Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$32,602
$31,612 in 24h
Trades
3,358
Unique wallets
734
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-11-06
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-06 01:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.0¢
(top1%: 18% YES on $14.3K
vs crowd: 24% YES on $27.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 146 | $2.9K | $12.4K | $9.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 165 | $2.6K | $4.8K | $2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 221 | $841 | $3.0K | $2.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 202 | $408 | $852 | $443 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 129 | $2.6K | $11.7K | $9.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 89 | $800 | $1.6K | $787 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 49 | $166 | $354 | $187 |
| Median | 63 | $52 | $214 | $162 |
| Below median | 172 | $307 | $2.1K | $1.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 90 | $264 | $1.0K | $782 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 93 | $744 | $3.2K | $2.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 49 | $1.8K | $920 | +$908 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x9694…b16f | Up | +1,600 | $800 | $800 | 22 | 11-06 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +1,500 | $1,485 | $1,485 | 4 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d58…fb04 | Up | +1,407 | $400 | $400 | 2 | 11-06 00:55 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +1,200 | $1,188 | $1,188 | 15 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b34…c545 | Up | +1,159 | $400 | $400 | 2 | 11-06 00:56 |
| Numb-Bedroom 0x64a4…c103 | Down | +845 | $715 | $715 | 31 | 11-06 00:58 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +810 | $140 | $140 | 43 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +711 | $188 | $188 | 36 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +700 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa51…31ef | Down | +611 | $306 | $306 | 1 | 11-06 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +565 | $105 | $105 | 11 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +548 | $180 | $180 | 19 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6304…162f | Up | +517 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +514 | $324 | $324 | 18 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +476 | $105 | $105 | 26 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +476 | $319 | $319 | 34 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +463 | $145 | $145 | 40 | 11-06 00:58 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +450 | $72 | $72 | 36 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +447 | $362 | $362 | 12 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +440 | $256 | $256 | 8 | 11-06 00:57 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +427 | $289 | $289 | 9 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x8277…2ed3 | Down | +400 | $267 | $267 | 37 | 11-06 00:56 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +399 | $271 | $271 | 26 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Wan-Crinoline-Anise 0xf898…fffc | Down | +393 | $264 | $264 | 15 | 11-06 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +371 | $246 | $246 | 8 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bae…71e8 | Up | +368 | $150 | $150 | 3 | 11-06 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +365 | $305 | $305 | 21 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +350 | $240 | $240 | 8 | 11-06 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +327 | $94 | $94 | 18 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x69ec…aef7 | Up | +319 | $82 | $82 | 4 | 11-06 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +302 | $73 | $73 | 20 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +300 | $297 | $297 | 3 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | +300 | $297 | $297 | 8 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +292 | $234 | $234 | 7 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +286 | $88 | $88 | 28 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +285 | $58 | $58 | 44 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Dear-Marker 0x3878…b416 | Up | +273 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-06 00:57 |
| Unwritten-Meringue 0x77b2…24bd | Down | +272 | $179 | $179 | 14 | 11-06 00:57 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +267 | $62 | $62 | 14 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +250 | $85 | $85 | 4 | 11-06 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3089…35e4 | Down | +250 | $125 | $125 | 6 | 11-06 00:54 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +246 | $158 | $158 | 30 | 11-06 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b59…0fb4 | Down | +241 | $210 | $210 | 3 | 11-06 00:58 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +240 | $175 | $175 | 11 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bf5…e9d3 | Down | +233 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +232 | $229 | $229 | 6 | 11-06 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa21a…62a4 | Up | +232 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 11-06 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1ab…c079 | Up | +232 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-06 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +227 | $160 | $160 | 31 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Up | +221 | $18 | $20 | 8 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3142…8cbc | Down | +217 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +215 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 11-06 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +215 | $172 | $172 | 13 | 11-06 00:58 |
| Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964 | Down | +215 | $107 | $107 | 4 | 11-06 00:55 |
| Thankful-Wingtip 0xffcf…0fed | Down | +215 | $145 | $145 | 9 | 11-06 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d25…ab3c | Up | +209 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 11-06 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d09…6699 | Up | +201 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-06 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a59…9095 | Up | +200 | $4 | $27 | 8 | 11-06 00:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 01:01:21 | (anonymous) 0x9a66…dc22 | Down | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x6e36e5… |
| 11-06 01:01:21 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x6e36e5… |
| 11-06 01:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x6304…162f | Down | SELL | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0xa1f630… |
| 11-06 01:01:01 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0xa1f630… |
| 11-06 01:00:58 | Sour-Nephew 0x6795…4a4c | Down | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x9fab27… |
| 11-06 01:00:58 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x9fab27… |
| 11-06 01:00:27 | (anonymous) 0xdc38…8376 | Down | SELL | 57 | 99¢ | $57 | 0x2d915b… |
| 11-06 01:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 57 | 99¢ | $57 | 0x2d915b… |
| 11-06 01:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 137 | 99¢ | $136 | 0x9ab3d5… |
| 11-06 01:00:10 | (anonymous) 0xc04d…e6b6 | Down | SELL | 137 | 99¢ | $136 | 0x9ab3d5… |
| 11-06 00:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x4863…ad1d | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xaff530… |
| 11-06 00:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xa89dbd… |
| 11-06 00:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xaff530… |
| 11-06 00:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x4863…ad1d | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xa89dbd… |
| 11-06 00:59:42 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x83f050… |
| 11-06 00:59:42 | Prize-Checkroom 0x175c…2a68 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x83f050… |
