Rare-Urge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

8,921

Trades

61,625

lifetime

Volume

$734.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-25 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 56% +$69,207

Other

2% 70% +$1,184

Sports

0% 50% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	83	$4.6K	7,515	0	+7,515	Up	-$4,108	10-17 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	32	$2.4K	3,686	0	+3,686	Up	+$1,327	10-11 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	42	$1.9K	2,482	0	+2,482	Down	+$563	10-11 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	44	$1.8K	3,176	0	+3,176	Up	+$1,347	10-16 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 14:40 UTC	9	$1.6K	1,851	0	+1,851	Up	+$295	08-01 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	45	$1.5K	3,817	0	+3,817	Down	+$553	10-11 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	12	$1.4K	2,728	0	+2,728	Down	+$222	10-16 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	51	$1.3K	2,547	0	+2,547	Down	+$219	10-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	28	$1.2K	2,050	0	+2,050	Up	+$427	10-17 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 14:50 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,745	0	+1,745	Down	+$524	08-01 14:51
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 12:50 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,454	0	+1,454	Down	-$462	06-23 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 07:40 UTC	20	$1.2K	2,144	0	+2,144	Up	+$939	06-28 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	30	$1.1K	1,639	0	+1,639	Down	+$542	10-17 19:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	8	$1.0K	1,742	0	+1,742	Down	+$719	10-16 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 14:00 UTC	22	$933	600	534	+66	Down	+$162	07-25 14:04
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	12	$925	861	692	+169	Down	+$499	04-09 23:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 00:35 UTC	28	$905	1,324	0	+1,324	Up	+$311	06-28 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 03:55 UTC	29	$903	1,255	0	+1,255	Up	+$351	06-28 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	10	$900	1,830	0	+1,830	Down	-$157	10-11 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 23:00 UTC	36	$892	1,601	0	+1,601	Up	-$626	07-04 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 23:05 UTC	12	$859	4,978	0	+4,978	Up	-$722	07-04 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	12	$857	1,356	0	+1,356	Up	+$499	10-17 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:20 UTC	25	$850	907	0	+907	Down	+$50	07-24 16:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 23:00 UTC	16	$846	1,003	0	+1,003	Up	+$157	06-24 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 17:20 UTC	43	$825	1,060	0	+1,060	Up	-$562	07-24 17:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:25 UTC	40	$822	535	528	+7	Down	+$230	03-23 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:00 UTC	8	$818	978	0	+978	Down	+$160	06-30 10:05
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC	45	$816	582	574	+8	Up	+$265	03-22 16:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	23	$814	1,285	0	+1,285	Up	+$470	10-16 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	16	$788	1,959	0	+1,959	Down	-$293	10-16 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x768abb…
10-25 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x942855…
10-25 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x807f0c…
10-25 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7af4b5…
10-25 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x45425b…
10-25 17:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x12f18a…
10-25 17:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xfee5ce…
10-25 17:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x82730f…
10-25 17:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0e5d38…
10-25 17:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x09e5ff…
10-25 17:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x07b28c…
10-25 16:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	110	48¢	$53	0xf4bb68…
10-25 16:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	61¢	$45	0xaf3a66…
10-25 16:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xb7251a…
10-25 16:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	198	40¢	$79	0x793424…
10-25 16:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x39ebfe…
10-25 16:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x069b70…
10-25 16:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	66	87¢	$57	0x4d8067…
10-25 16:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	246	67¢	$165	0xc3deaa…
10-25 16:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa7f2b1…
10-25 16:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	69¢	$31	0x77d250…
10-25 05:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x9bbce3…
10-25 05:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x418dbe…
10-25 05:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x1a5d1d…
10-25 05:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xc8b518…
10-25 05:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc60213…
10-25 05:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9a7fbf…
10-25 05:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xba88e5…
10-25 05:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x3aa96b…
10-25 05:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa2d87a…
10-25 05:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x76894b…
10-25 05:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	61¢	$17	0xf11871…
10-25 05:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0xf89aed…
10-25 05:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	244	40¢	$98	0x74be09…
10-25 05:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xa7f944…
10-25 05:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x7c098c…
10-25 05:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x58faa0…
10-25 05:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xd2731a…
10-25 05:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x7c4cd6…
10-25 05:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x2161c5…
10-25 05:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xf484a6…
10-25 05:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0xacbacc…
10-25 05:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x5c85ee…
10-25 05:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	62¢	$155	0xf6bbf5…
10-25 05:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	193	60¢	$116	0x87eea2…
10-25 04:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0xa98d9f…
10-25 04:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	179	23¢	$41	0x3e9abd…
10-25 04:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x4ba94d…
10-25 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd45450…
10-25 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8afc72…
10-25 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	84	11¢	$9	0x0629d4…
10-25 04:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x67005a…
10-25 04:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x29c7c8…
10-25 04:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0xcf05b7…
10-25 04:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xbf4ffc…
10-25 04:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xaee11b…
10-25 04:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x16370c…
10-25 04:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x1e655e…
10-25 04:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	24¢	$10	0x9c3000…
10-25 04:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x102543…
10-25 04:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x921902…
10-25 04:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xd7e926…
10-25 04:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x6fc120…
10-25 04:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x550640…
10-25 04:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0xbb16ec…
10-25 04:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x8b2cec…
10-25 04:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	64	10¢	$6	0x222582…
10-25 04:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	262	10¢	$25	0x09434d…
10-25 04:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	249	66¢	$164	0x9e5d4b…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfd65f0…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe7718c…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb11cb5…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xab45b2…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa3d9c5…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x9e9584…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x83058a…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x76bc12…
10-25 04:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1e1d89…
10-25 04:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0xf340e7…
10-25 04:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	281	41¢	$115	0xec89ac…
10-25 04:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xf24267…
10-25 03:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0x743441…
10-25 03:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xfc4f1d…
10-25 03:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x31f975…
10-25 03:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf8b8ba…
10-25 03:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xd6b384…
10-25 03:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0xc4ddec…
10-25 03:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	67¢	$38	0xbab6ce…
10-25 03:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0x39ff59…
10-25 03:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xf78bd1…
10-25 03:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xf57ab8…
10-25 03:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0x5561f6…
10-25 03:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0x013ca6…
10-25 03:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xe884ee…
10-25 03:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xc6a00b…
10-25 03:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xb56ff4…
10-25 03:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x892987…
10-25 03:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x860edb…
10-25 03:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6f9807…
10-25 03:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3dc331…