 06:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xb0b0eb…
10-20 06:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x13b67c…
10-20 06:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6f138b…
10-20 06:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6c5afe…
10-20 06:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfd0435…
10-20 06:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeb053b…
10-20 05:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe54f6a…
10-20 05:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd64f9e…
10-20 05:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9ec3b5…
10-20 05:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x649c98…
10-20 05:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2d16e7…
10-20 05:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x124020…
10-20 05:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc94250…
10-20 05:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x699df5…
10-20 05:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17a642…
10-20 05:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x44c160…
10-20 05:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf45d4f…
10-20 04:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x09e6ae…
10-20 04:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x22ef48…
10-20 04:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5cca4d…
10-20 04:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x39281e…
10-20 04:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x8f8c0d…
10-20 04:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x4f3271…
10-20 04:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x965000…
10-20 04:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x4e6f0a…
10-20 03:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x8ace88…
10-20 03:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x12386b…
10-20 03:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x3d1e28…
10-20 03:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xc8d010…
10-20 03:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x3ada35…
10-20 03:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd61e4d…
10-20 03:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x5b5683…
10-20 03:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xca0fd3…
10-20 03:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xe96903…
10-20 03:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xc35792…
10-20 03:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x599a23…
10-20 03:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x955b2c…
10-20 02:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xb8bcad…
10-20 02:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x18261a…
10-20 02:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0cc3ea…
10-20 02:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x43ff97…
10-20 02:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x965208…
10-20 02:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x4768ec…
10-20 02:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xdaee18…
10-20 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xd203e0…
10-20 01:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x9eaac8…
10-20 01:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x23f12d…
10-20 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xe196e0…
10-20 01:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0xbdf718…
10-20 01:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xdaddb2…
10-20 01:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x461777…
10-20 01:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xfc75c3…
10-20 01:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x2aad1e…
10-20 01:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x5c0705…
10-20 01:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x40da2d…
10-20 00:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xee6bf3…
10-20 00:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x0bfd7a…
10-20 00:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x502291…
10-20 00:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7e281e…
10-20 00:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xdf5144…
10-20 00:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf9d6bd…
10-20 00:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xdf5230…
10-20 00:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xaeff6d…
10-20 00:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x479875…
10-19 23:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xe6e4ff…
10-19 23:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xd4cf28…
10-19 23:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x627bae…
10-19 23:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x86131d…
10-19 23:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x33253d…
10-19 23:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa79ed7…
10-19 23:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x38ae8b…
10-19 23:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x347c78…
10-19 23:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x42fa93…
10-19 23:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5b61f5…
10-19 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe67115…
10-19 22:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0f6980…
10-19 22:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xf4ab76…
10-19 22:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xd6b805…
10-19 22:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	96¢	$19	0x721160…
10-19 22:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x8500ca…
10-19 22:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xbae5af…
10-19 22:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0xed8442…
10-19 22:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x899cad…
10-19 22:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe2dbba…
10-19 21:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xf9280c…
10-19 21:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x297157…