Humming-Goat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

5,495

Trades

5,561

lifetime

Volume

$241.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 97% -$1,495

Other

9% 82% +$14

Politics

4% 75% -$815

Tech

0% 100% +$87

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	3	$2.4K	1,731	842	+889	Yes	+$64	01-24 17:29
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$2.0K	1,085	1,085	+0	No	+$26	01-21 06:37
curfew in minneapolis saint paul by friday	2	$1.6K	829	829	+0	No	+$9	01-31 18:24
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$1.5K	1,573	0	+1,573	Yes	+$95	01-22 15:48
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	2	$1.4K	721	721	+0	Yes	+$20	01-19 08:12
spx up or down on january 6 2026	2	$1.2K	635	635	+0	Up	+$36	01-06 19:38
will mike mccoy be fired by february 28	2	$1.2K	623	623	+0	Yes	-$31	01-20 10:44
spx up or down on january 5 2026	2	$1.1K	577	577	+0	Up	+$6	01-05 21:14
will pete carroll be fired by february 28	2	$1.1K	601	601	+0	Yes	+$60	01-05 17:28
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	1	$1.1K	1,204	0	+1,204	No	+$96	01-31 18:24
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	2	$1.1K	589	589	+0	No	+$87	02-06 21:06
will tim walz drop out by	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	Yes	+$39	01-05 14:35
sp 500 spx opening price up or down on january 5	2	$1.0K	537	537	+0	Yes	-$5	01-05 14:35
lol dk drx 2026 02 07	2	$1.0K	526	526	+0	Dplus KIA	+$26	02-07 09:56
another us strike on venezuela on january 4	2	$1.0K	521	521	+0	No	+$20	01-05 07:12
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	1	$1000	1,026	0	+1,026	No	+$26	01-25 22:37
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	3	$889	1,077	1,077	+0	No	-$609	02-08 12:46
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$800	835	0	+835	No	+$35	01-24 07:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$800	889	0	+889	No	+$89	01-27 14:10
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$800	889	0	+889	No	+$89	01-26 13:02
will trump say make iran great again during wef address on january 21	1	$800	918	0	+918	No	+$118	01-21 06:39
spx up or down on january 21 2026	1	$800	837	0	+837	Up	+$37	01-21 18:58
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$774	532	532	+0	No	-$226	01-31 08:02
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$744	795	0	+795	No	+$51	01-12 22:23
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	1	$721	744	0	+744	No	+$23	01-11 07:56
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$690	742	0	+742	No	+$52	01-14 08:07
over 180m committed to the ranger public sale 427 827 792 766 618	1	$681	721	0	+721	No	+$40	01-10 08:35
lol ns dnf 2026 02 07	1	$653	726	0	+726	DN Freecs	-$653	02-07 11:16
maduro mugshot released by january 9	1	$633	681	0	+681	No	+$49	01-06 19:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:45 UTC	1	$591	627	0	+627	Up	+$36	02-06 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0xe7bd14…
10-31 22:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x020e0a…
10-31 22:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x046885…
10-31 22:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xd7cfd5…
10-31 22:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	135	96¢	$130	0xe62899…
10-31 22:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	123	97¢	$120	0x5ec917…
10-31 22:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0x0036d0…
10-31 21:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4dbf48…
10-31 21:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x781bd2…
10-31 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x413d2e…
10-31 18:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe49335…
10-31 18:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xd28245…
10-31 18:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xda7bf5…
10-31 18:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x8d55a7…
10-31 18:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xb6727b…
10-31 18:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x743177…
10-31 15:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xc1ccc2…
10-31 12:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x6e48ac…
10-31 12:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xa71d4c…
10-31 12:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x6b5c5e…
10-31 12:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x7df991…
10-31 12:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x851940…
10-31 12:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x8c5401…
10-31 12:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x12a82d…
10-31 12:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x62c879…
10-31 12:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x391b53…
10-31 11:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x201327…
10-31 11:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x50232e…
10-31 11:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xf7b9b1…
10-31 11:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xd9ad09…
10-31 11:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xd8c917…
10-31 11:13:31	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x373203…
10-31 11:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xdcd4f4…
10-31 10:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdee25d…
10-31 10:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf83b93…
10-31 10:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa65e29…
10-31 10:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd76ce8…
10-31 10:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7f7d88…
10-31 10:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5d19d9…
10-31 10:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x553ce8…
10-31 09:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf26330…
10-30 12:14:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf35120…
10-28 15:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xcb6b9c…
10-28 15:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xbef0c8…
10-28 15:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x7ed432…
10-28 14:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xda205d…
10-28 14:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1ed3f7…
10-28 14:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x15d1ee…
10-28 14:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xebae56…
10-28 14:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x66d6a1…
10-28 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x352abe…
10-28 14:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xf7fceb…
10-28 13:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xdef3cc…
10-28 13:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x9dc3e8…
10-28 13:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x726724…
10-28 12:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x4b30a4…
10-28 12:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x9a4e84…
10-28 12:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x304f77…
10-28 12:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x9f726a…
10-28 11:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xdc34f7…
10-28 11:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x18e297…
10-20 08:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xda34c6…
10-20 08:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xff7194…
10-20 08:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8b1bb3…
10-20 07:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x428afe…
10-20 07:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x063192…
10-20 07:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xfae87b…
10-20 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xda2814…
10-20 07:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb2b8ec…
10-20 07:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe2379d…
10-20 07:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x65210b…
10-20 07:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcdbb98…
10-20 06:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xad0dfd…
10-20 06:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x261df3…
10-20 06:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc3f79b…
10-20 06:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xb0b0eb…
10-20 06:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x13b67c…
10-20 06:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6f138b…
10-20 06:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6c5afe…
10-20 06:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfd0435…
10-20 06:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeb053b…
10-20 05:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe54f6a…
10-20 05:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd64f9e…
10-20 05:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9ec3b5…
10-20 05:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x649c98…
10-20 05:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2d16e7…
10-20 05:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x124020…
10-20 05:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc94250…
10-20 05:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x699df5…
10-20 05:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17a642…
10-20 05:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x44c160…
10-20 05:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf45d4f…
10-20 04:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x09e6ae…
10-20 04:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x22ef48…
10-20 04:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5cca4d…
10-20 04:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x39281e…
10-20 04:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x8f8c0d…
10-20 04:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x4f3271…
10-20 04:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x965000…
10-20 04:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x4e6f0a…