| 11-06 00:59:37 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x80b3ef… |
| 11-06 00:59:37 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x0d62ee… |
| 11-06 00:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x0d04…6450 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x80b3ef… |
| 11-06 00:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x6a59…9095 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0d62ee… |
| 11-06 00:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x0d62ee… |
| 11-06 00:59:36 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x77ab89… |
| 11-06 00:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x133a…11bb | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x77ab89… |
| 11-06 00:59:31 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x8744b1… |
| 11-06 00:59:31 | (anonymous) 0xbd1d…8bbe | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8744b1… |
| 11-06 00:59:30 | (anonymous) 0xa7ef…47d5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8df98e… |
| 11-06 00:59:30 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8df98e… |
| 11-06 00:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xe7a0…8f4d | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xaf5473… |
| 11-06 00:59:25 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xaf5473… |
| 11-06 00:59:19 | Wilted-Address 0x1e2d…e2cf | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9ca59c… |
| 11-06 00:59:19 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9ca59c… |
| 11-06 00:59:15 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x30e593… |
| 11-06 00:59:15 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 96 | 99¢ | $95 | 0x30e593… |
| 11-06 00:59:15 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xabff09… |
| 11-06 00:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xb342…64b2 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xabff09… |
| 11-06 00:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x0aea…4e3f | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x73c6ce… |
| 11-06 00:59:15 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x73c6ce… |
| 11-06 00:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x489a…e15f | Up | BUY | 110 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x30e593… |
| 11-06 00:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x1fe4…ea05 | Down | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x76f41f… |
| 11-06 00:59:13 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5224e6… |
| 11-06 00:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x055040… |
| 11-06 00:59:13 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x76f41f… |
| 11-06 00:59:13 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x055040… |
| 11-06 00:59:13 | (anonymous) 0xd736…ba5d | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5224e6… |
| 11-06 00:59:12 | (anonymous) 0xb196…1b2d | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x726ece… |
| 11-06 00:59:12 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x726ece… |
| 11-06 00:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x0226…085b | Up | BUY | 102 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4460fc… |
| 11-06 00:59:12 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x4460fc… |
| 11-06 00:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x8628…aba2 | Down | SELL | 511 | 99¢ | $506 | 0x308833… |
| 11-06 00:59:12 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 511 | 99¢ | $506 | 0x308833… |
| 11-06 00:59:10 | (anonymous) 0x4d25…9656 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x686218… |
| 11-06 00:59:10 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x686218… |
| 11-06 00:59:10 | (anonymous) 0xbe48…a8df | Down | SELL | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0xa4ff5c… |
| 11-06 00:59:10 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0xa4ff5c… |
| 11-06 00:59:09 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc933e… |
| 11-06 00:59:09 | Trivial-Dress 0xabeb…8698 | Down | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x80c4d2… |
| 11-06 00:59:09 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x80c4d2… |
| 11-06 00:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x1f4f…f57e | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc933e… |
| 11-06 00:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x73d4…9006 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x873232… |
| 11-06 00:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x6304…162f | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x3db7e4… |
| 11-06 00:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 162 | 99¢ | $161 | 0x3db7e4… |
| 11-06 00:59:07 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd76528… |
| 11-06 00:59:07 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 338 | 99¢ | $334 | 0x3db7e4… |
| 11-06 00:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x873232… |
| 11-06 00:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x76df…6be2 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd76528… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x4d09…6699 | Up | BUY | 201 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa6f2ca… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xb41f…27fa | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xa6f2ca… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0xdb5dce… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xcca3…0b06 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xfb2844… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xa43e…6936 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b7301… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x396a…c915 | Down | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8f1261… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x5f9b4a… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 401 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x8642…710d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Cautious-Ziggurat 0xca90…a8df | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x7868a4… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 1,320 | 99¢ | $1,307 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b7301… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe3abad… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x5577…7d35 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe3abad… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xc379…cfcb | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4184b… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 421 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x8b9ebb… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x5d4b…66b0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdb5dce… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfb2844… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 136 | 99¢ | $134 | 0xdb5dce… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xea2e…271c | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc4184b… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xf73e…8b41 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Courteous-Scrip 0x090e…7566 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Peppery-Wrench 0x6a87…8d60 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8b9ebb… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x5f9b4a… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x70bc41… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x9e59…ed12 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa6f2ca… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x2b0e…3082 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x6c9e…2414 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed7749… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xc379…cfcb | Up | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa6f2ca… |
| 11-06 00:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x37b1…f6ec | Down | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xed7749… |